Épisodes

  • Thursday BEST BETS | Light Board Action | MLB & NHL | 4/16/26

    Thursday BEST BETS | Light Board Action | MLB & NHL | 4/16/26
    Apr 16 2026
    My links
    www.linktree.com/learntotoad
    www.patreon.com/learntotoad

    MLB
    SF/CIN Under 8 -104
    SEA -120

    MLB Best Bets (April 16): Giants/Reds Under 8 + Mariners ML | NBA/NHL Updates

    Toad opens by contrasting earlier struggles with a current hot streak and recaps Wednesday’s results: a Red Sox win, a failed Nationals/Pirates over, and a Texas–A’s over cashing late. With NBA off, he notes the play-in picture and upcoming bracket content, and he passes on NHL betting on the final regular-season day while still offering leans. For Thursday’s 10-game MLB slate, he gives two official plays: Giants–Reds under 8 (citing cold offenses and a favorable pitching matchup) and Mariners moneyline at Padres (avoid-the-sweep motivation, market support, and a Castillo vs. Buehler edge). He also discusses additional MLB leans including Royals first five and Blue Jays–Brewers over, plus various side/total thoughts across the board, then closes with plugs and notes about upcoming NBA/NHL bracket specials.

    00:00 Slump Montage Intro
    01:32 Hot Streak Recap
    03:31 Schedule And Card Setup
    05:17 Nationals Pirates Breakdown
    09:10 Giants Reds Under Pick
    17:01 Royals Tigers Lean
    21:50 Angels Yankees Thoughts
    25:20 Blue Jays Brewers Over Lean
    30:35 Rays White Sox Matchup
    34:43 Rangers Athletics Preview
    42:23 Closing Notes On Favorites
    43:05 Baltimore Cleveland Breakdown
    45:42 Baz vs Messick Pitching Edge
    48:46 First Five Under Angle
    49:14 Rockies Astros Opener Chaos
    52:54 Colorado Value and Team Total
    55:14 Mariners Padres Best Bet
    01:01:42 Castillo vs Buehler Matchup
    01:04:57 Wrap MLB Picks and Transition
    01:06:19 NHL Finale Motivation Spots
    01:13:41 Late Season Overs and Leans
    01:20:43 Final Plays and Sign Off

    #bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #playoffs #nbaplayoffs
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    1 h et 26 min
  • Wednesday BEST BETS | Play-In Madness | NBA Play-In & MLB & NHL | 4/15/26

    Wednesday BEST BETS | Play-In Madness | NBA Play-In & MLB & NHL | 4/15/26
    Apr 15 2026
    My links
    www.linktree.com/learntotoad
    www.patreon.com/learntotoad

    MLB
    BOS -130
    WAS/PIT Over 9 -120
    TEX/A's Over 9.5 -114

    Toad’s Sports Show (April 15): Red Sox ML, Two MLB Overs, Play-In & NHL Talk

    The host opens with an emotional contrast between past betting slumps and a current 22-8-1 run over 11 days, then delivers three baseball plays while skipping NHL until the playoffs and passing on NBA play-in bets. He breaks down multiple MLB matchups with bullpen usage, offense ranks, pitching metrics, market/ticket splits, and situational angles, ultimately betting Red Sox moneyline (-130) to avoid a sweep in Minnesota, over 9 in Nationals–Pirates due to hot offenses and poor pitching/bullpens, and over 9.5 in Rangers–A’s in the hitter-friendly Sacramento park despite market money on the under. He recaps yesterday’s 2-1-1 results, discusses play-in trends and schedule quirks, runs through NHL games as low-motivation passes, briefly analyzes Magic–76ers and Warriors–Clippers, and ends with a heated argument with a viewer before show plugs.
    00:00 Slump Spiral Cold Open
    01:33 Hot Streak Reset
    02:26 Play In Talk With Chat
    04:10 MLB Board Arizona Baltimore
    08:45 Cleveland St Louis Breakdown
    12:57 Red Sox Twins Best Bet
    19:35 Cubs Phillies Stay Away
    25:23 Recap Yesterday Results
    31:18 Back To KC Detroit Handicap
    36:18 Giants Reds Preview
    40:22 Reds Moneyline Lean
    40:58 Nationals Pirates Over 9
    46:30 Angels Yankees Pitching Breakdown
    52:22 Marlins Braves Over Look
    57:49 Rays White Sox Bullpen Fade
    01:02:35 Blue Jays Brewers Bounce Back
    01:08:48 Rockies Astros Momentum Spot
    01:14:21 Mariners Padres Under Angle
    01:19:55 Rangers Athletics Best Bet Over
    01:20:28 Over Total Price Shopping
    01:21:53 Bullpen Edge and Usage
    01:22:56 Rocker vs Ginn Breakdown
    01:26:28 Market Money vs Over Pick
    01:27:43 Mets Dodgers No Bet
    01:35:18 NHL Motivation Handicapping
    01:46:47 NBA Play In Leans
    01:57:16 Wrap Up Picks and Sign Off

    #bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #playoffs #nbaplayoffs
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    2 h et 2 min
  • Tuesday BEST BETS | Playoffs? | NBA Play-In & MLB & NHL | 4/14/26

    Tuesday BEST BETS | Playoffs? | NBA Play-In & MLB & NHL | 4/14/26
    Apr 14 2026
    My links
    www.linktree.com/learntotoad
    www.patreon.com/learntotoad

    NBA
    MIA +6

    MLB
    KC/DET Under 7.5 +100
    CWS +119
    COL +1.5 -130 / +160

    Toad Stool Sports: MLB Picks (Royals/Tigers Under, White Sox ML, Rockies +1) + NBA Play-In Heat +6 | April 14

    Toad opens by contrasting a past losing slump with a current hot streak, saying the show is on a 20–7 run with nine winning days out of the last 10. He recaps prior results (Sharks and Rangers wins, Winnipeg loss) and explains he’s passing on NHL betting due to unclear late-season motivation. He breaks down multiple MLB matchups and markets, emphasizing bullpen usage, OPS/WHIP, and betting splits, and gives official plays: Royals–Tigers full-game under 7.5, White Sox moneyline behind rookie Noah Schultz’s debut versus a shaky McClanahan in a Rays letdown spot, and a Rockies split bet to create a +1 run-line versus Houston’s poor situation and bullpen. For the NBA play-in, he takes Miami +6 over Charlotte based on experience, coaching, and expected regression from the prior blowout. He closes with plugs for social/audio platforms, Patreon/UK content, and Loser Cast.

    00:00 Slump Meltdown Montage
    01:44 Show Intro Hot Streak
    02:27 Recap Sharks Rangers Jets
    03:42 Today Card Overview
    04:23 Dbacks Orioles Breakdown
    10:48 Cubs Phillies Preview
    15:33 Best Bet Royals Tigers Under
    22:40 Giants Reds Matchup
    27:31 Nats Pirates Over Lean
    32:46 Angels Yankees Aftermath
    37:48 Marlins Braves Stay Away
    43:27 Red Sox Rant Twins Setup
    45:02 Red Sox Bounce Back
    45:47 Sonny Gray Breakdown
    46:51 Fade Mick Abel
    48:20 Sox Moneyline Lean
    49:07 White Sox Shock Pick
    52:41 McClanahan Concerns
    54:11 Noah Schultz Debut
    57:11 Betting Splits Totals
    58:22 Jays Brewers Under
    59:58 Gausman Vs Misiorowski
    01:04:24 Guardians Cardinals Read
    01:05:38 Cantillo Vs McGreevy
    01:09:22 Rockies Ugly Value
    01:09:38 Run Line Split Bet
    01:11:00 Astros Spot Fade
    01:14:15 Lorenzen Vs Gordon
    01:18:57 Mariners Padres Under
    01:20:48 Wu King Pitching Duel
    01:23:42 Back To Jays Brewers
    01:25:25 Rangers As Pitching
    01:26:54 Gore Vs Springs Matchup
    01:30:41 Avoiding A's Total
    01:31:05 Red Sox Bounce Back
    01:32:10 Mets Value vs Dodgers
    01:37:32 NHL Motivation Spots
    01:46:16 Late NHL Slate Leans
    01:56:53 NBA Play In Breakdown
    02:04:28 Miami Plus Points Play
    02:10:53 Plays Recap and Outro

    #bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #playoffs #nbaplayoffs
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    2 h et 14 min
  • Monday BEST BETS | NHL End Days | MLB & NHL | 4/13/26

    Monday BEST BETS | NHL End Days | MLB & NHL | 4/13/26
    Apr 13 2026
    My links
    www.linktree.com/learntotoad
    www.patreon.com/learntotoad

    MLB
    TEX -127

    NHL
    SJ +132
    WPG +1.5 -165 / +158

    MLB & NHL Picks Breakdown (Apr 13): Rangers ML, Sharks ML, Jets Split Bet + Board Recap

    Toad opens with a rant about a brutal betting slump, then pivots to a recent hot run and recaps yesterday’s results (wins with MLB plays including Texas; losses in hockey; Pacers backdoor cover; Celtics bench win). He breaks down Monday’s MLB slate with market/ticket-cash notes and pitching/bullpen angles, including thoughts on Houston–Seattle, Arizona–Baltimore (no O’s starter listed), Cubs–Phillies, Washington–Pittsburgh (Skenes), Yankees–Angels, Miami–Atlanta, Red Sox–Twins (Crochet vs Ober), Cleveland–Cardinals, and Mets–Dodgers. His only MLB play is Texas Rangers moneyline vs the A’s, citing a strong situational travel spot and pitching matchup. He then covers the NHL board, noting motivation and schedule spots, and gives two hockey plays: San Jose Sharks moneyline at Nashville and a Winnipeg Jets split bet (puck line + moneyline) vs Vegas. He closes by promoting socials, audio feeds, upcoming playoff bracket specials, and other shows.

    00:00 Brutal Slump Rant
    01:32 Show Intro Hot Streak
    01:55 Recapping Yesterday Picks
    04:53 Today Board Overview
    05:30 Astros Mariners Breakdown
    09:58 Chat Bruins Debate
    10:55 Dbacks Orioles Lean
    14:28 Cubs Phillies Market Read
    20:34 Nats Pirates Skeenes Spot
    26:08 Angels Yankees Bounce Back
    31:06 Marlins Braves Setup
    33:40 Braves Marlins Pitching
    35:25 Market Read Miami Lean
    36:33 Red Sox Twins Breakdown
    38:23 Crochet Ober Total Talk
    42:14 Cleveland Cardinals Spot
    43:35 Williams Wildness Factor
    48:02 Rangers Fade Athletics
    51:47 Eovaldi Severino Edge
    56:25 Mets Dodgers Nightcap
    58:36 Dodgers Peterson Lesko
    01:02:18 Switching Over To Hockey
    01:04:57 Wings Lightning Motivation
    01:07:16 Rangers at Panthers
    01:08:33 Live Chat and Picks
    01:10:25 Hurricanes at Flyers
    01:14:18 Stars at Maple Leafs
    01:16:05 Wild at Blues
    01:18:57 Sharks Upset Pick
    01:24:24 Sabres Hawks and Avs Oilers
    01:27:21 Kings at Kraken
    01:29:33 Jets Split Bet
    01:35:44 Wrap Up and Plugs

    #bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa
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    1 h et 40 min
  • Sunday BEST BETS | NBA Crunch Time | MLB & NHL & NBA | 4/12/26

    Sunday BEST BETS | NBA Crunch Time | MLB & NHL & NBA | 4/12/26
    Apr 12 2026
    My links
    www.linktree.com/learntotoad
    www.patreon.com/learntotoad

    MLB
    MIN F5 -110
    NYY -1.5 +120 / -150
    TEX +112

    NBA
    IND +14

    NHL
    NYI -105

    MLB Picks: Twins F5, Yankees Fade-the-Baby, Rangers + NHL Islanders + NBA Pacers +14 (April 12)

    Toad opens by reflecting on a brutal slump before recapping a 3–0 day (Capitals, Columbus, Cleveland) and breaking down a tricky Sunday slate across MLB, NHL, and NBA. In MLB he discusses multiple matchups and market moves, ultimately playing Twins first five behind Taj Bradley while fading Max Scherzer and Minnesota’s bullpen, backing the Yankees with a run line/money line split to avoid a sweep vs Tampa Bay while fading Drew Rasmussen due to paternity leave and bullpen edges, and adding Texas moneyline behind Jacob deGrom vs Roki Sasaki. He leans various totals/sides (e.g., Detroit–Miami under, Mets to avoid sweep) but passes. In NHL he plays Islanders moneyline vs Montreal based on motivation and bounce-back, with leans on Washington and Columbus. In NBA he makes one play: Pacers +14 vs Pistons, and largely avoids other finale lines due to motivation/rest uncertainty.
    00:00 Slump Spiral Cold Open
    01:32 Back On Track Recap
    03:00 Today’s Card Overview
    03:52 Phillies vs Dbacks Breakdown
    08:23 Giants vs Orioles Read
    13:11 Twins First Five Play
    19:48 Angels vs Reds Lean
    23:48 As vs Mets Avoid Sweep
    27:58 Marlins Tigers Pitching Duel
    34:40 Yankees Runline Split Play
    40:18 Fade The Baby Angle
    43:53 Royals vs White Sox Setup
    45:39 Royals vs White Sox Edge
    48:34 Brewers Bounce Back Spot
    53:29 Red Sox Cardinals Total
    58:00 Wrigley Wind Total Spike
    01:03:45 Rockies Padres Sweep Angle
    01:09:39 Astros Mariners Market Disagree
    01:14:01 Rangers vs Dodgers deGrom
    01:19:36 Guardians Braves Under Lean
    01:25:41 Switching to NHL Board
    01:27:26 Caps Penguins Motivation
    01:29:15 Caps Motivation Fade
    01:29:53 Islanders Best Bet
    01:31:51 Bruins Letdown Spot
    01:34:14 Sens Devils Lean
    01:35:52 Canucks Ducks Pricing
    01:38:31 Utah Flames Total
    01:40:40 NBA Finale Chaos
    01:44:09 Pacers Plus Points
    01:47:13 Late Slate Leans
    02:07:20 Wrap Plays Outro

    #bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa
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    2 h et 10 min
  • Saturday BEST BETS | Small Dog Day Afternoon | MLB & NHL | 4/11/26

    Saturday BEST BETS | Small Dog Day Afternoon | MLB & NHL | 4/11/26
    Apr 11 2026
    My links
    www.linktree.com/learntotoad
    www.patreon.com/learntotoad

    MLB
    CLE +100

    NHL
    WSH +110
    CBJ +125

    Toad Stool Sports (Apr 11): MLB & NHL Picks + Betting Breakdown | Cleveland, Capitals, Blue Jackets

    Toad opens with frustration about a prolonged betting slump, then recaps going 2-1 the previous day (Tigers win, Colorado loss, Memphis/Utah total landing 248 with 247.5 winning). With no NBA, he breaks down a full MLB and NHL slate, discussing line movement, bullpen usage, starters, and situational angles like return-home spots and motivation. His featured MLB play is Cleveland moneyline vs Atlanta, citing pitching (Parker Messick vs Martin Perez) and a bullpen rest edge. In the NHL, he emphasizes late-season urgency and makes two underdog plays: Washington moneyline vs Pittsburgh (motivation/letdown angle) and Columbus moneyline vs Montreal. He also notes various leans across games and promotes subscribing, audio feeds, Patreon, and upcoming shows.

    00:00 Slump Spiral Cold Open
    01:33 Show Intro and Recap
    03:49 Live Chat Detour
    04:28 Today’s Card Setup
    04:48 Dbacks Phillies Breakdown
    09:30 ABS and Rule Changes Rant
    10:20 Marlins Tigers Preview
    14:24 Pirates Cubs Wind Game
    20:37 Twins Blue Jays Matchup
    25:14 Angels Reds Handicapping Mess
    32:19 Athletics Mets Bounce Back
    36:29 White Sox Royals Pitching Edge
    41:09 Yankees Rays Series Continues
    42:05 AL East Offense Woes
    43:56 Yankees Rays Pitching Breakdown
    45:57 Betting Angles and Totals
    47:26 Nationals Brewers Matchup
    48:46 Griffin vs Harrison Analysis
    52:31 Cleveland Moneyline Pick
    01:00:16 Giants Orioles Market Fade
    01:06:29 Red Sox Cardinals Confusion
    01:11:48 Rockies Padres Tough Read
    01:17:52 Rangers Dodgers Underdog Lean
    01:22:45 Bullpen vs Offense Edge
    01:23:51 McCullers vs Castillo Breakdown
    01:26:08 Seattle Bet and Total Angles
    01:28:53 Hockey Slate and Motivation
    01:29:47 Bruins vs Lightning Lean
    01:33:03 Islanders vs Senators Spot
    01:34:32 Capitals Underdog Play
    01:38:00 Kings Fade Public Oilers
    01:40:51 Red Wings Public Trap
    01:42:19 Blues Hawks and Totals
    01:44:04 Wild Preds Travel Spot
    01:47:02 Rangers Fade Stars
    01:48:22 Canes Mammoth Motivation
    01:51:16 Leafs Panthers Loose Game
    01:52:47 Blue Jackets Underdog Pick
    01:55:52 Flyers Jets Quick Read
    01:58:13 Flames Kraken Market Move
    01:59:24 Knights Value vs Avs
    02:01:13 Canucks Value vs Sharks
    02:03:10 Final Plays and Signoff

    #bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa
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    2 h et 5 min
  • Friday BEST BETS | MLB & NBA | 4/10/26

    Friday BEST BETS | MLB & NBA | 4/10/26
    Apr 10 2026
    My links
    www.linktree.com/learntotoad
    www.patreon.com/learntotoad

    MLB
    DET -1 -108
    COL F5 +0.5 -105

    NBA
    MEM/UTA Over 247.5

    MLB Best Bets: Tigers -1 (Alt RL) & Rockies F5 +0.5 + NBA Total Pick (Memphis–Utah Over) | Toad Stool Sports

    Toad opens the show venting about a brutal betting slump, then returns with Friday April 10 picks: two MLB sides and one NBA total. He breaks down Pirates–Cubs and Diamondbacks–Phillies as passes due to situation vs matchup conflicts, then gives his first MLB play: Detroit Tigers minus 1 (alternate run line) at a reduced price versus Miami, citing motivation after a losing streak, familiarity with Chris Paddack, and a manageable bullpen situation. After more MLB commentary and leans, he gives his second MLB play: Colorado Rockies first five innings +0.5 (with a suggested moneyline sprinkle) versus San Diego, backing Tomoyuki Sugano over Walker Buehler and avoiding Colorado’s bullpen. In the NBA segment he focuses on end-of-season motivation and recommends Memphis–Utah over the total, noting both teams’ recent high-scoring games and poor defense.
    00:00 Slump Meltdown Cold Open
    01:33 Show Intro and Card
    02:51 MLB Schedule Notes
    03:24 Pirates Cubs Breakdown
    08:26 Dbacks Phillies Breakdown
    13:10 Best Bet Tigers Run Line
    19:38 Angels Reds Stay Away
    24:44 Twins Jays Corbin Debut
    31:28 As at Mets Quick Read
    35:28 Yankees Rays Pitching Talk
    40:11 Yankees Rays Market Read
    41:10 Guardians Braves Spot Analysis
    42:36 Pitching Matchup Deep Dive
    44:59 Cleveland Lean and Bets
    46:15 Giants Orioles Cross Country
    50:15 Under Angle and Rested Pens
    51:28 White Sox Royals Reaction
    54:27 First Five Under Discussion
    56:03 Nationals Brewers Mismatch
    58:44 Brewers Run Line or Team Total
    01:00:02 Red Sox Cardinals Breakdown
    01:02:42 Dustin May Rant and Total
    01:05:54 Rockies Padres Best Bet
    01:08:37 Sugano vs Buehler Edge
    01:12:08 Astros Mariners First Five
    01:13:48 Pitcher Profiles and Bullpens
    01:17:42 Rangers Dodgers Spot Setup
    01:18:45 Bullpen Edge Breakdown
    01:19:01 Kumar Rocker Scouting
    01:20:12 Glasnow Matchup Notes
    01:21:18 Dodgers Price And Under
    01:24:08 Switching To NBA Slate
    01:24:25 Pistons Hornets Motivation
    01:27:14 Heat Wizards Tank Talk
    01:30:28 Hawks Cavs Injury Angle
    01:32:48 Celtics Pelicans Spot
    01:35:15 Sixers Knicks Raptors Reads
    01:37:59 Magic Bulls Big Spread
    01:40:11 Bucks Nets And Spurs Mavs
    01:43:01 Thunder Nuggets Rest News
    01:45:31 Rockets Wolves And Total Play
    01:49:29 Clippers Blazers Play In Fight
    01:51:13 Warriors Kings And Suns Lakers
    01:53:58 Final Picks And Sign Off

    #bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa
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    1 h et 56 min
  • Thursday BEST BETS | MLB & NHL & NBA | 4/9/26

    Thursday BEST BETS | MLB & NHL & NBA | 4/9/26
    Apr 9 2026
    My links
    www.linktree.com/learntotoad
    www.patreon.com/learntotoad

    No plays today

    No Bets Today: MLB & NHL Leans, Bankroll Tips, and a Brutal Slump Update (April 9)

    Toad opens in a frustrated slump rant, then recaps going 2–2 on the prior show and discusses bankroll discipline (generally betting about 1% of bankroll, avoiding chasing, and recommending hits+runs+RBIs over parlays or HR props). With no official plays due to a weak board, he gives opinions on six MLB games, leaning Cincinnati over Miami, considering a Yankees first-five under vs the A’s, liking Detroit (and possibly the over) vs Minnesota, leaning Mets (or Mets team total over) vs Arizona, and expecting Kansas City to score against the White Sox with a possible Royals team total angle; he also leans Colorado as a situational fade of San Diego. He runs through a 14-game NHL slate and six NBA games focusing on motivation and market moves, but ultimately stays selective and passes, promoting his socials, audio platforms, and upcoming playoff content.

    00:00 Slump Meltdown Cold Open
    01:33 Show Intro and Recap
    04:31 Bankroll and Unit Sizing
    06:59 No Plays Today Setup
    07:22 MLB Reds vs Marlins
    10:54 MLB As vs Yankees
    12:06 Props and Parlay Advice
    17:01 MLB Tigers vs Twins
    21:16 MLB Dbacks vs Mets
    26:19 MLB White Sox vs Royals
    32:05 MLB Rockies vs Padres
    36:23 Playoff Futures Tangent
    38:25 Hockey Board Overview
    38:43 NHL Leafs vs Islanders
    40:51 NHL Jackets vs Sabres
    42:54 NHL Lightning vs Canadiens
    44:20 NHL Panthers vs Senators
    46:40 NHL Flyers vs Red Wings
    47:50 Detroit Value Spot
    49:10 Devils Upset Angle
    50:25 Jets Blues Elimination
    52:38 Canes Hawks Stayaway
    54:30 Wild Stars Seeding
    57:13 Flames Avs Puckline
    59:41 Preds Utah Motivation
    01:02:18 Sharks Ducks Slide
    01:05:04 Vegas Seattle Desperation
    01:07:14 Kings Price Too High
    01:09:03 NBA Motivation Primer
    01:09:45 Heat Raptors Zigzag
    01:12:45 Bulls Wizards Total
    01:15:39 Pacers Nets Last Home
    01:17:13 Celtics Knicks Rest Watch
    01:21:31 Sixers Rockets Spot
    01:24:06 Lakers Warriors Injuries
    01:26:39 Wrap Up And Plugs

    #bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa
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    1 h et 31 min