Netanyahu leads, no majority: Israel’s election deadlock
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With about 97% of votes counted, the results upended months of polling. Netanyahu’s Likud is the largest party, and his bloc leads 53 to 48. Even so, no coalition adds up. Record Arab turnout raised the effective threshold and pushed every new small party out of the Knesset. Meanwhile, the Arab parties are signaling a willingness to use their leverage to unseat Netanyahu without their traditional preconditions. Keshet Neev and host Jacob Laznik walk through each scenario: a unity government with Gadi Eisenkot and Naftali Bennett, a minority government, or a third outcome neither bloc wants. “Anyone who says they know what’s going to happen is lying,” Laznik says.
The week grew more complicated when it emerged that the Shin Bet is examining suspected foreign funding, reportedly linked to Qatar and possibly Turkey, aimed at boosting Arab turnout. Qatar has denied the allegations, and the Central Elections Committee says the integrity of the vote is intact. The episode also covers Avigdor Liberman’s wildcard role and how a Democratic win in the US midterms could shape Netanyahu’s Iran plans. It closes with what these first post–October 7 elections reveal: Netanyahu’s bloc still leads, but “doesn’t have nearly as much support as it did” before the attack, Neev notes.
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