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Retire With Ryan

Retire With Ryan

De : Ryan R Morrissey
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 If you're 55 and older and thinking about retirement, then this is the only retirement podcast you need. From tax planning to managing your investment portfolio, we cover the issues you should be thinking about as you develop your financial plan for retirement. Your host, Ryan Morrissey, is a Fee-Only CERTIFIED FINANCIAL PLANNER TM who lives and breathes retirement planning. He'll be bringing you stories and real life examples of how to set yourself up for a successful retirement.2020 Retirewithryan.com. All Rights Reserved Economie Finances privées
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    • 6 Stock Market Predictions For 2026, #286

      6 Stock Market Predictions For 2026, #286
      Dec 30 2025
      As we turn the calendar to 2026, I reveal my forecasts for the stock market, interest rates, and top asset classes, and take a look back at how my 2025 predictions stacked up against reality. From the S&P 500's rollercoaster performance to the ongoing rivalry between growth and value stocks, and even a showdown between bitcoin and gold, I break down what the numbers were, where I hit the mark, and where I missed. You'll also hear my insights on international versus U.S. stocks, the outlook for small caps, and what the Federal Reserve might do with interest rates in the year ahead. Get ready for smart strategies, listener thank-yous, and a dose of investing reality as I help you set expectations (and goals) for the year to come! You will want to hear this episode if you are interested in... 00:00 Happy New Year!04:34 S&P 500 Trends and Predictions.07:49 Market Trends & 2025 Predictions.08:54 Bitcoin vs Gold & Stock Returns.11:17 Importance of diversifying with international stocks.14:20 Investment Predictions for 2026.17:36 Stay invested to make the best financial gains. How did my 2025 market predictions fare? 2025 turned out to be another rollercoaster, with both triumphs and challenges for investors. Beginning with an impressive performance, the S&P 500 flirted with a 20% annual return, after two previously remarkable years (+25% in 2023 and +23% in 2024). Volatility struck early in April due to concerns about tariffs and political tensions, leading the index to drop as much as 18% year-to-date before rebounding sharply. The market often experiences significant intra-year declines, on average, 14-15% since the 1970s, so these swings are more common than many investors realize. Despite underestimating the final S&P 500 return in my 2025 prediction, it's important to stick with your plan through turbulence. Growth vs. Value One of the perennial debates in investing is whether growth stocks (think Apple, Nvidia, and Microsoft) or value stocks (like JPMorgan, Walmart, and Berkshire Hathaway) will come out on top. While value historically outperformed over the long term, the last decade and a half has belonged to growth. I predicted value would outperform in 2025, but growth eked out the win yet again, maintaining its streak. The ETF comparison, Vanguard's VONG for growth and VONV for value, shows just how close the race was, with both categories putting up strong numbers. Large vs. Small Caps: The Size Dilemma Size matters in investing, particularly when it comes to large-cap (S&P 500) versus small-cap (Russell 2000) stocks. I expected small caps to shine in 2025, but large caps led for the fifth consecutive year. The good news is that small caps narrowed the gap, hinting that a turnaround could be on the horizon as economic and regulatory shifts potentially favor these underdogs. Bitcoin vs. Gold For those seeking diversification, Bitcoin and gold are often top contenders. After years of jaw-dropping surges and gut-wrenching drops for Bitcoin, 2025 saw gold steal the spotlight with a phenomenal gain, its best showing since the 1970s, while Bitcoin stumbled. Still, I believe Bitcoin's day in the sun isn't over and predict it will bounce back in 2026. U.S. vs. International Global diversification hasn't paid off for U.S. investors in recent years, as U.S. stocks consistently outpaced their international counterparts. In 2025, the tides turned and international stocks delivered their strongest performance in 15 years, besting the S&P 500's return. It's a timely reminder not to ignore the opportunities abroad, even if I feel U.S. equities still have the edge for 2026 due to ongoing innovation and growth potential. Interest Rates and Federal Reserve Few factors move markets like interest rate decisions. Predicting three cuts and a year-end rate of 3.5–3.75%, I called it accurately for 2025. Looking to 2026, I expect another two cuts, with possible changes in leadership at the Fed adding an extra dose of uncertainty. Key Takeaways for 2026 So, what's the game plan for the coming year? I predict a tempered 8.5% return for the S&P 500, a possible value and small-cap renaissance, Bitcoin's comeback, U.S. stocks leading, and a cautious but optimistic approach to interest rates. But the most valuable advice is to stay invested. Market timing is notoriously difficult, and missing just a few of the market's best days can devastate long-term returns. For those investing for a comfortable retirement, discipline and diversification remain your best allies. Resources Mentioned Retirement Readiness ReviewSubscribe to the Retire with Ryan YouTube ChannelDownload my entire book for FREE Berkshire HathawayJ.P. MorganExxonMobilWalmartUnited Healthcare Connect With Morrissey Wealth Management www.MorrisseyWealthManagement.com/contact Subscribe to Retire With Ryan
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      20 min
    • Most Asked Financial Questions of 2025, #285

      Most Asked Financial Questions of 2025, #285
      Dec 23 2025
      2025 has been a year of significant highs and lows, a bittersweet time marked by personal loss but also tremendous growth in our community of listeners and clients. As we wrap up the year, I wanted to take a moment to reflect and, more importantly, to give back by answering the most pressing questions on your minds. In this episode, I'm tackling the top 10 most asked financial questions I received in 2025 from both clients and listeners. From the future solvency of Social Security and the reality of rising inflation to the specifics of Bitcoin and long-term care, we are covering the topics that directly impact your retirement confidence. I also share a special thank you gift to you my listeners: a significant discount on my Retirement Readiness Review course to help you kickstart your 2026 planning. Whether you are wondering if you should pay off your mortgage or how to find a truly objective financial advisor, this episode provides the clear, direct answers you need to navigate your financial future. You will want to hear this episode if you are interested in... [00:00] Will Social Security be there for you when I retire?[06:04] How to handle rising inflation in retirement.[12:34] Should you be investing in Bitcoin in 2026?[17:37] The pros and cons of paying off your mortgage early.[21:51] Getting your children started with investing and saving.[26:01] Protecting your investments during a market downturn. Social Security Solvency: Should You Worry? One of the biggest fears retirees face is the potential expiration of Social Security. The most recent trustees' report projects that benefits can be paid at 100% until roughly 2033. If no changes are made by then, benefits could be reduced by approximately 20%. However, history suggests that Congress will act to prevent such a drastic cut, especially given how heavily the average American relies on this income. We also saw recent changes with the "Social Security Fairness Act" passed just before President Biden left office, which restored benefits for many teachers and state employees previously affected by reductions. While this adds strain to the system, it highlights the political will to support retirees. Inflation and Investment Strategy Inflation has been a persistent concern since the post-COVID stimulus era. For retirees on a fixed income, combating this is difficult because pensions and Social Security cost-of-living adjustments are automatic and out of your control. The single best hedge against inflation is your investment portfolio. Historically, stocks are the only asset class that has significantly outpaced inflation over time. While this comes with volatility, maintaining an exposure to equities (often 50–70% for many retirees) is often necessary to ensure your purchasing power lasts as long as you do. The "Retirement Number" Formula Forget the arbitrary goal of saving "$1 million" or "$2 million." Retirement planning is about paycheck replacement. To find your number: Calculate Expenses: Determine your monthly spending needs in retirement.Subtract Fixed Income: Deduct your expected Social Security and pension income from that expense number.Determine the Gap: The remaining amount must come from your portfolio (401k, IRA, brokerage).Apply the Withdrawal Rate: Using a conservative 4% withdrawal rate, determine if your savings can cover that gap. Don't forget to account for taxes! You can use online calculators or work with a CPA to estimate your after-tax income. Specific Asset Questions: Bitcoin and Mortgages Bitcoin: Despite its popularity, Bitcoin remains a highly speculative asset. In 2025, while the stock market saw gains of 15-18%, Bitcoin was down significantly, highlighting its volatility. For most retirees, the risks outweigh the benefits when a standard diversified portfolio can already meet your income needs. Mortgage Payoff: Emotional peace of mind often conflicts with financial math. If you have a low interest rate (e.g., 3%), rushing to pay off that "cheap money" rarely makes sense when you could earn 5% or more on your investments. Furthermore, taking a large lump sum from an IRA to pay off a house could trigger a massive tax bill and even IRMAA surcharges on your Medicare premiums. Tax Planning: Roth Conversions and New Legislation With the passing of the "One Big Beautiful Tax Act" in 2025, we have new opportunities for tax planning. Roth Conversions: If you expect your future tax rate to be higher than your current rate, converting traditional IRA funds to Roth can save you money long-term.New Deductions: The new legislation allows for a higher SALT (State and Local Tax) deduction cap of $40,000 until 2030, which is a huge benefit for those in high-tax states like Connecticut. This might create a unique window over the next few years to perform conversions more tax-efficiently. Resources Mentioned Retirement Readiness ReviewSubscribe to the Retire with Ryan YouTube ChannelDownload my entire book for FREE Fidelity ...
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      30 min
    • Top 5 Tax Benefits of 529 Plans, #284

      Top 5 Tax Benefits of 529 Plans, #284
      Dec 16 2025

      529 college savings plans are a favorite tool for families looking to fund education, but recent updates have made them even more compelling. With the passing of the One Big Beautiful Tax Act in 2025, there have been some exciting changes to what you can use 529 funds for, including expanded coverage for K-12 tuition, test fees, vocational programs, and support for learning differences.

      I also discuss the various tax advantages of contributing to a 529 plan, like state tax deductions, tax-deferred growth, and even the ability to roll leftover funds into a Roth IRA for your child. He offers real-life examples, highlights differences across state plans, and gives practical tips on maximizing your savings and tax benefits as the year wraps up.

      If you're looking to make the most out of your child or grandchild's future education while being smart about your finances, this episode is packed with must-know information.

      You will want to hear this episode if you are interested in...
      • [00:00] 529 Plan updates and expansions.
      • [06:48] 529 Plans: taxes and benefits.
      • [08:02] 529 Plan tax-free growth.
      • [09:55] Investment considerations for 529 plans.
      • [13:49] New rules on 529-to-Roth IRA rollovers.
      The Expanded 529 Universe

      Most people know 529 plans are great for covering college tuition, room and board, and required fees. The One Big Beautiful Tax Act of 2025 has expanded what 529 distributions can cover, opening up a wider range of education-related expenses, including much earlier in a student's academic journey.

      Newly Eligible Expenses:

      • K-12 Tuition: The annual limit for K-12 tuition expenses jumps from $10,000 to $20,000 in 2026.
      • Test Fees and Credentialing: You can now use 529 funds to pay for standardized testing, college entry exams, and vocational credentialing programs.
      • Homeschool & Specialized Support: Structured homeschool curricula, academic tutoring, therapies, and materials for diagnosed learning differences (including ADHD) are now eligible.
      • Apprenticeships & Educational Equipment: Costs for apprenticeship programs and special technology or learning tools can now be covered.

      However, there are still some limitations: transportation, school-purchased health insurance, and extracurricular activity fees remain ineligible.

      State Tax Deductions

      The state tax deduction is a unique benefit offered by many states for 529 contributions, but often families overlook this: over 30 states offer a tax break, but the rules vary. In Connecticut, for example, you can deduct up to $5,000 per person or $10,000 per couple from your state taxable income. You must usually contribute to your own state's plan (though states like Arizona, Kansas, and Pennsylvania allow deductions for out-of-state plans). Be mindful of year-end deadlines, contributions must be made by December 31st to claim the deduction for that year. Even if your state benefit is modest, it's essentially "free money" for doing something you're likely planning anyway.

      Student Loan Repayment and Rollovers to Roth IRAs

      529 plans now offer more flexibility, even if the intended student doesn't use all the funds for education.

      • Student Loan Repayments: Up to $10,000 (lifetime) per beneficiary can be used to pay down qualified student loans, helping recent grads reduce their debt burden.
      • Roth IRA Rollovers: As of recent law, up to $35,000 can be rolled from a 529 plan to a Roth IRA for the beneficiary, provided the 529 is at least 15 years old, the money isn't a recent contribution, and the beneficiary has earned income. This can be an incredible jumpstart for retirement savings if college funds aren't fully used.

      All 529 plans are not created equal. Look for low-cost, direct-sold plans rather than advisor-sold plans that carry extra commissions. Every dollar saved on fees is another dollar that can grow tax-free in your account.

      Resources Mentioned
      • Retirement Readiness Review
      • Subscribe to the Retire with Ryan YouTube Channel
      • Download my entire book for FREE
      • Fidelity Investments
      Connect With Morrissey Wealth Management

      www.MorrisseyWealthManagement.com/contact

      Subscribe to Retire With Ryan
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      15 min
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