A former Australian Treasurer put a number on the next five years, and it barely made the news.
Joe Hockey's position, back in May, was that 15% unemployment across Australia and the Western world by 2030–31 was his base case if AI adoption accelerates while the country fails to innovate. That is his forecast, not a settled projection — but it deserves a longer look than it got.
This week's figures give it uncomfortable company. Australia's economy grew 0.4% in the June quarter and 2.1% across the year, while GDP per person was flat and productivity went backwards. The economy is growing. Is the individual Australian actually getting ahead?
Then there is the other half of the story. In Paris, the President of the European Commission described €10 trillion of European household savings sitting idle in bank deposits, and set out how Europe intends to put it to work. That is not a plan to confiscate anyone's savings, and this episode is careful about the difference — but it does say something about how institutions are starting to think about capital.
Two foundations of household prosperity are being reconsidered at the same time: how people earn income, and how institutions treat savings.
Derek Whitaker and Travis Carter, on Edge Radio Australia.
ONLINE THIS THURSDAY 10 SEPTEMBER
Accelerate into the New Economy: Preparing for 2030 and Beyond. 5:00pm Perth, 7:00pm Sydney, Melbourne and Brisbane, 6:30pm Adelaide and Darwin.
https://www.bluskyfactory.com/r/2030
IN THIS EPISODE
0:00 — 15% unemployment by 2030, the claim
1:08 — Joe Hockey, in his own words
2:20 — When welfare outruns income tax
3:14 — From taxing income to taxing capital
5:02 — Where the manufacturing booms went
8:02 — From a welfare state to an innovative state
11:40 — The $25,000 worker that never sleeps
13:50 — The economy grew. Did you?
18:59 — €10 trillion, and what was actually said
20:51 — No, nobody is confiscating bank accounts
21:14 — You think it's your money until it isn't
23:07 — What securitisation does to a deposit
27:07 — The two things changing at once
29:39 — Housing, and the buyer's market nobody planned
31:02 — The 5% deposit and the 120% problem
Recorded at Edge Studio, Perth, for The Greater Wealth on Edge Radio Australia.
Joe Hockey footage courtesy Sky News Australia. Von der Leyen audio: © European Union, 2026, licensed under CC BY 4.0 (excerpt).
Education only. Nothing here is personal financial, tax or legal advice. Blu Sky Factory is an education company, not a licensed financial planning, accounting or law firm.