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Toadstool Sports

De : Toad
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 Hi, I am Toad. I am an autistic sports bettor with no regard for my well-being! I provide daily detailed analysis of all of the major sports and give out my best plays. It's free gold, baby.

Find me on YouTube at ToadStool Sports and Instagram and Twitter at LearnToToad.Copyright learntotoad
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  • Thursday BEST BETS | Light Board Action | MLB & NHL | 4/16/26

    Thursday BEST BETS | Light Board Action | MLB & NHL | 4/16/26
    Apr 16 2026
    My links
    www.linktree.com/learntotoad
    www.patreon.com/learntotoad

    MLB
    SF/CIN Under 8 -104
    SEA -120

    MLB Best Bets (April 16): Giants/Reds Under 8 + Mariners ML | NBA/NHL Updates

    Toad opens by contrasting earlier struggles with a current hot streak and recaps Wednesday’s results: a Red Sox win, a failed Nationals/Pirates over, and a Texas–A’s over cashing late. With NBA off, he notes the play-in picture and upcoming bracket content, and he passes on NHL betting on the final regular-season day while still offering leans. For Thursday’s 10-game MLB slate, he gives two official plays: Giants–Reds under 8 (citing cold offenses and a favorable pitching matchup) and Mariners moneyline at Padres (avoid-the-sweep motivation, market support, and a Castillo vs. Buehler edge). He also discusses additional MLB leans including Royals first five and Blue Jays–Brewers over, plus various side/total thoughts across the board, then closes with plugs and notes about upcoming NBA/NHL bracket specials.

    00:00 Slump Montage Intro
    01:32 Hot Streak Recap
    03:31 Schedule And Card Setup
    05:17 Nationals Pirates Breakdown
    09:10 Giants Reds Under Pick
    17:01 Royals Tigers Lean
    21:50 Angels Yankees Thoughts
    25:20 Blue Jays Brewers Over Lean
    30:35 Rays White Sox Matchup
    34:43 Rangers Athletics Preview
    42:23 Closing Notes On Favorites
    43:05 Baltimore Cleveland Breakdown
    45:42 Baz vs Messick Pitching Edge
    48:46 First Five Under Angle
    49:14 Rockies Astros Opener Chaos
    52:54 Colorado Value and Team Total
    55:14 Mariners Padres Best Bet
    01:01:42 Castillo vs Buehler Matchup
    01:04:57 Wrap MLB Picks and Transition
    01:06:19 NHL Finale Motivation Spots
    01:13:41 Late Season Overs and Leans
    01:20:43 Final Plays and Sign Off

    #bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #playoffs #nbaplayoffs
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    1 h et 26 min
  • Wednesday BEST BETS | Play-In Madness | NBA Play-In & MLB & NHL | 4/15/26

    Wednesday BEST BETS | Play-In Madness | NBA Play-In & MLB & NHL | 4/15/26
    Apr 15 2026
    My links
    www.linktree.com/learntotoad
    www.patreon.com/learntotoad

    MLB
    BOS -130
    WAS/PIT Over 9 -120
    TEX/A's Over 9.5 -114

    Toad’s Sports Show (April 15): Red Sox ML, Two MLB Overs, Play-In & NHL Talk

    The host opens with an emotional contrast between past betting slumps and a current 22-8-1 run over 11 days, then delivers three baseball plays while skipping NHL until the playoffs and passing on NBA play-in bets. He breaks down multiple MLB matchups with bullpen usage, offense ranks, pitching metrics, market/ticket splits, and situational angles, ultimately betting Red Sox moneyline (-130) to avoid a sweep in Minnesota, over 9 in Nationals–Pirates due to hot offenses and poor pitching/bullpens, and over 9.5 in Rangers–A’s in the hitter-friendly Sacramento park despite market money on the under. He recaps yesterday’s 2-1-1 results, discusses play-in trends and schedule quirks, runs through NHL games as low-motivation passes, briefly analyzes Magic–76ers and Warriors–Clippers, and ends with a heated argument with a viewer before show plugs.
    00:00 Slump Spiral Cold Open
    01:33 Hot Streak Reset
    02:26 Play In Talk With Chat
    04:10 MLB Board Arizona Baltimore
    08:45 Cleveland St Louis Breakdown
    12:57 Red Sox Twins Best Bet
    19:35 Cubs Phillies Stay Away
    25:23 Recap Yesterday Results
    31:18 Back To KC Detroit Handicap
    36:18 Giants Reds Preview
    40:22 Reds Moneyline Lean
    40:58 Nationals Pirates Over 9
    46:30 Angels Yankees Pitching Breakdown
    52:22 Marlins Braves Over Look
    57:49 Rays White Sox Bullpen Fade
    01:02:35 Blue Jays Brewers Bounce Back
    01:08:48 Rockies Astros Momentum Spot
    01:14:21 Mariners Padres Under Angle
    01:19:55 Rangers Athletics Best Bet Over
    01:20:28 Over Total Price Shopping
    01:21:53 Bullpen Edge and Usage
    01:22:56 Rocker vs Ginn Breakdown
    01:26:28 Market Money vs Over Pick
    01:27:43 Mets Dodgers No Bet
    01:35:18 NHL Motivation Handicapping
    01:46:47 NBA Play In Leans
    01:57:16 Wrap Up Picks and Sign Off

    #bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #playoffs #nbaplayoffs
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    2 h et 2 min
  • Tuesday BEST BETS | Playoffs? | NBA Play-In & MLB & NHL | 4/14/26

    Tuesday BEST BETS | Playoffs? | NBA Play-In & MLB & NHL | 4/14/26
    Apr 14 2026
    My links
    www.linktree.com/learntotoad
    www.patreon.com/learntotoad

    NBA
    MIA +6

    MLB
    KC/DET Under 7.5 +100
    CWS +119
    COL +1.5 -130 / +160

    Toad Stool Sports: MLB Picks (Royals/Tigers Under, White Sox ML, Rockies +1) + NBA Play-In Heat +6 | April 14

    Toad opens by contrasting a past losing slump with a current hot streak, saying the show is on a 20–7 run with nine winning days out of the last 10. He recaps prior results (Sharks and Rangers wins, Winnipeg loss) and explains he’s passing on NHL betting due to unclear late-season motivation. He breaks down multiple MLB matchups and markets, emphasizing bullpen usage, OPS/WHIP, and betting splits, and gives official plays: Royals–Tigers full-game under 7.5, White Sox moneyline behind rookie Noah Schultz’s debut versus a shaky McClanahan in a Rays letdown spot, and a Rockies split bet to create a +1 run-line versus Houston’s poor situation and bullpen. For the NBA play-in, he takes Miami +6 over Charlotte based on experience, coaching, and expected regression from the prior blowout. He closes with plugs for social/audio platforms, Patreon/UK content, and Loser Cast.

    00:00 Slump Meltdown Montage
    01:44 Show Intro Hot Streak
    02:27 Recap Sharks Rangers Jets
    03:42 Today Card Overview
    04:23 Dbacks Orioles Breakdown
    10:48 Cubs Phillies Preview
    15:33 Best Bet Royals Tigers Under
    22:40 Giants Reds Matchup
    27:31 Nats Pirates Over Lean
    32:46 Angels Yankees Aftermath
    37:48 Marlins Braves Stay Away
    43:27 Red Sox Rant Twins Setup
    45:02 Red Sox Bounce Back
    45:47 Sonny Gray Breakdown
    46:51 Fade Mick Abel
    48:20 Sox Moneyline Lean
    49:07 White Sox Shock Pick
    52:41 McClanahan Concerns
    54:11 Noah Schultz Debut
    57:11 Betting Splits Totals
    58:22 Jays Brewers Under
    59:58 Gausman Vs Misiorowski
    01:04:24 Guardians Cardinals Read
    01:05:38 Cantillo Vs McGreevy
    01:09:22 Rockies Ugly Value
    01:09:38 Run Line Split Bet
    01:11:00 Astros Spot Fade
    01:14:15 Lorenzen Vs Gordon
    01:18:57 Mariners Padres Under
    01:20:48 Wu King Pitching Duel
    01:23:42 Back To Jays Brewers
    01:25:25 Rangers As Pitching
    01:26:54 Gore Vs Springs Matchup
    01:30:41 Avoiding A's Total
    01:31:05 Red Sox Bounce Back
    01:32:10 Mets Value vs Dodgers
    01:37:32 NHL Motivation Spots
    01:46:16 Late NHL Slate Leans
    01:56:53 NBA Play In Breakdown
    02:04:28 Miami Plus Points Play
    02:10:53 Plays Recap and Outro

    #bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #playoffs #nbaplayoffs
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    2 h et 14 min
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