Grant and Tanner break down Ty Simpson projected 21st to Steelers after turning down $6.5M from Miami, Bill Belichick getting SHOCKINGLY denied first-ballot Hall of Fame entry, Fernando Mendoza as the consensus #1 pick in 2026 mock drafts, and the Bills firing Sean McDermott to promote Joe Brady with zero HC experience.

TY SIMPSON - STEELERS AT 21?

The Projection: Alabama QB projected to go 21st overall to Pittsburgh. Turned down Miami's $6.5 million NIL offer to stay in college - did he make a massive mistake leaving guaranteed money for draft uncertainty?
Aaron Rodgers Factor: If Rodgers returns to Steelers, does Pittsburgh still draft QB at 21? At 41 years old, they still need succession plan. Simpson needs developmental year regardless of landing spot.

BELICHICK HALL OF FAME SNUB - OUTRAGEOUS

The Shock: Bill Belichick with SIX Super Bowl titles and 333 career wins was NOT voted into Hall of Fame on first ballot. Absolutely insane for a coach of his caliber.
Why It Happened: Spygate/Deflategate scandals gave voters "character concerns." Tom Brady winning immediately in Tampa Bay (Belichick 48-57 without Brady as starter) changed narrative to "Brady made Belichick, not the other way around."

2026 NFL MOCK DRAFT BREAKDOWN

Fernando Mendoza #1: California QB is consensus #1 overall pick in every mock draft. Elite arm talent and pro-ready processing separate him from the class.
QB Rankings: Massive drop-off after Mendoza. Ty Simpson, Jaxson Dart and others could sneak into first round despite questions - teams will reach for developmental QBs in late first.

BILLS FIRE MCDERMOTT, PROMOTE BRADY

The Decision: Buffalo fires Sean McDermott after another playoff loss, immediately promotes OC Joe Brady to head coach despite zero head coaching experience at any level. Panic move or calculated risk?
Who's to Blame?: Is it McDermott's conservative coaching? Josh Allen's playoff turnovers? Roster construction? Or just Chiefs being unstoppable? Breaking down who's actually responsible for Buffalo's Super Bowl drought and what comes next for Allen with first-time HC.

BOTTOM LINE

Ty Simpson gambling on NFL over $6.5M guaranteed NIL money with Steelers at 21. Belichick snubbed from first-ballot HOF as voters make statement about Brady vs. Belichick dynasty. Fernando Mendoza consensus #1 in weak QB class. Bills make risky move firing proven playoff coach for unproven offensive coordinator.

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SHEDEUR SANDERS MAKING THE PRO BOWL IS A JOKE

The Browns’ Shedeur Sanders making the Pro Bowl despite being statistically one of the worst quarterbacks in the league is the final straw.

Why this matters:

• Fan voting + name recognition has completely ruined the Pro Bowl
• Better quarterbacks with stronger seasons were snubbed
• The Pro Bowl is now a participation trophy, not an honor

DIEGO PAVIA IS TOO SMALL FOR THE NFL

Diego Pavia’s official measurement is in — 5’9” and change — and that confirms what scouts already knew.

The reality:

• Size matters at quarterback, and Pavia doesn’t have elite traits to offset it
• Compared to Kyler Murray or Russell Wilson? Not even close
• Off-field maturity concerns only make things worse

THE PATRIOTS’ LUCKIEST SUPER BOWL RUN EVER

The Patriots are in the Super Bowl — but don’t let the results fool you. This run was built on breaks, injuries, and favorable matchups, not dominance.

Why this run screams luck:

• Bo Nix injury forced Denver to start Jarrett Stidham
• Avoided elite competition
• Everything broke New England’s way

FINAL TAKE

The Pro Bowl is meaningless. The draft hype is delusional. And the Patriots are walking into the Super Bowl on borrowed time.
This episode is a full NFL reality check.

Drop your takes:

• Should the Pro Bowl be eliminated?
• Does Diego Pavia belong in the NFL?
• Are the Patriots legit — or the luckiest team ever?

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Grant and Tanner preview BOTH Conference Championship games! Jarrett Stidham replaces injured Bo Nix against Drake Maye's struggling Patriots, while Sam Darnold's 6 INTs meet Matthew Stafford's revenge game in the NFC. Full betting analysis and props for all four QBs.

NFC CHAMPIONSHIP: RAMS +2.5 VS SEAHAWKS

• Season Series: 1-1 split, Sam Darnold threw 6 INTs in two games BUT led improbable comeback in Game 2. Matthew Stafford excellent in second matchup but lost.
• The Storyline: Darnold's turnover chaos vs Stafford's playoff experience. Puka Nacua's explosiveness could be difference-maker.

AFC CHAMPIONSHIP: BRONCOS +4.5 VS PATRIOTS
The Bo Nix Injury: Jarrett Stidham starting after Nix broke ankle bone. Patriots 4.5-point ROAD favorites (rare!).

• The Matchup: Denver's elite defense vs Drake Maye (struggling in playoffs) and Patriots' weak O-line. Stidham gets chance to be hero.

FULL BREAKDOWN:
Spread picks for both games, moneyline value, over/under analysis with backup QB and Darnold's turnovers, player props for Stidham (completion %/rushing), Maye (INT over?), Darnold (turnover risk), Puka Nacua, and Denver's defense.

BOTTOM LINE:

• AFC: Stidham vs struggling Maye - can elite Denver defense carry backup QB to Super Bowl?
• NFC: Darnold's 6 INTs vs Stafford's revenge - which narrative wins the rubber match?

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Grant and Tanner break down BOTH Conference Championship games plus Super Bowl matchup odds and MVP candidates! Jarrett Stidham replaces injured Bo Nix against Drake Maye's Patriots, Rams-Seahawks rubber match after splitting regular season, and why they love Stafford, Maye, Nacua, and dark horse Stidham for MVP.

AFC CHAMPIONSHIP:
Broncos (Underdogs) vs Patriots: Bo Nix injured, Jarrett Stidham starting at QB against second-team All-Pro Drake Maye at Foxborough. Can Denver's elite defense carry backup QB to Super Bowl?

NFC CHAMPIONSHIP:
Rams vs Seahawks: Split regular season 1-1, both games decided by 2 points or less. Stafford's playoff experience vs Seattle's elite defense (41-6 demolition of 49ers). Rams survived OT vs Bears. Lumen Field advantage huge.

SUPER BOWL MATCHUP ODDS:
Patriots vs Rams (Maye vs Stafford QB battle), Patriots vs Seahawks (young QB vs elite D), Broncos vs Rams (Stidham vs experience), Broncos vs Seahawks (defense slugfest).

MVP CANDIDATES:
Matthew Stafford: Second Super Bowl run, playoff pedigree, safest bet if Rams win
Drake Maye: All-Pro Year 2, winning MVP would be legendary career start
Puka Nacua: Explosive playoffs, great value if Rams win and he dominates
Jarrett Stidham: ULTIMATE dark horse - backup QB leading Broncos to title would be greatest NFL story ever.

FULL BREAKDOWN:
Conference championship spreads, moneyline plays, Super Bowl futures, MVP odds, over/unders, player props, best bets for Championship Sunday and Big Game.

Drop YOUR picks for both games + Super Bowl MVP!

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Grant and Tanner break down EVERY playoff game this weekend! NFL divisional matchups plus the CFP National Championship. From Josh Allen at Mile High to Drake Maye facing the NFL's best defense to Indiana vs Miami for the title - full betting analysis and picks.

NFL DIVISIONAL ROUND PICKS:
Bills +1.5 at Broncos: Josh Allen's playoff experience vs Bo Nix's second-year brilliance. #1 seed getting points at home?
Seahawks -7 vs 49ers: Sam Darnold playing through oblique injury, 49ers battling tons of injuries. Is 7 enough?
Texans +3 at Patriots: NFL's best defense vs second-team All-Pro Drake Maye. Houston suffocates or Maye breaks out?
Rams -3.5 at Bears: Matthew Stafford plays poorly in bad weather, Caleb Williams keeps making ridiculous comebacks. Which narrative wins?

CFP NATIONAL CHAMPIONSHIP:
Indiana -8.5 vs Miami: Fernando Mendoza vs Carson Beck. Grant & Tanner BOTH like Indiana to win, but SPLIT on who covers 8.5 points.

FULL BREAKDOWN:

• Spread picks for all 5 games
• Moneyline value plays
• Over/under analysis
• Player props and best bets
• Weather impacts and injury concerns

Drop YOUR picks for all 5 games!

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Grant and Tanner break down EVERY playoff game this weekend! From Drake Maye facing the NFL's #1 defense to Caleb's comeback magic, George Kittle's devastating injury, and the most disrespected #1 seed ever - plus the CFP Championship upset potential. Full betting analysis and picks for all five games.

CFP CHAMPIONSHIP:

Miami +7.5 vs Indiana - Can the Hurricanes upset the Hoosiers after knocking off Ole Miss and Ohio State? The Carson Beck and Fernando Mendoza showdown awaits

NFL DIVISIONAL ROUND:

Patriots -2.5 vs Texans - Drake Maye's All-Pro season faces NFL's best defense at Foxborough
Seahawks -7.5 vs 49ers - San Francisco just lost George Kittle to torn Achilles - is 7.5 enough?
Rams -3.5 at Bears - Caleb Williams' historic comeback magic continues or Stafford reality check?
Bills -1.5 at Broncos - #1 seed getting points AT HOME? Massive disrespect or warranted?

FULL BREAKDOWN:

• Spread picks for all 5 games
• Moneyline value plays
• Over/under analysis
• Player props and best bets
• Upset alerts and trap games

Drop YOUR picks for all 5 games!

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Grant and Tanner break down their FAVORITE player prop for each of the six Wild Card matchups and Indiana vs Oregon! From Matthew Stafford's passing yards to Saquon Barkley's rushing total to Josh Allen's TDs, we've got you covered with props that CASH.

OUR WILD CARD PROPS:

NFL Wild Card Props and Games:

• Matthew Stafford (Rams): Under passing yards - MVP Stafford takes a back seat?
• Saquon Barkley (Eagles): Playoffs + feed your star = anytime touchdown
• Josh Allen (Bills): Over total TDs - Allen in January is unstoppable
• And much more…

WHY THESE PROPS HIT:

Playoff Context:

• Teams lean on stars in January
• Game scripts favor featured players
• Defensive adjustments create opportunities
• Weather considerations baked into totals

Our Edge: Regular-season stats don't always translate to playoffs. We're betting on players who elevate in big moments.

BOTTOM LINE

Wild Card Weekend is about stars performing when it matters most. Stafford, Saquon, and Allen are built for these moments. We're riding with proven playoff performers.

What's YOUR favorite Wild Card prop?

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Wild Card Weekend is HERE, and Grant and Tanner are breaking down ALL SIX playoff games with their best spread picks, player props, and locks! From Saturday's doubleheader to Monday night, we've got you covered with betting analysis and predictions.

Grant and Tanner are ALL OVER Indiana (-3.5) in the CFP semifinal rematch with Oregon! The Hoosiers already beat the Ducks by 10 in the regular season, and we think they'll do it AGAIN. Plus, serious questions about both quarterbacks, Dante Moore and Fernando Mendoza, and Tanner goes OFF on Oregon fans who've been chirping!

Grant and Tanner are BACKING the Miami Hurricanes (-3.5) in the College Football Playoff semifinal against Ole Miss, despite Trinidad Chambliss putting on a show in the quarterfinals! We break down why the Canes are the play and why we're not buying the Chambliss hype train.

Plus: Best bets, player props, and more!

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