• Spell Check - Fed Sentiment Analysis and Lifestyle Check - Episode 1

  • Mar 19 2023
  • Durée : 15 min
  • Podcast
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Spell Check - Fed Sentiment Analysis and Lifestyle Check - Episode 1

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  • Résumé

  • 2022 Market Performance

    Dow Jones: -8.78%

    S&P 500: -19.44%

    Nasdaq: -33.10% 

    2023 Market Performance (through trading week 9)

    Dow Jones: .74% (YTD)

    S&P 500: 5.37% (YTD)

    Nasdaq: 11.68% (YTD)

    Fed Sentiment

    Jerome Powell and co. are dead-set on lowering the inflation rate to their target of 2%. My argument is that rate increases will occur well into the summer months. 

    Consumer Spending

    Consumer spending remains strong. After seeing a cooling of the metric in October, November, and December of 2022, January data jumped 1.8%. 

    Personal Savings Rate

    The personal savings rate just bounced off an all-time low, but it didn't bounce high. The savings rate is still near an all-time low and it seems consumers are still on a spending spree. 

    Consumer Credit

    Consumer credit is high. There is likely correlation between the savings rate and consumer credit - inversion. The savings rate and consumer credit inverted for the first time since 2008 (on a percent change from a year ago basis). 

     

    What does all of this mean? Listen to Spell Check to find out my take!
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