Épisodes

  • Monday BEST BETS | One Single Game | NFL | 9/28/26
    Sep 28 2026
    My links
    www.linktree.com/learntotoad
    www.patreon.com/learntotoad

    No plays today

    Toad Rants: Brutal Chargers Beat, Bad Sunday, and MNF Bears vs Eagles Lean (Sept 28)
    Toad opens the Sept. 28 Toadstool Sports show ranting about a 1–3 NFL day highlighted by a “brutal” Chargers loss against the Bills despite being +4 in turnovers, leading most of the game, and then making late coaching/clock decisions that cost the cover. He notes a Washington win, a Tampa Bay loss, and frustration that his contest entry went 1–4 even though his other picks were strong, plus a baseball over loss in Astros–A’s because Oakland couldn’t score. With only Monday Night Football on the slate, he isn’t betting but leans Bears +3.5 vs. Eagles, discussing public money on Philadelphia, a dropped total, and his “injured player theory” around Caleb Williams being out, saying he likes Tyson Bagent and doesn’t see a major downgrade. He previews more sports returning tomorrow and plugs his channels and podcasts.

    00:00 Cold Open Lyrics
    01:28 Show Intro and Schedule
    01:54 Brutal Chargers Beat
    04:28 Other Picks and Contest Pain
    06:11 Baseball Total Bad Beat
    07:20 MNF Bears Eagles Breakdown
    08:24 Injured Player Theory
    09:48 Bagent vs Caleb Take
    14:36 Total and Weather Confusion
    17:58 Wrap Up and Plugs
    20:13 Final Sign Off

    #bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #wnba
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    22 min
  • Sunday BEST BETS | Tread Carefully | MLB & WNBA Playoffs & NFL | 9/27/26
    Sep 27 2026
    My links
    www.linktree.com/learntotoad
    www.patreon.com/learntotoad

    NFL
    LAC +7
    WAS +8
    TB +1.5

    MLB
    HOU/A's Over 9.5 +100

    Sunday Betting Card & Market Reads: MLB Finale (Astros/A’s Over), WNBA Playoffs Preview, NFL Picks | Toadstool Sports

    Toad recaps a frustrating day of picks (including the South Alabama collapse) and breaks down the final day of the MLB regular season, emphasizing late-season motivation, bullpen usage, and uncertain pitching plans. He leans Orioles over Yankees, discusses Mets/Nationals, Rays/Phillies (money on Tampa; low-total/under lean), Dodgers/Giants, Reds/Blue Jays, Braves/Marlins, Pirates/Tigers (prefers Pirates first five/first five under ideas), Guardians/Royals, and Rockies/White Sox. His only official baseball play is Astros/A’s over 9.5 in Sacramento due to ugly pitching/bullpen-game expectations and solid offenses. He then previews WNBA playoff Game 1s with market reads, highlighting under interest in Washington/Atlanta and thoughts on Indiana/Vegas and Golden State/Dallas. He closes with NFL plays (Chargers +7, Washington +8, Tampa Bay +1.5) plus broader NFL market-read notes and channel plugs.

    00:00 Cold Open Verse
    01:28 Show Intro and Recap
    01:38 College Football Bad Beat
    03:04 Wins and Losses Rundown
    04:31 MLB Finale Setup
    05:02 Orioles Yankees Breakdown
    08:42 Mets Nationals Total Talk
    12:12 Cubs Red Sox Chaos
    14:26 Rays Phillies Wildcard Drama
    24:01 Astros Athletics Best Bet
    30:53 Dodgers Giants Motivation
    34:22 Reds Blue Jays Pitching
    38:48 Toronto Cincinnati Breakdown
    40:41 Atlanta Miami Motivation Clash
    45:26 Pirates Tigers First Five Angle
    51:09 Guardians Royals Clinch Spot
    57:36 Rockies White Sox Total Lean
    01:03:36 Break Then Slump Rant
    01:05:21 Cardinals Brewers Tune Up
    01:11:43 Rangers Twins Playoff Math
    01:13:43 Gore Fade Debate
    01:15:10 Kremer Form vs Matchup
    01:16:09 Texas First Five Lean
    01:17:09 Angels Mariners Setup
    01:18:01 Kikuchi Road Concerns
    01:19:31 Gilbert Home Run Issue
    01:21:30 Side Total No Read
    01:22:31 Dbacks Padres Stakes
    01:25:01 Soroka Edge Breakdown
    01:26:17 Vasquez Opener Warning
    01:27:25 Arizona First Five Play
    01:28:27 WNBA Lynx Liberty Angle
    01:31:41 Fever Aces Upset Case
    01:34:21 Dream Mystics Under
    01:37:22 Wings Valkyries Read
    01:39:27 Todays Card Recap
    01:40:32 NFL Market Read Rundown
    01:45:25 Bagent Caleb Rant
    01:46:22 Wrap Up Promos
    01:48:41 Closing Thoughts Outro

    #bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #wnba
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    1 h et 51 min
  • NFL Week 3 BEST BETS | Secret Bagent Man
    Sep 27 2026
    My links
    www.linktree.com/learntotoad
    www.patreon.com/learntotoad

    NFL
    LAC +7
    WAS +8
    TB +1.5

    NFL Week 3 Picks: Chargers +7, Washington +8 & Bucs +1.5 | Contrarian Spots, Injury Theory & Market Reads

    Toad returns for Toadstool Sports NFL Week Three with a contrarian betting approach focused on motivated 0-2 teams and market overreactions after two weeks. He breaks down key situational angles, public vs. sharp splits, teaser/line signals, and “injured player theory” (and reverse injured player theory) to identify value. His official card is Chargers +7 (seeking +7.5) at Buffalo, Washington +8 vs. Seattle in a double injury-spot with Daniels out and Darnold returning, and Tampa Bay +1.5 vs. Minnesota, fading a “fraudulent” 2-0 Vikings team. He also strongly leans Houston -1.5 at Indy as a near-miss play, and gives additional leans on several other matchups while discussing scheduling spots, letdowns, sandwich games, and totals.

    00:00 Cold Open Poem
    01:28 Week 3 Betting Setup
    03:27 Chargers at Bills Pick
    10:20 Panthers Browns Breakdown
    15:24 Jets Lions Lean
    17:56 Texans Colts Strong Lean
    21:16 Chiefs Dolphins Value Talk
    25:43 Rant and Reset
    26:25 Titans Giants Injured QB
    30:44 Bengals Steelers Home Dog
    32:39 Seahawks Commanders Double Injury
    36:10 Washington Value Case
    39:43 Patriots Jaguars Breakdown
    42:20 Cardinals Fade Niners
    45:00 Buccaneers Upset Pick
    50:54 Ravens Cowboys Brazil
    53:48 Raiders Saints Spot
    55:45 Broncos Fade Rams
    58:21 Bears Injured QB Angle
    01:06:42 Final Picks Wrap Up

    #bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #wnba
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    1 h et 12 min
  • NHL 2026-2027 PREVIEW | Can't Name a Single Player
    Sep 27 2026
    My links
    www.linktree.com/learntotoad
    www.patreon.com/learntotoad

    #bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #wnba
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    24 min
  • Saturday BEST BETS | The Nor'easter | MLB & NCAA Football | 9/26/26
    Sep 26 2026
    My links
    www.linktree.com/learntotoad
    www.patreon.com/learntotoad

    NCAAF
    South Alabama +20.5 (wait to see if a 21 shows)
    Florida -3.5 (wait to see if a 3 shows)
    New Mexico St. +11.5
    Georgia Southern +17.5
    Utah St. -3

    Saturday Sept 26 Betting Show: MLB Board Breakdown, Late-Season Chaos + College Football Card (No MLB Plays)

    Toad returns on Saturday, September 26th after going 1-1 Friday, hitting Diamondbacks F5 but missing Cal–Clemson, then breaks down a messy, unpredictable late-season MLB slate with multiple bullpen games, weather cancellations (Yankees/Orioles and Red Sox/Cubs), unclear motivations, and even undecided starters for key games (Phillies and Diamondbacks). He discusses matchups including Mets/Nationals, Pirates/Tigers (Justin Verlander’s likely final start), Reds/Blue Jays, Dodgers/Giants, Braves/Marlins, Rangers/Twins, Guardians/Royals (his favorite lean: Royals F5 with Wacha), Rockies/White Sox, Cardinals/Brewers, Rays/Phillies, D-backs/Padres, Angels/Mariners, and Astros/A’s, but ultimately passes on MLB due to volatility. He reiterates his only plays are college football: South Alabama +20.5 (seek 21), Florida -3.5 (seek 3), New Mexico State +11.5, Georgia Southern +17.5, and Utah State -3, and plugs upcoming NFL content and his audio feeds.

    00:00 Cold Open Verse
    01:28 Show Intro and Recap
    02:35 Late Season MLB Chaos
    05:04 Mets Nationals Breakdown
    10:17 Pirates Tigers Verlander Farewell
    16:05 Reds Blue Jays Pitching Edge
    21:01 Dodgers Giants Under Angle
    22:52 Chat Tangents and CFB Talk
    29:49 Braves Marlins Bullpen Game
    32:11 Fading Atlanta Spot
    33:01 Northwestern Lookahead
    33:56 Rangers Twins Breakdown
    39:56 Guardians Royals Motivation
    43:06 Wacha Edge First Five
    47:13 Rockies White Sox Pricing
    48:26 Quintana vs Martin Angles
    53:23 Brewers Cardinals Totals
    59:29 State Songs Music Rant
    01:01:26 Subway Homeless Storytime
    01:04:26 Mars Volta Live Stories
    01:05:43 Break Then Betting Slump
    01:07:29 Tampa Bay vs Philly Breakdown
    01:12:28 Arizona vs San Diego Chaos
    01:16:49 Angels vs Mariners Under Talk
    01:22:19 Astros vs As Pitching Matchup
    01:29:08 College Football Card Picks
    01:31:55 Wrap Up And Plugs

    #bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #wnba
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    1 h et 36 min
  • College Football Week 4 BEST BETS | Misranked Teams?
    Sep 26 2026
    My links
    www.linktree.com/learntotoad
    www.patreon.com/learntotoad

    NCAAF
    South Alabama +20.5 (wait to see if a 21 shows)
    Florida -3.5 (wait to see if a 3 shows)
    New Mexico St. +11.5
    Georgia Southern +17.5
    Utah St. -3

    College Football Week 4 Picks & Best Bets (Toadstool Sports) | Florida, South Alabama, NMSU, Georgia Southern, Utah State

    Toad previews the College Football Week 4 slate, venting about a rough run and a frustrating live game, then breaks down many TV and ranked matchups using situational angles (letdown/look-ahead spots, first true road games, travel/biological-clock effects, weather impacts) and market info (tickets/cash splits, line movement, key numbers, totals). He offers leans on several games (e.g., Tennessee, Wake Forest, Maryland, Oklahoma, Michigan, Wisconsin, Nebraska, Oregon, App State) but highlights five official plays: South Alabama +20.5 vs Kentucky (hoping for +21), Florida -3.5 vs Ole Miss (waiting for -3), New Mexico State +11.5 vs New Mexico, Georgia Southern +17.5 vs Houston, and Utah State -3 vs Troy. He closes with plugs for his WNBA playoff bracket, audio feed, and upcoming content.

    00:00 Cold Open Betting Blues
    01:27 Show Intro and Ground Rules
    02:30 Texas at Tennessee Breakdown
    05:29 Illinois at Ohio State Spread Talk
    08:59 Sam Houston at Texas Tech Spot
    12:34 Wake Forest at Louisville Market Read
    14:58 Colorado at Baylor Ugly Game
    17:26 Virginia Tech at Boston College Weather
    20:27 San Diego State at Toledo Travel Angle
    23:54 Colorado State at UTSA Line Move
    26:22 First Official Play South Alabama
    31:26 UCLA at Maryland Trap Spot
    34:30 Notre Dame at Purdue Rivalry
    38:16 Hawaii at Wyoming Tease
    38:31 Wyoming Hawaii Breakdown
    41:07 Oklahoma Georgia Value
    45:39 Florida Fade Ole Miss
    54:04 Utah Road Test
    58:04 Iowa Michigan Under
    01:02:08 Big 12 Ugly Spot
    01:04:08 Boise Travel Angle
    01:07:39 UConn Miami Ohio Letdown
    01:10:30 New Mexico Rivalry Pick
    01:16:22 Parlay Advice Q&A
    01:16:57 Parlay Talk Strategy
    01:18:55 Best Bet Georgia Southern
    01:23:07 Vandy Auburn Breakdown
    01:27:03 Wisconsin Penn State Lean
    01:29:43 Nebraska Michigan State Read
    01:32:24 Break And Slump Rant
    01:34:17 Virginia Delaware Analysis
    01:36:29 JMU Old Dominion Rivalry
    01:38:52 Miami Central Michigan Spot
    01:41:00 Primetime Alabama South Carolina
    01:43:13 Cincinnati Value Vs K State
    01:44:56 Oklahoma State WVU Letdown
    01:47:33 A&M LSU Night Game
    01:50:58 Oregon USC Line Disrespect
    01:54:41 Cougars Home Dog Lean
    01:56:52 Best Bet Utah State
    02:00:44 App State Rivalry Angle
    02:04:25 Rankings vs Market Read
    02:06:58 Tulsa Steps Up to SEC
    02:09:20 Bounce Back UL Monroe
    02:11:40 Missouri State Big Spread
    02:13:30 UMass Cross Country Fade
    02:17:12 Late Night Travel Spots
    02:21:09 Air Force Bye Week Edge
    02:24:39 Washington Night Game Lean
    02:26:42 Card Recap and Sign Off

    #bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #wnba
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    2 h et 32 min
  • WNBA Playoff BRACKET PICKS | Filling out the WNBA Playoff Bracket
    Sep 26 2026
    My links
    www.linktree.com/learntotoad
    www.patreon.com/learntotoad

    #bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #wnba
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    12 min
  • Friday BEST BETS | The Swinney Roast | MLB & NCAA Football | 9/25/26
    Sep 25 2026
    My links
    www.linktree.com/learntotoad
    www.patreon.com/learntotoad

    NCAAF
    California +1.5

    MLB
    ARI F5 +106

    MLB Picks for Sept 25 + College Football Bets: Diamondbacks F5 vs Padres & Cal vs Clemson

    Toad returns for a Friday, Sept. 25 Toadstool Sports betting show after going 1-0 the prior day (Reds–Braves over), then breaks down a crowded MLB slate dominated by doubleheaders and late-season motivation, weather, and bullpen uncertainty. He discusses Red Sox–Cubs and Orioles–Yankees doubleheaders, plus other matchups including Tigers–Pirates, Rays–Phillies, Nationals–Mets, Reds–Blue Jays, Braves–Marlins, Guardians–Royals, Rockies–White Sox, Cardinals–Brewers, Rangers–Twins, Astros–A’s, Angels–Mariners, and Dodgers–Giants, offering various leans but stressing selectivity. His only official baseball play is Diamondbacks first five moneyline (+106) behind motivation and a pitching edge over Padres starter Casey Mize. He also previews Friday college football and gives Cal +1.5 vs Clemson as his main football bet, while leaning toward Army and Navy in their matchups.

    00:00 Cold Open Poem
    01:27 Show Intro Recap
    02:32 Selective Card Setup
    03:19 Red Sox Cubs Game One
    08:07 Weather Totals Angle
    10:23 Red Sox Cubs Game Two
    15:26 Announcer Side Talk
    17:52 Orioles Yankees Game One
    23:13 Orioles Yankees Game Two
    25:54 Pirates Tigers Lean
    31:07 Rays Phillies Breakdown
    36:56 Sanchez vs Rays Edge
    37:50 Weather Talk and Under Lean
    39:23 Liberty Bet Rant
    41:52 Mets vs Nationals Breakdown
    47:16 Reds vs Blue Jays Spot
    53:36 Braves vs Marlins Angles
    59:22 Guardians vs Royals Under
    01:06:47 Rockies vs White Sox Pitching
    01:10:45 White Sox Rockies Total
    01:12:55 Brewers Letdown Spot
    01:14:47 McGreevy vs Gasser Breakdown
    01:19:03 Slump Vent Session
    01:20:36 Rangers Twins Under Lean
    01:22:24 deGrom vs Joe Ryan
    01:28:01 Dbacks First Five Pick
    01:37:50 Astros vs A's Handicap
    01:43:42 Angels Mariners Under Angle
    01:44:43 Bullpens And Offenses
    01:45:00 Detmers Breakdown
    01:46:34 Miller Home Splits
    01:47:59 Total And Side Lean
    01:49:15 Dodgers Giants Setup
    01:50:03 Skubal Matchup Doubts
    01:51:40 Marte Scouting Report
    01:53:14 Over And Dodgers Price
    01:54:34 Army Temple Preview
    01:58:14 Army Line And Total
    01:59:18 Navy UAB Handicap
    02:03:31 Navy QB Injury Angle
    02:07:00 Northwestern Indiana Talk
    02:11:26 Cal Pick Vs Clemson
    02:17:18 Wrap Up And Plugs

    #bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #wnba
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    2 h et 22 min