Send Us A Message! Let us know what you think.

Are we in a recovery or a price crash? In this week's episode, we tackle the mixed signals hitting the New Zealand market. BNZ economists are telling us "don't stop believin'" as business confidence hits multi-year highs, yet Trade Me data shows asking prices plummeted by over $80,000 in the last two months of 2025.

We break down why REINZ says buyer confidence (and FOMO) is officially returning, despite the confusing data out of regions like Gisborne. Plus, we dive into the "Oil Tanker" effect—why dropping interest rates haven't put more money in your pocket yet—and settle the decade-long debate: Did KiwiSaver actually outperform property investment over the last 10 years?

Topic #1: NZ Adviser 22nd of January - "Don’t stop believin’" in NZ recovery: BNZ economist

Topic #2: RNZ 22nd of January - Confidence returning to property market, REINZ says

Topic #3: Good Returns 21st of January - Why mortgage holders don’t feel like there is more money in their pocket

Topic #4: 1News 20th of January - KiwiSaver or your house - which will give better investment returns?

Topic #5: Interest.co.nz 21st of January - Average asking price of residential properties listed on Trade Me Property sank $82,500 in November and December - Auckland down $126,400, Gisborne takes a huge hit

🚀 FREE EVENT: How to Succeed with Property Investing Confused by the mixed data? Don't guess your way through 2026. Join us for our free online masterclass where we share strategies to navigate this volatility, understand the "lag," and build a portfolio that works. 👉 Register for your free spot here: https://www.propertyapprentice.co.nz/auckland-events/

Book a free, no-obligation meeting with Paul Roberts: https://www.propertyapprentice.co.nz/free-strategy-call

#NZProperty #PropertyInvesting #KiwiSaver #InterestRatesNZ #BNZ #RealEstateNZ #FinancialFreedom #PropertyApprenti

Support the show

Disclaimer: The information provided in this video is for educational purposes only and does not constitute personalized financial advice. We recommend seeking advice from a qualified professional before making any investment decisions.

*Property Advice Group Limited trading as Property Apprentice has been granted a FULL Licence with the Financial Markets Authority of New Zealand. (FSP Number: FSP157564) Debbie Roberts | Financial Adviser (FSP221305) For our Public disclosure statement please go to our website or you may request a copy free of charge.

Send Us A Message! Let us know what you think.

Is the "Buyer's Market" finally here? In this first episode of 2026, we break down a massive week for New Zealand real estate. The data is in: December stock levels have hit a 10-year high, giving buyers more choice than we've seen in a decade. But with new rules for Granny Flats kicking in today and economists predicting a twist in the OCR tale, the window of opportunity might be moving faster than you think.

We discuss the new legislation allowing 70sqm minor dwellings without consent—a game-changer for adding value and yield . We also dive into the latest lending disputes regarding age limits on mortgages and why Westpac and Tony Alexander are warning that the upcoming election could throw price predictions off course.

In this episode, we cover:

• 🏠 Record Listings: Realestate.co.nz reports the highest December stock levels since 2014.
• 🔨 Granny Flats Unleashed: The new "no-consent" rules for 70sqm builds start today—but there are conditions.
• 📉 OCR Forecast: Why Westpac is now pencilling in a rate hike post-election.
• 🗳️ Election Impact: Tony Alexander explains why the 2026 election makes forecasting house prices risky.
• 👵 Lending Rules: How old is "too old" for a 30-year mortgage? We review a key Banking Ombudsman decision.

🚀 FREE EVENT: How to Succeed with Property Investing Don't guess your way through 2026. Join us for our free online masterclass where we share strategies to navigate this new market window, utilize the new density rules, and build a portfolio that works. 👉 Register for your free spot here

Book a free, no-obligation chat with Paul here: https://www.propertyapprentice.co.nz/free-strategy-call/

Timestamps & Sources

0:00 - Intro & Happy New Year!

1:16 - Market Update: Stock hits 10-year High (Realestate.co.nz) 2:30 - New Rules: 70sqm Granny Flats starting today (1News) 4:15 - Lending: Age discrimination and Home Loans (RNZ) 6:00 - Economic Outlook: Westpac predicts one OCR Hike (Good Returns) 8:20 - Expert Analysis: Tony Alexander on the 2026 Election & Prices (Oneroof) 10:45 - Summary & Upcoming Free Events

Sources & Articles Discussed

01:17:00 Topic #1: Good Returns 13th of January - One OCR hike pencilled in by Westpac

02:58:00 Topic #2: 1News 15th of January - No-consent granny flats from today, but it's 'not a free-for-all'

04:41:00 Topic #3: RNZ 13th of January - How old is too old for a home loan?

08:28:00 Topic #4: Oneroof.co.nz 14th of January - Tony Alexander: Why the 2026 election is throwing house price predictions off course

11:21:00 Topic #5: Realestate.co.nz 12th of January - Rare advantage for property seekers as stock hits 10-year December high

#NZProperty #PropertyInvesting #GrannyFlats #InterestRatesNZ #TonyAlexander #RealEstateNZ #Fin

Support the show

Disclaimer: The information provided in this video is for educational purposes only and does not constitute personalized financial advice. We recommend seeking advice from a qualified professional before making any investment decisions.

*Property Advice Group Limited trading as Property Apprentice has been granted a FULL Licence with the Financial Markets Authority of New Zealand. (FSP Number: FSP157564) Debbie Roberts | Financial Adviser (FSP221305) For our Public disclosure statement please go to our website or you may request a copy free of charge.

Send Us A Message! Let us know what you think.

Topic #1: Stuff 10th of December - Capital crunch: Central Wellington now has the cheapest property in the country

Topic #2: RNZ 9th of December - GST used to be 10%, is it going to rise again?

Topic #3: Interest.co.nz 11th of December- Average asking prices on Trade Me Property cooled in most regions in November

Topic #4: RNZ 9th of December - The OCR is down, so why are home loans rising?

Topic #5: Financial Markets Authority 11th of December - FMA censures Opes for breaching financial advice provider licensee obligations

A special thanks to Feedspot for naming us as one of the "Top New Zealand Real Estate Podcasts".

Support the show

*Nothing from this episode should be taken as individual financial advice.

*Property Advice Group Limited trading as Property Apprentice has been granted a FULL Licence with the Financial Markets Authority of New Zealand. (FSP Number: FSP157564) Debbie Roberts | Financial Adviser (FSP221305) For our Public disclosure statement please go to our website or you may request a copy free of charge.

Send Us A Message! Let us know what you think.

Topic #1: The Mortgage Mag 4th of December - Buyers sitting on the sidelines in best time to buy in a decade

Topic #2: RNZ 3rd of December - Westpac launches scheme to help owners protect homes from extreme weather

Topic #3: Cotality 4th of December- Property values still in a holding pattern

Topic #4: RNZ 2nd of December - Adjustment to single pension rate may be prompting women to borrow against homes

Topic #5: RNZ 2nd December - Consumer and business credit demand improves again in October

A special thanks to Feedspot for naming us as one of the "Top New Zealand Real Estate Podcasts".

#NZProperty #RealEstateNZ #FirstHomeBuyer #PropertyInvestment #HousingMarket #BuyNow #PropertyApprentice #InvestmentOpportunity #RealEstateTips #FinancialFreedom

Support the show

*Nothing from this episode should be taken as individual financial advice.

*Property Advice Group Limited trading as Property Apprentice has been granted a FULL Licence with the Financial Markets Authority of New Zealand. (FSP Number: FSP157564) Debbie Roberts | Financial Adviser (FSP221305) For our Public disclosure statement please go to our website or you may request a copy free of charge.

Send Us A Message! Let us know what you think.

Topic #1: Good Returns 26th of November- OCR Cut: What the RBNZ said

Topic #2: RNZ 26th of November - Is it cheaper to pay a mortgage, or rent?

Topic #3: TradeMe 28th of November- OCR predictions for 2026 & 2027

Topic #4: RNZ 26th of November - The rising cost of taking a gamble on the what-ifs

Topic #5: NZ Herald 24th of November - KiwiSaver 12% plan risks backfiring without total pay ban, provider warns

#PropertyApprentice #NZProperty #RentVsBuy #FirstHomeBuyerNZ #FinancialFreedom #RNZ #PropertyInvestmentNZ #PaulAndDebbieRoberts

Support the show

*Nothing from this episode should be taken as individual financial advice.

*Property Advice Group Limited trading as Property Apprentice has been granted a FULL Licence with the Financial Markets Authority of New Zealand. (FSP Number: FSP157564) Debbie Roberts | Financial Adviser (FSP221305) For our Public disclosure statement please go to our website or you may request a copy free of charge.

Send Us A Message! Let us know what you think.

Is a Capital Gains Tax (CGT) actually on the horizon for New Zealand property investors? 🏠🤔

Paul's tackling the conversation arising from the recent Labour Party conference and answering the big question many of you have been asking: What does this mean for my portfolio?

He also take a hard look at why the Government struggles to be an effective landlord compared to private investors, and I share some "warning signs" from the UK and Australian markets that we need to pay attention to.

But it’s not all doom and gloom! The market is moving, and there are massive opportunities right now for investors who can see past the headlines.

In this video, I cover:
🔹The CGT: What’s being said and what you need to know.
🔹 Govt vs. Private Landlords: Why private investors are essential for a healthy rental market.
🔹 The "Dysfunctional" Property Manager: Why government-run housing often faces conflict.
🔹 Global Lessons: What we can learn from the tax changes in the UK and Australia.
🔹 Market Outlook: Why I’m optimistic about the economy moving forward.

Support the show

*Nothing from this episode should be taken as individual financial advice.

*Property Advice Group Limited trading as Property Apprentice has been granted a FULL Licence with the Financial Markets Authority of New Zealand. (FSP Number: FSP157564) Debbie Roberts | Financial Adviser (FSP221305) For our Public disclosure statement please go to our website or you may request a copy free of charge.

Send Us A Message! Let us know what you think.

Topic #1: NZ Herald 19th of November- Capital gains tax wouldn’t have raised much in recent years - Cotality

Topic #2: RNZ 20th of November - The difference in investing strategies between over-60s and under-30s

Topic #3: Oneroof 19th of November- Homeowners could get up to $15,000 as ANZ boosts its cashback to 1.5%

Topic #4: TradeMe 20th of November - What new Auckland Council housing intensification proposals (PC 120) mean for you

Topic #5: NZ Adviser 20th of November - Final OCR cut expected, door left open for more

#KiwiSaver #HardshipWithdrawal #KiwiSaverNews #RetirementFunds #FinancialPlanning #MoneyMatters #FinancialLiteracy #FinancePodcast #MoneyTalks #WealthTips #SmartMoneyMoves #NZFinance #FinanceDebate #FinancialAwareness #InvestingInNZ #KiwiSaverReform #PersonalFinance

Support the show

*Nothing from this episode should be taken as individual financial advice.

*Property Advice Group Limited trading as Property Apprentice has been granted a FULL Licence with the Financial Markets Authority of New Zealand. (FSP Number: FSP157564) Debbie Roberts | Financial Adviser (FSP221305) For our Public disclosure statement please go to our website or you may request a copy free of charge.

Send Us A Message! Let us know what you think.

Topic #1: Good Returns 3rd of November- Market recovery signals consistent with interest rate falls

Topic #2: NZ Financial Adviser 5th of November - Auckland housing market steadies as listings rise and confidence grows

Topic #3: RNZ 6th of November- 'People learning to manipulate the system': Call for KiwiSaver hardship withdrawal changes

Topic #4: Oneroof 4th of November - SBS quietly offers ‘crazy’ home loan rates of 3.99% - lowest in four years

Topic #5: Realestate.co.nz 6th of November - Kiwis paying more at the supermarket, but less on rent

#KiwiSaver #HardshipWithdrawal #KiwiSaverNews #RetirementFunds #FinancialPlanning #MoneyMatters #FinancialLiteracy #FinancePodcast #MoneyTalks #WealthTips #SmartMoneyMoves #NZFinance #FinanceDebate #FinancialAwareness #InvestingInNZ #KiwiSaverReform #PersonalFinance

Support the show

*Nothing from this episode should be taken as individual financial advice.

*Property Advice Group Limited trading as Property Apprentice has been granted a FULL Licence with the Financial Markets Authority of New Zealand. (FSP Number: FSP157564) Debbie Roberts | Financial Adviser (FSP221305) For our Public disclosure statement please go to our website or you may request a copy free of charge.