Épisodes

  • State-Insurgent Strategic Competition
    May 11 2026

    What if the most important battlefield in insurgency isn't a battlefield at all? What if it's a marketplace — one where states and armed challengers compete not over territory, but over who gets to govern?

    In this episode, we walk through The War Marketplace Framework: Insurgency as Competitive Governance, a contributing article by Moe Gyo that originally appeared on The Resistance Hub as a three-part series. The framework reframes insurgency as competitive governance provision under conditions of institutional failure, arguing that armed groups endure not because they fight well, but because they outcompete the state in delivering security, justice, public goods, and legitimacy to populations operating under coercion and uncertainty.

    Part One establishes the core model. Civilians are not spectators — they are constrained consumers allocating compliance based on which provider governs more credibly. Insurgents operate less like rebels and more like disruptive startups entering a stagnant monopoly, bundling violence within a broader governance offering. Part Two applies Porter's Five Forces to the war marketplace, examining how entry barriers, civilian bargaining power, supplier networks, substitute governance providers, and rivalry among armed actors create structural conditions that explain why some insurgencies regenerate endlessly, why others fragment into warlordism, and why certain conflicts resist decisive resolution regardless of military effort. Part Three gets into strategy — how states and insurgents manipulate the same five forces from opposite positions, why fragmentation prevents defeat but rarely produces victory, and why the most durable insurgent groups often face a brutal internal choice between governing well and surviving long.

    Whether you work in defense, security, conflict analysis, or policy, this episode challenges conventional thinking about why counterinsurgency campaigns fail and what it actually takes to collapse a rival governance market.

    Afficher plus Afficher moins
    22 min
  • Case Study: The Rhodesian Insurgency
    May 4 2026

    Two insurgent groups. Two competing Cold War sponsors. One battlespace. The Rhodesian Bush War offers something rare in the study of irregular warfare — a natural experiment comparing two fundamentally different approaches to unconventional warfare, playing out simultaneously inside the same conflict.

    In this episode, we walk through the United States Army Special Operations Command case study on the Rhodesian insurgency and the role of external support from 1961 to 1979, produced in partnership with the Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Laboratory as part of the Assessing Revolutionary and Insurgent Strategies series. The study examines how the Soviet Union backed the Zimbabwe African People's Union while China backed the Zimbabwe African National Union, each exporting a distinct model of guerrilla warfare to their respective clients.

    We cover the full arc: the colonial roots and road to rebellion, Ian Smith's Unilateral Declaration of Independence and the international sanctions that followed, the organizational structures and strategies of both insurgent movements, and the external support networks that sustained them. At the heart of the analysis is a critical divergence — how the Chinese emphasis on politicizing and mobilizing the rural population through a Maoist people's war strategy ultimately proved decisive, while the Soviet model's military-first approach left its client organizationally weak when it mattered most at the ballot box. We also examine the Rhodesian Security Forces' counterinsurgency campaign, the role of neighboring states as sanctuaries and sponsors, and the pressures that finally brought all parties to Lancaster House in 1979.

    Key takeaways include the importance of tailoring external support to the local environment, the criticality of linking military strategy to political objectives, the role of structural conditions in shaping insurgent outcomes, and the cost of failing to achieve unity of effort among resistance movements.

    Essential listening for anyone studying unconventional warfare, foreign internal defense, or the mechanics of Cold War proxy conflicts in Africa.

    Afficher plus Afficher moins
    18 min
  • The Power of Symbols: Why Iconography Matters in Resistance Movements
    Apr 27 2026

    Some moments in an uprising transcend words — a raised fist on an Olympic podium, a sea of Guy Fawkes masks in a city square, a canopy of umbrellas pushing back tear gas. These aren't decoration. They're doctrine.

    In this episode, we break down three of the most powerful symbols in modern resistance and why they work, drawing on Gene Sharp's framework from 198 Methods of Nonviolent Action. We trace the raised fist from 1930s anti-fascist Spain and the 1968 Mexico City Olympics to Otpor's strategic branding in Serbia, Belarus 2020, and Iran's Woman, Life, Freedom movement. We examine the Guy Fawkes mask as the digital-age balaclava, anonymity as weapon, from Anonymous and Occupy Wall Street to Hong Kong's anti-mask law defiance and Nigeria's #EndSARS. And we look at the umbrella, perhaps the most poetic of all: an ordinary civilian object turned into shield, banner, and non-escalatory assertion of public space from Hong Kong to Myanmar.

    Along the way, we ask the harder questions: What happens when a resistance symbol is owned by a media conglomerate? How do movements defend their iconography from corporate appropriation and regime counter-messaging? And why, in asymmetric struggles where movements lose the battle of resources, can they still win the battle of meaning?

    Symbols are low-cost, high-impact, and they outlive the leaders who raise them. For anyone studying irregular warfare, influence operations, or the psychological terrain of modern conflict, this one's essential listening.

    Afficher plus Afficher moins
    23 min
  • Cyber Security Differences Between States and Resistance Movements
    Apr 20 2026

    Cyber security looks very different depending on which side of an irregular conflict you're on. State security forces can centralize everything — monitoring, training, compliance, background checks. Resistance movements can't, because centralization creates catastrophic single points of failure. In this episode, we break down how cellular organizational structures shape cyber security requirements for resistance movements, where the critical vulnerabilities lie, and what compensating measures cell leaders can employ to keep their people and operations protected.

    Afficher plus Afficher moins
    12 min
  • Understanding Resistance
    Apr 13 2026

    What does modern resistance actually look like?

    In this episode, we examine Understanding Resistance, part of the Assessing Revolutionary and Insurgent Strategies (ARIS) series produced for the United States Army Special Operations Command . This volume explores the foundational mechanics of resistance movements — how they form, evolve, organize, legitimize themselves, and ultimately attempt to govern.


    We unpack:

    • The phases of contemporary resistance — from clandestine organization to militarization and consolidation

    • Competing doctrinal models, including Mao’s construct, FM 3-24, ATP 3-05, Galula, and SORO

    • The determinants and variables that shape movement evolution — grievance levels, logistics capacity, finance, recruitment, clandestine behavior, and leadership dynamics

    • The “public component” — how insurgent groups build legitimacy through governance, social services, and political engagement

    • Thresholds of violence and the strategic transition from resistance to governance

    Rather than viewing insurgency purely through armed struggle, this discussion highlights resistance as a dynamic system — blending political organization, psychological operations, underground networks, and shadow governance. The episode emphasizes the operational utility of understanding phasing models and organizational growth as tools for both enabling and countering resistance movements.

    This episode offers a structured framework for analyzing how resistance movements develop — and how they succeed or fail.

    Based on: Assessing Revolutionary and Insurgent Strategies: Special Topics in Irregular Warfare – Understanding Resistance

    Full text is available on theresistancehub.com/assessing-revolutionary-and-insurgent-strategies-aris/

    Afficher plus Afficher moins
    15 min
  • The Resistance Operating Concept
    Apr 7 2026

    This episode explores the Resistance Operating Concept (ROC), a foundational framework developed through multinational collaboration to address how states can prepare for, withstand, and recover from partial or full loss of sovereignty under foreign pressure or occupation.

    Drawing on military doctrine, historical case studies, and whole-of-society defense models, the ROC reframes resistance not as insurgency, but as a legitimate, state-authorized effort rooted in law, resilience, and national cohesion. Central to the concept is the idea that resilience precedes resistance—built through civil defense, psychological preparedness, legal frameworks, and population engagement long before crisis or conflict emerges.

    The discussion examines Total Defense models, the role of civilian populations, underground and auxiliary networks, legitimacy under occupation, and how resistance functions as both deterrence and defense. This episode is intended for policymakers, military professionals, academics, and practitioners seeking a structured understanding of resistance as a component of modern national defense planning.

    Disclaimer:
    This podcast discusses publicly available academic and doctrinal concepts related to resistance and national defense. It does not provide tactical instruction, operational guidance, or advocacy for any group, activity, or method. Views expressed are for analytical and educational purposes only and do not represent the position of any government, military organization, or institution.

    Based on Resistance Operating Concept, JSOU Press, 2020.

    Afficher plus Afficher moins
    18 min
  • China's Fishing Flotillas as Paramilitary Economic Warfare
    Mar 30 2026

    In this episode, we examine how China’s distant-water fishing fleet has evolved into a tool of economic and paramilitary statecraft. What appears to be commercial fishing increasingly functions as a grey-zone instrument of power projection, resource extraction, and maritime coercion.

    Drawing on open-source data, satellite analysis, and documented operational patterns from the South Pacific, West Africa, Latin America, and polar regions, the episode explores how subsidies, dual-use vessel design, militia doctrine, and legal ambiguity allow Beijing to dominate maritime spaces without crossing the threshold of armed conflict. The result is a slow-burn form of economic warfare that depletes fish stocks, overwhelms local enforcement, and creates long-term dependency among weaker coastal states.

    The discussion situates China’s fishing fleets within broader concepts of hybrid warfare, lawfare, and resource competition, highlighting how civilian presence can substitute for naval force while reshaping norms of sovereignty and enforcement at sea. This episode is intended for policymakers, military professionals, maritime security analysts, and academics seeking to understand how non-kinetic power is exercised across the global commons.

    Afficher plus Afficher moins
    15 min
  • Total Defense: How Nations Build Resilience Before Crisis
    Mar 23 2026

    This episode examines how national survival depends not only on military power, but on whether an entire society can continue to function under stress. Using the Total Defense framework, the analysis explores how governments, businesses, and citizens are organized into a single system designed to absorb shocks and remain coherent during disruption.

    The discussion explains how six interlocking domains, military, civil, economic, social, psychological, and digital, work together to create resilience. It shows why large states often struggle when institutions operate in isolation, and why smaller countries that design coordination into daily life can remain stable even under extreme pressure.

    The episode also explores how public trust, digital literacy, supply chain continuity, and shared civic responsibility shape a country’s ability to withstand crisis. Rather than focusing on ideology or force, the analysis highlights how integration and legitimacy determine whether a state holds together when systems are strained.

    This is a factual, analytical overview of how modern national defense is built through cohesion, not size, and why resilience must be designed long before emergencies begin.

    Afficher plus Afficher moins
    14 min