In this episode of What Just Happened?, Marco Giannangeli is joined by Principal Analyst for North America Claire Brady and Lead Asia-Pacific Analyst Aédán Mordecai to examine the outcomes and implications of the recent Beijing Summit. They explore the current state of US-China relations, ongoing trade tensions and the strategic calculations shaping diplomatic engagement between the two powers. The discussion also assesses the significance of Taiwan within broader regional security dynamics. It examines how developments involving Iran and global trade routes are influencing policy decisions in both Washington and Beijing.

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#China #USChinaRelations #Geopolitics #Taiwan #GlobalTrade

On this episode, Sub-Saharan Africa analyst Edward Bach joins Samuel McVicar to discuss the recent attacks across Mali by al-Qaeda-affiliated Jama'at Nasr al-Islam wal-Muslimin (JNIM) in collaboration with the Azawad Liberation Front (FLA; an ethnic-Tuareg secessionist group). These parties' capture of Kidal, their expanding control of northern Mali and the ongoing enforcement of a blockade around the capital represent the most serious threat to the Malian state in years. Edward Bach outlines the significant threat these conditions pose to access to key goods, law and order and the presidency of Assimi Goita.

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#Mali #Sahel #Geopolitics #PoliticalRisk #Africa

In this episode of What Just Happened?, Marco Giannangeli is joined by Lead Europe Analyst Alexander Lord and Rear Admiral Chris Parry to examine the growing threat to critical national infrastructure beneath the sea. They explore the recent increase in Russian naval activity and the expanding use of civilian vessels for strategic purposes. The discussion focuses on the vulnerability of undersea cables, the challenges of attribution and plausible deniability, and the risks this poses to the UK and its allies.

Interested in our guest? Rear Admiral Chris Parry, CBE, has had a distinguished record of executive achievement in senior military, public service and private sector roles. He also has an internationally recognised profile and reputation for his future forecasting, thought leadership and academic research across several sectors.

Learn more about Chris via his website: https://chrisparry.org.uk/

Check out Chris' book, 'Sea Power in the 21st Century': https://www.amazon.co.uk/Super-Highway-Power-21st-Century/dp/1908739843

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#Geopolitics #MaritimeSecurity #CriticalInfrastructure #CyberSecurity

In this episode, Samuel McVicar is joined by intelligence analyst Inigo Camilleri De Castanedo to unpack Peru’s chaotic election cycle and the growing tensions surrounding the country’s political future.

They discuss delayed vote counting, allegations of fraud and why a deeply fragmented electoral field has created uncertainty following Peru’s recent elections. They also assess the regional implications of Peru’s political turmoil, including growing security concerns along the borders and what neighbouring governments will be watching closely in the weeks ahead.

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#Peru #LatinAmerica #Elections #Geopolitics #PoliticalRisk

In this episode, Sibylline Media Editor Marco Giannangeli is joined by Lead Americas Analyst Lewis Galvin and Professor Alessio Patalano of King’s College London to examine global tensions stemming from the Strait of Hormuz, one of the world’s most critical maritime chokepoints.

They explore the strategic and legal realities of disrupting shipping through the Strait, including what it would take to enforce a blockade and how such a move would be interpreted under international law. The discussion also assesses Washington’s political calculus, the risks of escalation, and the potential consequences for global trade and energy markets.

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#Geopolitics #MaritimeSecurity #Hormuz #GlobalTrade

In this episode, Samuel McVicar is joined by Sub-Saharan Africa Analyst Edward Bach to examine the rapidly escalating conflict in eastern Democratic Republic of Congo.

They unpack the resurgence of the M23 militia, its backing from Rwanda and how recent territorial gains are shifting the balance on the ground. The discussion explores the deeper drivers of the conflict, from resource competition to regional rivalries, and assesses the risks of wider destabilisation across Central Africa.

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#DRC #CongoConflict #Geopolitics #Africa

In this episode, Marco Giannangeli speaks to Sibylline’s Chief Analyst Sam Olsen and Dean Cheng, Senior Fellow at the Potomac Institute for Policy Studies, about what that means in practice — and why Washington may face a stark choice between a long war and risking its credibility.

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A major geopolitical test case is unfolding just off the US coastline. Fuel shortages, blackouts, and tightening sanctions are pushing a Caribbean state towards a critical breaking point — after the collapse of Venezuelan oil supplies and renewed US pressure.

In this episode, Lead Americas Analyst, Lewis Galvin, joins his colleagues from the Americas desk, Azul Hidalgo Solá and Inigo Camilleri, to examine the unfolding crisis in Cuba and what it reveals about the intersection of US foreign policy, energy security and geopolitical rivalry.

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#Geopolitics #LatinAmerica #EnergyCrisis #USForeignPolicy