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The Temperature Illusion

The Temperature Illusion

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If a single cold winter can make it feel like warming has stopped… what happens when the data itself seems to “pause”?

In this episode of The Climate Translation, Dr. Mac breaks down what he calls The Temperature Illusion, the idea that short-term weather swings can mask a long-term warming trend. He explains the critical difference between weather and climate, why record-breaking years tend to cluster, and how natural variability can temporarily obscure the bigger picture. Along the way, he explores the role of ocean heat storage, the surprising impact of cleaning up air pollution, and why the concept of a “pause” in warming is usually a misunderstanding of scale rather than a change in direction.

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