Grant and Tanner break down Ty Simpson projected 21st to Steelers after turning down $6.5M from Miami, Bill Belichick getting SHOCKINGLY denied first-ballot Hall of Fame entry, Fernando Mendoza as the consensus #1 pick in 2026 mock drafts, and the Bills firing Sean McDermott to promote Joe Brady with zero HC experience.

TY SIMPSON - STEELERS AT 21?

The Projection: Alabama QB projected to go 21st overall to Pittsburgh. Turned down Miami's $6.5 million NIL offer to stay in college - did he make a massive mistake leaving guaranteed money for draft uncertainty?
Aaron Rodgers Factor: If Rodgers returns to Steelers, does Pittsburgh still draft QB at 21? At 41 years old, they still need succession plan. Simpson needs developmental year regardless of landing spot.

BELICHICK HALL OF FAME SNUB - OUTRAGEOUS

The Shock: Bill Belichick with SIX Super Bowl titles and 333 career wins was NOT voted into Hall of Fame on first ballot. Absolutely insane for a coach of his caliber.
Why It Happened: Spygate/Deflategate scandals gave voters "character concerns." Tom Brady winning immediately in Tampa Bay (Belichick 48-57 without Brady as starter) changed narrative to "Brady made Belichick, not the other way around."

2026 NFL MOCK DRAFT BREAKDOWN

Fernando Mendoza #1: California QB is consensus #1 overall pick in every mock draft. Elite arm talent and pro-ready processing separate him from the class.
QB Rankings: Massive drop-off after Mendoza. Ty Simpson, Jaxson Dart and others could sneak into first round despite questions - teams will reach for developmental QBs in late first.

BILLS FIRE MCDERMOTT, PROMOTE BRADY

The Decision: Buffalo fires Sean McDermott after another playoff loss, immediately promotes OC Joe Brady to head coach despite zero head coaching experience at any level. Panic move or calculated risk?
Who's to Blame?: Is it McDermott's conservative coaching? Josh Allen's playoff turnovers? Roster construction? Or just Chiefs being unstoppable? Breaking down who's actually responsible for Buffalo's Super Bowl drought and what comes next for Allen with first-time HC.

BOTTOM LINE

Ty Simpson gambling on NFL over $6.5M guaranteed NIL money with Steelers at 21. Belichick snubbed from first-ballot HOF as voters make statement about Brady vs. Belichick dynasty. Fernando Mendoza consensus #1 in weak QB class. Bills make risky move firing proven playoff coach for unproven offensive coordinator.

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SHEDEUR SANDERS MAKING THE PRO BOWL IS A JOKE

The Browns’ Shedeur Sanders making the Pro Bowl despite being statistically one of the worst quarterbacks in the league is the final straw.

Why this matters:

• Fan voting + name recognition has completely ruined the Pro Bowl
• Better quarterbacks with stronger seasons were snubbed
• The Pro Bowl is now a participation trophy, not an honor

DIEGO PAVIA IS TOO SMALL FOR THE NFL

Diego Pavia’s official measurement is in — 5’9” and change — and that confirms what scouts already knew.

The reality:

• Size matters at quarterback, and Pavia doesn’t have elite traits to offset it
• Compared to Kyler Murray or Russell Wilson? Not even close
• Off-field maturity concerns only make things worse

THE PATRIOTS’ LUCKIEST SUPER BOWL RUN EVER

The Patriots are in the Super Bowl — but don’t let the results fool you. This run was built on breaks, injuries, and favorable matchups, not dominance.

Why this run screams luck:

• Bo Nix injury forced Denver to start Jarrett Stidham
• Avoided elite competition
• Everything broke New England’s way

FINAL TAKE

The Pro Bowl is meaningless. The draft hype is delusional. And the Patriots are walking into the Super Bowl on borrowed time.
This episode is a full NFL reality check.

Drop your takes:

• Should the Pro Bowl be eliminated?
• Does Diego Pavia belong in the NFL?
• Are the Patriots legit — or the luckiest team ever?

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Grant and Tanner preview BOTH Conference Championship games! Jarrett Stidham replaces injured Bo Nix against Drake Maye's struggling Patriots, while Sam Darnold's 6 INTs meet Matthew Stafford's revenge game in the NFC. Full betting analysis and props for all four QBs.

NFC CHAMPIONSHIP: RAMS +2.5 VS SEAHAWKS

• Season Series: 1-1 split, Sam Darnold threw 6 INTs in two games BUT led improbable comeback in Game 2. Matthew Stafford excellent in second matchup but lost.
• The Storyline: Darnold's turnover chaos vs Stafford's playoff experience. Puka Nacua's explosiveness could be difference-maker.

AFC CHAMPIONSHIP: BRONCOS +4.5 VS PATRIOTS
The Bo Nix Injury: Jarrett Stidham starting after Nix broke ankle bone. Patriots 4.5-point ROAD favorites (rare!).

• The Matchup: Denver's elite defense vs Drake Maye (struggling in playoffs) and Patriots' weak O-line. Stidham gets chance to be hero.

FULL BREAKDOWN:
Spread picks for both games, moneyline value, over/under analysis with backup QB and Darnold's turnovers, player props for Stidham (completion %/rushing), Maye (INT over?), Darnold (turnover risk), Puka Nacua, and Denver's defense.

BOTTOM LINE:

• AFC: Stidham vs struggling Maye - can elite Denver defense carry backup QB to Super Bowl?
• NFC: Darnold's 6 INTs vs Stafford's revenge - which narrative wins the rubber match?

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