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Somewhere outside Paris, a guy is standing by a chain-link fence pointing a hairdryer at a government thermometer.

Why?

Because he bet on record-breaking heat — and apparently decided predicting the future was less profitable than helping it along.

Welcome to prediction markets: places where people can put money on elections, wars, the weather, what a president will say on television, who wins Survivor… basically anything with an outcome.

But what happens when there's enough money riding on an event that people stop predicting reality and start trying to change it?

In this episode, MAD co-host Sean Guillory jumps into the guest chair alongside his Betting Intelligence co-founders Dan Zimmerman and Gary Morland to explain how prediction markets work, why they've exploded, and the strange new security problems that emerge when information itself has a price tag.

We get into insider information, market manipulation, journalists being threatened, fake signals, AI-generated disinformation, geopolitical bets, regulatory loopholes — and why the person who knows what's going to happen may also have a financial incentive to make sure it does.

Check out Betint: https://www.betint.net/

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Sponsor us.
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MAD Warfare™ is hosted by narrative strategist Jocelyn Brady and cognitive neuroscientist Sean Anthony Guillory.
Edited and produced by Amine el Filali.

Visit madwarfare.com for extra giggles.
Send dream guests, weird ideas, wishes, and sponsorship inquiries (yes, again) to madwarfarepodcast@gmail.com.

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Fair Use

This show is MAD enough to include homages, short clips, and references that provide vital context and/or moments of joy. We deeply respect every creator's work and use these moments for educational, artistic, and transformative purposes under Fair Use. If we missed an attribution or you'd like to collaborate, reach out—we're happy to chat.

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🎙️ Get the ad-free version and exclusive bonus segments here:
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Give people a smartphone, make them anxious about elections, jobs, status, and the future—and then watch where all that energy goes.

Politics becomes entertainment.
Entertainment becomes identity.
Identity becomes a weapon.

You know. Normal democracy stuff.

In this episode, we talk with Aman Bhondwe — political strategist, AI governance advisor, futurist, and author — about what India can teach the rest of the world about attention, technology, democracy, and the future arriving faster than anyone is ready for.

India may be the world's largest democracy, but it is also a kind of global test lab: a huge, young population moving from limited internet access to hyperconnectivity in less than a decade. The smartphones are cheap. The data is cheaper. The consequences are still loading.

We get into weaponized attention, AI anxiety, youth unemployment, loneliness, political polarization, ancient Indian philosophy, healthcare disruption, and why optimism may be less of a personality trait than a survival strategy.

We also talk about:
• why India may be a preview of America's digital future
• how attention became a battlefield
• what happens when educated young people can't find meaningful work
• why AI anxiety is becoming a mental health crisis
• what the Bhagavad Gita can teach us about likes, status, and external validation
• why Gen Z may be right to "build in private"
• how ancient stories can help us think through modern disruption
• why India could become a cognitive security powerhouse
• what happens when politics enters every conversation
• how smartphones manufacture anxiety
• why healthcare may be the next major zone of turbulence
• and why the only phone notifications you may actually need are from people who would visit you in the hospital

If you've ever wondered whether your phone is helping you see the future—or quietly scripting it for you—this one's for you.

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Timestamps (approx)

• 00:00 The future of distraction
• 02:00 India as democracy's digital test lab
• 04:00 Cheap smartphones, cheap data, and hyperconnectivity
• 06:30 Why attention has become weaponized
• 08:30 The leaderless digital militia
• 11:00 AI anxiety, graduate unemployment, and mental health
• 15:00 Ancient Indian philosophy and the modern information war
• 18:00 The Bhagavad Gita, external validation, and working without attachment
• 22:00 Why Gen Z says "build in private"
• 26:00 Purpose, money, and living someone else's dream
• 30:00 India's potential as a cognitive security powerhouse
• 33:00 Diversity, division, and India's historical vulnerabilities
• 36:30 Why optimism is the only viable path
• 38:30 Chatbots, loneliness, and the need to step away from the screen
• 42:00 Politics, family division, and losing the ability to disagree
• 47:00 What quantum physics can teach us about being watched
• 49:00 The coming era of turbulence
• 50:30 A tiny experiment with phone notifications
• 53:00 Why healthcare may be the next major disruption
• 57:00 The Dharma of Disruption + where to find Aman

⸻

Want To Support MAD?

Sponsor us.
We'll make you a weird, wonderful custom video.

Email: madwarfarepodcast@gmail.com

(Or send snacks. Still counts.)

⸻

MAD Warfare™ is hosted by narrative strategist Jocelyn Brady and cognitive neuroscientist Sean Anthony Guillory.
Edited and produced by Amine el Filali.

Visit madwarfare.com for extra giggles.
Send dream guests, weird ideas, wishes, and sponsorship inquiries (yes, again) to madwarfarepodcast@gmail.com.

⸻

Fair Use

This show is MAD enough to include homages, short clips, and references that provide vital context and/or moments of joy. We deeply respect every creator's work and use these moments for educational, artistic, and transformative purposes under Fair Use. If we missed an attribution or you'd like to collaborate, reach out—we're happy to chat.