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Description

This audiobook is about luck, or more precisely, how we perceive and deal with luck in life and business. It is already a landmark work and its title has entered our vocabulary. In its second edition, Fooled by Randomness is now a cornerstone for anyone interested in random outcomes.

Set against the backdrop of the most conspicuous forum in which luck is mistaken for skill, the world of trading, this audiobook is a captivating insight into one of the least understood factors of all our lives. In an entertaining narrative style, the author succeeds in tackling three major intellectual issues: the problem of induction, the survivorship biases, and our genetic unfitness to the modern word. Taleb uses stories and anecdotes to illustrate our overestimation of causality and the heuristics that make us view the world as far more explainable than it actually is.

The audiobook is populated with an array of characters, some of whom have grasped, in their own way, the significance of chance: Yogi Berra, the baseball legend; Karl Popper, the philosopher of knowledge; Solon, the ancient world's wisest man; the modern financier George Soros; and the Greek voyager Ulysses. We also meet the fictional Nero, who seems to understand the role of randomness in his professional life, but who also falls victim to his own superstitious foolishness.

But the most recognizable character remains unnamed, the lucky fool in the right place at the right time - the embodiment of the "Survival of the Least Fit". Such individuals attract devoted followers who believe in their guru's insights and methods. But no one can replicate what is obtained through chance.

It may be impossible to guard against the vagaries of the Goddess Fortuna, but after listening to Fooled by Randomness we can be a little better prepared.

©2004 Nassim Nicholas Taleb (P)2008 Gildan Media Corp

Commentaires

"[Taleb is] Wall Street's principal dissident....[ Fooled by Randomness] is to conventional Wall Street wisdom approximately what Martin Luther's ninety-nine theses were to the Catholic Church." (Malcolm Gladwell, The New Yorker)
"An articulate, wise, and humorous meditation on the nature of success and failure that anyone who wants a little more of the former would do well to consider." (Amazon.com)

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Ce que les auditeurs disent de Fooled by Randomness

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Il n'y a pas encore de critique disponible pour ce titre.
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  • Global
    4 out of 5 stars
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Image de profile pour Wade T. Brooks
  • Wade T. Brooks
  • 25/06/2012

Pass on this one and read The Black Swan

Taleb's master work and must read is The Black Swan (not the movie) and it's amazing. This is a sparse shadow of that book.

34 personnes ont trouvé cela utile

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    4 out of 5 stars
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Image de profile pour Kazuhiko
  • Kazuhiko
  • 10/02/2013

Fun to listen to

Many reviews of this book point out that the author is arrogant, and I agree, but
this arrogance probably comes from his insecurity of, after all, still being in the
financial industry that he seems to despise. He cannot get out of it.
The issue of "fooled by randomness" applies to so many aspects of life,
not just financial industry. There are some insightful comments in the book.
If you expect to learn many things from this book,
you may be disappointed. For the first couple of hours, his snideness and arrogance
bothered me, but then I began to enjoy listening to this frustrated flawed character
who occasionally speaks truth in a tragicomedy style.

31 personnes ont trouvé cela utile

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    1 out of 5 stars
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  • Igor
  • 28/03/2019

useless rant

general observation of life on level of teenager mindset. what was the point to state trivial baseless assumptions? pointless blablabla

5 personnes ont trouvé cela utile

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    1 out of 5 stars
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Image de profile pour William
  • William
  • 02/03/2019

an author high on his own ego.

The narration is excellent but the book itself is poor. The author seems to think that his own original thoughts are superior to published research anywhere the argument is remotely possible. The only thing more annoying in reading such is the faux humility he attempts to dress it in while he argues that he should not be responsible for covering conventional literature, and simultaneously dismissing it

5 personnes ont trouvé cela utile

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  • Amazon Customer
  • 15/02/2013

An Excellent and Worthwhile Book

An interesting book that is enlivened by stories of various traders and insults targeted at journalists, economists, MBAs, and philistines in general. He comes off as kind of arrogant and condesending but since I'm too thick to understand that he's talking about me, I find the irreverent tone rather enjoyable. He does a great job on a difficult topic.

26 personnes ont trouvé cela utile

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    2 out of 5 stars
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Image de profile pour Jack
  • Jack
  • 04/02/2014

Commentary too random and disjointed

What disappointed you about Fooled by Randomness?

The theme was both disorganized and too narrowly focused on financial traders? It lacked specific real world cases and examples.

14 personnes ont trouvé cela utile

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    5 out of 5 stars
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Image de profile pour M. Blake
  • M. Blake
  • 28/05/2012

very entertaining and eye opening

Would you recommend this audiobook to a friend? If so, why?

This is not only entertaining, but enlightening because it illustrates with easily understandable examples, how randomness affects all of us whether we realize it or not. By applying the principles to our own lives, we may be able to understand our behavior and behavior of others better while giving us an advantage over others who do not understand these things. The author is clever in using illustrations to depict some complex statistical ideas and he does so in a very practical and understandable way that even non-math people can understand.
This is not a dry mathematical book but a very enjoyable read/listen. I kept coming back to it again and again just like any good book that keeps you going until it is finished. I enjoyed The Black Swan and this book is no disappointment - definitely recommend.

If you could give Fooled by Randomness a new subtitle, what would it be?

Things you might not realize were randomness and how you deal with it in your life.

3 personnes ont trouvé cela utile

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    4 out of 5 stars
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Image de profile pour Ken Premo
  • Ken Premo
  • 26/03/2014

Great information but...

I really enjoyed the ideas put forward in this book and I think it is very important that randomness and statistics be better understood in society. That said, the author of the book is long-winded, imperious, and extremely self focused. "I" is the most common word used throughout the book while the author disdains his fellow traders on Wall Street, his fellow MBA's, and his fellow academics.

If you can get past the author, the ideas and information of the book is worth the effort.

7 personnes ont trouvé cela utile

  • Global
    4 out of 5 stars
Image de profile pour Marink
  • Marink
  • 08/03/2011

interesting book

An interesting book from a very cocky author. Taleb hits important points. I believe if I had read this book earlier in my life, it could have saved me from some of the mistakes that I made. The book is a must for any trader given that it works like a medicin to desinflate one's ego. Still, I believe that the author overestimates the impact of randomness, but just by making the reader aware of its presence and importance, makes it worthwhile the read!!!!!

4 personnes ont trouvé cela utile

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    5 out of 5 stars
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Image de profile pour Nathan Heide
  • Nathan Heide
  • 12/01/2020

Love this author!

Taleb is the author who most stimulates my questions about randomness and probability at the moment.

1 personne a trouvé cela utile

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  • Global
    4 out of 5 stars
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Image de profile pour Marc Dierckx
  • Marc Dierckx
  • 03/09/2015

This is not any longer

I am really a fan of Nicholas Taleb's proofs that induction is a flaw and the future cannot be predicted, but after my third book of Nasim Taleb I really got the impression that there is a pattern in his theories and I am looking forward for the black swan to unravel my theory about the theories in the fourth sequel to come. In spite of the critique: I really enjoyed and also the third book made me utter "of course, you stupid idiot". By which I certainly did not ment Nasim Taleb, but confirmed his theory : "we are indeed always fooled by randomness"

3 personnes ont trouvé cela utile

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Image de profile pour Pisarenco Alexandru
  • Pisarenco Alexandru
  • 25/07/2018

just bad

Narrator: takes many long, unwarranted, unexpected, senseless pauses. makes it hard to follow the book. Book: If I wanted a superficial summary of "thinking, fast and slow", decorated with random stories of insignificant anonymous people, seasoned with quite a frequent and disturbing ego-stroking of the author ("i benefit when most people around are stupid, except for a few who would recognize my brilliance and hire me for it", something like that), I'd ... probably not like myself very much. there are better books, in all aspects, to get the little valuable information that is in this book.

4 personnes ont trouvé cela utile

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  • Janne
  • 01/07/2020

Not too good

story was a bit bouncy, and the catch never appeared to me really. hard to follow.

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Image de profile pour Nabil
  • Nabil
  • 15/06/2020

Science is great; scientist are dangerous

Eine wunderbar skeptische Auseinandersetzung mit Wissenschaften und den Effekten von Zufall. Ich hatte unheimlichen Spaß während es Hörens und bin gespannt auf den Rest seiner Bücher!

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Image de profile pour Sebastian Deubler
  • Sebastian Deubler
  • 03/01/2020

So much wisdom ...

This was the best non-fiction book I have listened to since many years. I love the structure of the book and the vast amount of wisdom explained by the help of stories, anecdotes, poems, philosophy making the book enjoyable to follow. I have ordered the next book of the author and start reading now. Thank you Nassim Nicolas Taleb.

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    3 out of 5 stars
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  • Roman H
  • 04/07/2019

Does the content fool us by randomness?

The author is a great mind and this book could be very interesting but even the best minds can benefit by listening to others. In this case, the author should have listened to his editor. Rather than a well-structured, organized book, this text appears like a random collection of anecdotes. This makes it much harder to keep listening than would be desirable. There are some great points in this book but in it's current version, there are serious shortcomings. The author likes to praise himself, the organization of this book needs serious editing and rather than random anectodes of sometimes questionable relevance, a discussion of actual data and scientific concepts would seem beneficial.

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    4 out of 5 stars
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Image de profile pour Laney
  • Laney
  • 26/08/2018

very good. would have liked more trading

great overview but would have liked to hear more depth about trading and felt it ended slightly abruptly wanting more. that aside, I would still highly recommend the book.

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Image de profile pour Samuel
  • Samuel
  • 28/05/2018

Amazing book!

The books by Taleb are just amazing. He has an extremely refreshing view on things and you learn a lot!

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    2 out of 5 stars
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  • Amazon Customer
  • 08/03/2018

same blabla first two hours...

very disappointing book. when one knows a little bit about prob theory (monte carlo i.e.) and has a little common sense, he will find this book pretty boring... he uses many words and repeats himself multiple time only to say the same thing, which I already knew in the first place...

1 personne a trouvé cela utile

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    5 out of 5 stars
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Image de profile pour Leonhard
  • Leonhard
  • 07/05/2016

Great work from one of the most thoughtful authors of our time

I like this book because it reminds me (also working in the finance/risk industry) not to foolishly trust our models. Being skeptical towards forecasters, data miners, pattern searchers, simplifiers, explainers, ... is probably advisable in our world.

Black Swan was the first book I read. Then came Antifragile. Now one of his first pieces. All three are must reads. Enjoy getting wiser/more skeptical ;-)