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Nurturing Financial Freedom

Nurturing Financial Freedom

De : Ed Lambert and Alex Cabot Jon Gay
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 This podcast is hosted by Ed Lambert and Alex Cabot, managing partners of Birch Run Financial and Financial Advisors with Raymond James Financial Services. Their mission is to help spread financial literacy. The majority of adults only know a fraction of what they should about personal finance. On this podcast, Ed and Alex will discuss both basic and advanced concepts on how to manage your money. Whether you are 22 or 62; an MBA or an engineer, you can learn something today. Securities offered through Raymond James Financial Services, Inc., member FINRA/SIPC. Investment advisory services offered through Raymond James Financial Services Advisors, Inc. Birch Run Financial is not a registered broker/dealer and is independent of Raymond James. Content represents the opinions of the speaker and not necessarily those of Raymond James. Important Disclosure Information: http://raymondjames.com/smicd.htm Birch Run Financial is located at 595 E Swedesford Rd, Ste 360, Wayne, PA 19087 and can be reached at 484.395.2190. The rating is not intended to be an endorsement, or any way indicative of the advisors abilities to provide investment advice or management. This podcast is intended for informational purposes only.2021-2024 Birch Run Financial Economie Finances privées
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    • How To Outsmart Your Instincts On Loss Aversion

      How To Outsmart Your Instincts On Loss Aversion
      May 27 2025
      In this episode of Nurturing Financial Freedom, we shift focus from the hard numbers and take a deep dive into the psychological side of investing. Specifically, we explore loss aversion—the human tendency to feel the pain of financial loss more intensely than the pleasure of gains. As we’ve all seen in our work and our own portfolios, emotional reactions to market swings can often lead to irrational decisions. That’s where understanding behavioral finance becomes a powerful tool in making smarter financial choices.We start with Ed breaking down the origins of loss aversion, rooted in the research of Kahneman and Tversky. Their work in the 1970s, which led to the development of prospect theory, shows that the average person perceives a $100,000 loss as twice as painful as a $100,000 gain is pleasurable. This cognitive imbalance causes two major pitfalls: people either avoid risk entirely and park money in cash—letting inflation erode value—or they panic-sell during downturns and miss out on rebounds, effectively locking in their losses.Ed walks us through real examples, including the volatility of April 2024, the pandemic crash of 2020, and the 2008 recession. He explains how our amygdala, hardwired to detect threats, doesn’t differentiate between a market dip and a life-or-death situation, making our emotional reactions feel justified—even when they’re counterproductive.Alex builds on this by offering techniques to manage this psychological bias. First, we need to build a financial plan with a properly diversified portfolio aligned to our specific timeline and goals. He emphasizes reframing our perspective—looking at a portfolio not as a cash balance but as ownership in companies that will likely be around for decades. He shares the analogy of home values: we don’t sell our house when its Zestimate dips; likewise, we shouldn’t rush to sell stocks when they temporarily fall.Other actionable strategies include pre-committing to actions like rebalancing during downturns, increasing contributions when prices are low, and resisting the urge to act impulsively. He underscores the power of long-term thinking—"expand the graph"—to see that every crash looks like a blip over decades. And finally, he recommends examining past mistakes. Nothing hits home more than seeing the dollars lost from a past panic sale.We close by reaffirming that while we can’t guarantee outcomes, we can plan for volatility. The market is emotional in the short term but logical in the long term. With the right mindset and tools, we can better navigate the emotional terrain of investing and avoid letting fear dictate our strategy.Books Mentioned:Thinking Fast and Slow: https://www.amazon.com/Thinking-Fast-Slow-Daniel-Kahneman/dp/0374533555The Undoing Project: A Friendship That Changed Our Minds: https://www.amazon.com/Undoing-Project-Friendship-Changed-Minds/dp/0393354776 You can always email Alex and Ed at info@birchrunfinancial.com or give them a call at 484-395-2190.Or visit them on the web at https://www.birchrunfinancial.com/Alex and Ed's Book: Mastering The Money Mind: https://www.amazon.com/Mastering-Money-Mind-Thinking-Personal/dp/1544530536 Any opinions are those of Ed Lambert Alex Cabot, and Jon Gay and not necessarily those of RJFS or Raymond James. The information contained in this report does not purport to be a complete description of the securities, markets, or developments referred to in this material. There is no assurance any of the trends mentioned will continue or forecasts will occur. The information has been obtained from sources considered to be reliable, but Raymond James does not guarantee that the foregoing material is accurate or complete. Any information is not a complete summary or statement of all available data necessary for making an investment decision and does not constitute a recommendation. The examples throughout this material are for illustrative purposes only. Raymond James does not provide tax or legal services. Please discuss these matters with the appropriate professional. Diversification and asset allocation do not ensure a profit or protect against a loss. Past performance is not indicative of future returns. CDs are insured by the FDIC and offer a fixed rate of return, whereas the return and principal value of investment securities fluctuate with changes in market conditions. The S&P 500 is an unmanaged index of 500 widely held stocks that is generally considered representative of the U.S. Stock Market. Keep in mind that individuals cannot invest directly in any index, and index performance does not include transaction costs or other fees, which will affect actual investment performance. Individual investor's results will vary. This information is not intended as a solicitation or an offer to buy or sell any security referred to herein. Future investment performance cannot be guaranteed, investment yields will fluctuate with market conditions. International ...
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      29 min
    • What a Wild Month!

      What a Wild Month!
      May 1 2025
      In this episode, we walk through a tumultuous April marked by heightened market volatility, significant tariff announcements, and growing concerns about inflation and recession risk. Alex kicks off by breaking down what happened in the markets. The month began with what initially looked like a standard correction, but quickly escalated into what he describes as a crash. On April 2nd, the administration announced far more aggressive tariffs than anticipated, especially targeting Chinese imports. The shock triggered a sharp market drop—more than a thousand points lost over two days. The volatility stemmed largely from the ambiguity those tariffs introduced, making it difficult to accurately value stocks and project cash flows. As Alex explains, investor confidence suffers when assumptions about capital costs and future growth become too uncertain to model.Despite the chaos, we emphasize the importance of staying invested. Alex reminds us of our previous discussions about how the best up days in the market often follow the worst down days—something we saw play out just days after the tariff announcement when markets rebounded sharply after a partial rollback on April 9th. That pattern is why timing the market remains a losing game.We also touch on the importance of client communication during turbulent periods. Alex and Ed talk about the proactive steps they took to prepare clients, including emails, webinars, and consistent messaging. This transparency helped reduce panic and reinforce the value of long-term planning.Ed then walks us through where we stand now. While the most extreme tariffs were pulled back, the new baseline is still historically high, with a 10% tariff on all imports and 145% on imports from China. These will likely impact consumer prices starting this summer, especially on goods like food or chemicals tied to supply chains in China. We’re now facing the highest average tariff rate in a century.He also addresses the rising recession odds, now between 40–60% according to major banks—well above the post-war average, but still no guarantee. Economic forecasting, as he notes, is often no more reliable than market prediction. Finally, we explore the Fed’s precarious position: hold rates and risk slowing growth, or cut rates and risk fueling tariff-driven inflation. Either choice comes with real trade-offs.We close by reinforcing the message we always deliver—don’t try to outsmart the market. Stick to your long-term plan, stay diversified, and prepare for storms before they hit. That’s what we’ve always done, and it’s what we’ll keep doing. You can always email Alex and Ed at info@birchrunfinancial.com or give them a call at 484-395-2190.Or visit them on the web at https://www.birchrunfinancial.com/Alex and Ed's Book: Mastering The Money Mind: https://www.amazon.com/Mastering-Money-Mind-Thinking-Personal/dp/1544530536 Any opinions are those of Ed Lambert Alex Cabot, and Jon Gay and not necessarily those of RJFS or Raymond James. The information contained in this report does not purport to be a complete description of the securities, markets, or developments referred to in this material. There is no assurance any of the trends mentioned will continue or forecasts will occur. The information has been obtained from sources considered to be reliable, but Raymond James does not guarantee that the foregoing material is accurate or complete. Any information is not a complete summary or statement of all available data necessary for making an investment decision and does not constitute a recommendation. The examples throughout this material are for illustrative purposes only. Raymond James does not provide tax or legal services. Please discuss these matters with the appropriate professional. Diversification and asset allocation do not ensure a profit or protect against a loss. Past performance is not indicative of future returns. CDs are insured by the FDIC and offer a fixed rate of return, whereas the return and principal value of investment securities fluctuate with changes in market conditions. The S&P 500 is an unmanaged index of 500 widely held stocks that is generally considered representative of the U.S. Stock Market. Keep in mind that individuals cannot invest directly in any index, and index performance does not include transaction costs or other fees, which will affect actual investment performance. Individual investor's results will vary. This information is not intended as a solicitation or an offer to buy or sell any security referred to herein. Future investment performance cannot be guaranteed, investment yields will fluctuate with market conditions. International investing involves special risks, including currency fluctuations, differing financial accounting standards, and possible political and economic volatility. There is an inverse relationship between interest rate movements and bond prices. Generally, when interest rates rise, bond prices fall and when...
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      24 min
    • Perspective Among Volatility

      Perspective Among Volatility
      Apr 2 2025
      In this episode of Nurturing Financial Freedom, we dive headfirst into the recent stock market volatility and explore what’s driving it—and more importantly, how investors should respond. We tackle the question on everyone's mind: "What the heck is going on with the market?"Ed kicks things off with a breakdown of recent market activity, noting that since the February 19 peak, the market has dropped roughly 9.5% as of April 1. He explains that this pullback is largely driven by elevated stock valuations and policy uncertainty. The S&P 500’s forward P/E ratio is sitting well above its 30-year average, which has made the market more sensitive to any negative headlines. Add to that the confusion surrounding tariffs and trade policy—especially whether these moves are part of negotiation tactics or a longer-term shift toward protectionism—and we’re looking at a market trying to digest a lot at once.Ed emphasizes the importance of sticking to a well-diversified portfolio and keeping allocations aligned with long-term goals. If your portfolio has drifted because of recent gains or losses, now is the time to rebalance. We revisit the idea of “fire drills,” a proactive approach Birch Run uses with clients to prepare for downturns before they happen.Alex then provides some critical historical perspective. He reminds us that every downturn—whether it's the Panic of 1907, the crash of 1929, or COVID in 2020—has been temporary. The key takeaway? Don’t let short-term fear drive long-term mistakes. He shares how missing just the 10 best market days over a 30-year span could slash an example portfolio growth by nearly $1 million. And since many of those “best days” tend to cluster around the worst ones, jumping in and out of the market is a dangerous game.Alex and Ed both stress that timing the market is not only incredibly difficult (if not impossible), but often detrimental. Staying invested with a balanced strategy that fits your goals is almost always the right approach. While we can’t predict where the market will go in 2025, we can recommend avoiding behavioral traps and sticking to the fundamentals.Listen through to the end of the show to hear how ice cream ties in to all of this. You can always email Alex and Ed at info@birchrunfinancial.com or give them a call at 484-395-2190.Or visit them on the web at https://www.birchrunfinancial.com/Alex and Ed's Book: Mastering The Money Mind: https://www.amazon.com/Mastering-Money-Mind-Thinking-Personal/dp/1544530536 Any opinions are those of Ed Lambert Alex Cabot, and Jon Gay and not necessarily those of RJFS or Raymond James. The information contained in this report does not purport to be a complete description of the securities, markets, or developments referred to in this material. There is no assurance any of the trends mentioned will continue or forecasts will occur. The information has been obtained from sources considered to be reliable, but Raymond James does not guarantee that the foregoing material is accurate or complete. Any information is not a complete summary or statement of all available data necessary for making an investment decision and does not constitute a recommendation. The examples throughout this material are for illustrative purposes only. Raymond James does not provide tax or legal services. Please discuss these matters with the appropriate professional. Diversification and asset allocation do not ensure a profit or protect against a loss. Past performance is not indicative of future returns. CDs are insured by the FDIC and offer a fixed rate of return, whereas the return and principal value of investment securities fluctuate with changes in market conditions. The S&P 500 is an unmanaged index of 500 widely held stocks that is generally considered representative of the U.S. Stock Market. Keep in mind that individuals cannot invest directly in any index, and index performance does not include transaction costs or other fees, which will affect actual investment performance. Individual investor's results will vary. This information is not intended as a solicitation or an offer to buy or sell any security referred to herein. Future investment performance cannot be guaranteed, investment yields will fluctuate with market conditions. International investing involves special risks, including currency fluctuations, differing financial accounting standards, and possible political and economic volatility. There is an inverse relationship between interest rate movements and bond prices. Generally, when interest rates rise, bond prices fall and when interest rates fall, bond prices generally rise. Investing in small cap stocks generally involves greater risks, and therefore, may not be appropriate for every investor. The prices of small company stocks may be subject to more volatility than those of large company stocks. Securities offered through Raymond James Financial Services, Inc. Member FINRA/SIPC. Investment advisory ...
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      22 min

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