Neal Bawa is here today to discuss the investing intersection of real estate with ai science. Neil explains how he transitioned from a tech career into real estate by applying data science to identify high-performing markets, emphasizing that factors like job growth, population growth, income growth, home price trends, and crime reduction can significantly improve investment outcomes. He outlines how his team uses advanced analytics and AI tools to rank cities, analyze deals, and uncover insights that humans often miss, while also integrating AI deeply into company operations through structured systems like EOS. He highlights selective opportunities in distressed multifamily assets and emerging areas like senior housing, while cautioning that single-family and industrial assets remain expensive.

We discuss...

• Neil Bawa transitioned from tech to real estate, using it as a tax-efficient path to build long-term wealth.
• Key drivers of real estate performance include job growth, population growth, income growth, home price trends, and crime reduction.
• He developed a data-driven system to rank U.S. cities and identify high-performing markets like Madera, California.
• AI is deeply integrated into his company, with employees required to use it daily and contribute to building internal tools.
• AI improves efficiency and insight generation, even if it occasionally makes calculation errors.
• He expects modest interest rate declines in 2026, with mortgage rates around 6–6.3%.
• Home prices are likely to remain flat or grow slightly (1–2%) due to improving supply and demand dynamics.
• The "lock-in effect" from ultra-low pandemic-era mortgages has constrained housing supply and prevented price declines.
• As rates ease, more sellers and buyers are expected to re-enter the market, balancing prices.
• Multifamily real estate saw price declines with rising rates, unlike the single-family market.
• Distressed multifamily deals present niche opportunities, especially in overleveraged markets.
• The office sector is likely near a bottom, with gradual recovery driven by return-to-office trends and limited new supply.
• Private credit is growing but carries elevated risk, requiring careful selection of managers.
• Real estate overall is in a transitional phase after several challenging years, particularly for commercial sectors.

Today's Panelists:

• Kirk Chisholm | Innovative Wealth
• Barbara Friedberg | Barbara Friedberg Personal Finance
• Marc Walton | Forex Mentor Pro

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For more information, visit the full show notes at https://moneytreepodcast.com/real-estate-with-ai-science-neal-bawa-808

Today we have war updates... patience and caution are needed as we focus on recent headlines. From inflation data and Fed commentary to geopolitical tensions and a temporary ceasefire, there has been surprisingly little lasting impact on markets. Underlying market weakness existed before the war and the conflict has mainly reshuffled sector performance leaving markets stuck in a fragile, uncertain range. While some areas like energy, materials, and staples showed prior strength, others such as software and parts of financials remain weak. Conflicting signals from interest rates, the dollar, and inflation expectations, along with continued volatility driven by political narratives rather than fundamentals, make it difficult to form a high-conviction outlook.

We discuss...

• Markets largely ignored major news on inflation, Fed policy, and geopolitics, suggesting underlying uncertainty and indecision.
• The market was already weakening before the war, meaning the conflict mainly shifted trends rather than creating new ones.
• Current price action reflects a choppy trading range with no clear directional trend emerging.
• Software and parts of technology remain notably weak, even compared to pre-war levels.
• Semiconductor stocks have held up better, creating divergence within the tech sector.
• Financials are showing signs of stress, partly due to concerns around private credit and hidden risks.
• Lack of transparency in financial system exposures poses a greater risk than the size of the problem itself.
• The yield curve is flattening, reducing profitability for banks and signaling potential economic pressure.
• Interest rates, the dollar, and inflation expectations are sending mixed and unreliable signals.
• Oil price dynamics and futures markets suggest expectations of declining prices despite short-term spikes.
• Inflation impacts from higher energy costs may not be fully felt for several months.
• Geopolitical developments, particularly involving Trump's negotiation style, add unpredictability to market behavior.
• Sitting in cash is a valid strategy in uncertain environments despite inflation concerns.
• Missing small upside moves is preferable to being exposed to sudden market drawdowns.
• Elevated valuations and lingering macro risks suggest markets may not be as stable as they appear.
• Relief rallies can occur even while underlying economic and market stress persists.
• There are currently very few high-conviction investment opportunities across markets.

Today's Panelists:

Kirk Chisholm | Innovative Wealth
Douglas Heagren | Mergent College Advisors

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For more information, visit the full show notes at https://moneytreepodcast.com/war-updates-patience-and-caution

Have you ever thought about getting rich with music royalties? Jon Gestal explains how music royalties function as an alternative investment and the complex ecosystem where songwriters, artists, publishers, and labels earn income from licensing, streaming, radio, and live performances. He shares how platforms like Royalty Exchange create liquidity by allowing creators to sell partial or full rights to those cash flows. Royalty streams vary in structure and stability, often following a lifecycle where earnings spike early and then settle into more predictable long-term income, making seasoned catalogs attractive for passive income investors seeking diversification from traditional markets.

We discuss...

• Music royalties consist of multiple income streams, including performance, mechanical, and sound recording royalties.
• Artists earn money from a mix of royalties, live performances, advances, and synchronization deals like TV, movies, and commercials.
• Streaming platforms like Spotify pay royalties based on a share of revenue rather than a fixed rate per play.
• Music catalogs typically follow a lifecycle where earnings spike early and then decline into a more stable, predictable long-term cash flow.
• Older, "seasoned" catalogs tend to be more attractive to investors seeking consistent passive income.
• Investors can purchase royalties from individual songs, groups of songs, or entire catalogs depending on the seller's needs.
• The growth of global streaming and emerging markets continues to expand the overall music royalty pool.
• Technology and social media have changed how artists are discovered, but success remains just as difficult as before.
• Artists today have more independence and flexibility, reducing reliance on traditional record label deals.
• The conversation highlighted the increasing financialization of entertainment assets, including music, sports, and film.
• Fractional ownership allows smaller investors access to royalties but often reduces returns due to multiple layers of fees.
• "Vanity investing" and emotional attachment can influence decisions when investing in entertainment assets.
• Music royalties can serve as a diversification tool since they are largely uncorrelated with traditional financial markets.

Today's Panelists:

• Kirk Chisholm | Innovative Wealth
• Phil Weiss | Apprise Wealth Management
• Marc Walton | Forex Mentor Pro

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For more information, visit the full show notes at https://moneytreepodcast.com/getting-rich-with-music-royalties-jon-gestal-806

Today we talk the war impact on the US Economic cycle. Global uncertainty is distorting market behavior and the gap between perception and reality, particularly in areas like oil supply, emphasizes that prices, not narratives, are the most reliable signal. We explore rising oil prices, shifting interest rates, and a flattening yield curve, while stressing the importance of adapting investment theses as new information emerges rather than clinging to outdated views. We also talk sector performance, valuation concerns, global energy vulnerabilities, and how different economies are reacting to supply shocks. Investors cannot control external events but must remain flexible, focus on market signals, manage risk, and avoid emotional decision-making, especially in uncertain environments where sitting on the sidelines may be the most prudent strategy.

We discuss...

• Markets are currently being driven more by narratives, geopolitics, and sentiment than by traditional fundamentals.
• There is a significant disconnect between public perception and reality, especially in areas like global oil supply.
• Rising oil prices and war-related uncertainty are pushing inflation expectations and interest rates higher.
• The yield curve is flattening, signaling changing economic conditions and potential stress in lending and growth.
• Market price action is the most reliable indicator of truth, reflecting collective positioning and expectations.
• Many stocks are experiencing deeper drawdowns than headline indexes suggest, masking underlying weakness.
• Certain sectors like energy and value stocks are outperforming, while growth and tech are under pressure.
• Global energy disruptions are exposing the fragility of supply chains and impacting economies unevenly.
• Emerging markets and energy-dependent countries are feeling the effects of the crisis more quickly.
• Valuation concerns remain, particularly in high-multiple companies where earnings may not support prices.
• Historical data suggests Q1 performance does not strongly predict the rest of the year's market returns.
• Economic cycles influence which asset classes perform best, requiring shifts in portfolio allocation over time.
• War conditions disrupt normal market cycles, making traditional frameworks less reliable in the short term.
• Investors should prioritize risk management, flexibility, and avoiding emotional decision-making.

Today's Panelists:

Kirk Chisholm | Innovative Wealth
Douglas Heagren | Mergent College Advisors

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For more information, visit the full show notes at https://moneytreepodcast.com/war-impact-on-the-us-economic-cycle-805

Marc Walton shares his journey from running traditional businesses in the UK to working in forex trading. His investing work expands across forex, crypto, and global markets, emphasizing the importance of adaptability and recognizing market cycles. We talk how institutional players like Wall Street often manipulate narratives and markets, creating opportunities for informed investors who understand positioning and sentiment. Marc highlights key areas of opportunity he sees today, including gold and silver, rare earth metals, uranium, energy, and select crypto assets. We also explore skepticism around AI as a potential bubble similar to the dot-com era, debates its real-world utility versus hype, and how macro forces, politics, and investor psychology drive markets more than fundamentals. Success comes from staying flexible, thinking independently, managing risk, and aligning with larger market forces rather than trying to fight them.

We discuss...

• Marc Walton transitioned from running traditional UK businesses to full-time trading and investing across forex, crypto, and global markets.
• Early retirement led him to forex trading, where he initially lost money before finding success through mentorship and disciplined learning.
• A major wealth inflection point came from early crypto investments, particularly in Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Cardano.
• Wall Street firms frequently criticize assets like crypto publicly while quietly positioning to profit from them.
• Marc stresses the importance of taking profits and managing risk, especially in volatile assets like crypto.
• Energy demand, particularly driven by AI and electrification, is seen as a major long-term investment theme.
• Markets are increasingly driven by sentiment, politics, and liquidity rather than traditional fundamentals.
• Forex trading is described as complex but manageable if approached professionally rather than as gambling.
• Retail investors often struggle due to lack of financial education, discipline, and follow-through on investment decisions.
• Geopolitical factors, including China's control of rare earths, are shaping long-term investment opportunities.
• Speculative sectors like cannabis and high-yield ETFs were explored with caution around risk and sustainability.

Today's Panelists:

• Kirk Chisholm | Innovative Wealth
• Barbara Friedberg | Barbara Friedberg Personal Finance
• Diana Perkins | Trading With Diana

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For more information, visit the full show notes at https://moneytreepodcast.com/forex-trading-marc-walton-804

What is happening in the markets right now? Today we focus on how war, geopolitical uncertainty, and shifting economic conditions are driving unusual market behavior. Markets are increasingly reacting to narratives, sentiment, and positioning rather than clear fundamentals. There is a repeating weekly pattern of short-term gains followed by declines, emphasizing that market reactions are the most reliable signal of truth amid widespread misinformation. Rising oil prices are fueling short-term inflation expectations and inflation may ultimately prove temporary unless conflict persists. We also talk structural shifts in markets, including weakening breadth, a transition from emotional reactions to repricing, pressure on technology stocks due to AI concerns, and a gradual move by consumers toward essentials. It's important to adapt your strategy to market regimes and use risk management, smaller position sizing, and cash for optionality. The current environment is a volatile, tactical market where active management, liquidity awareness, and flexibility are critical.

We discuss...

• Market reactions are the most reliable indicator of what information is actually meaningful.
• Rising oil prices are driving short-term inflation expectations through higher energy and transportation costs.
• Inflation may prove temporary if conflict resolves quickly, but could persist if disruptions last several months.
• Volatility remains elevated, but panic has faded as investors adjust positioning.
• Technology stocks are weakening due to concerns about AI disrupting traditional software business models.
• Market breadth is deteriorating, with fewer stocks supporting overall index performance.
• Consumers are shifting spending from discretionary items toward essential goods.
• Housing markets are stagnating, with high mortgage rates freezing transaction activity.
• Liquidity risks are building across sectors including private credit, commercial real estate, and banking.
• Geopolitics is now a primary market driver, impacting supply chains, energy, and global capital flows.
• Investors are experiencing narrative fatigue, becoming desensitized to headlines despite rising underlying risks.
• The current environment favors active, tactical investing over passive buy-and-hold strategies.
• Fundamentals are less reliable in the short term, with price action driven more by sentiment and positioning.
• Risk management, smaller position sizing, and quick decision-making are critical in volatile markets.
• Holding cash provides optionality and the ability to deploy capital during market dislocations.
• Options and technical trading strategies may offer opportunities in a high-volatility environment.
• Secular and cyclical market cycles require different approaches, with potential transition into a longer-term bear phase.
• Avoiding overleveraged assets and rate-sensitive sectors is key as financial conditions tighten.

Today's Panelists:

Kirk Chisholm | Innovative Wealth
Douglas Heagren | Mergent College Advisors

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For more information, visit the full show notes at https://moneytreepodcast.com/happening-in-the-markets-803

Medicare madness solved! Join us as Sylvia Gordon demystifies retirement planning, explaining how Medicare and Social Security actually work, highlighting key age milestones and emphasizes that there is no one-size-fits-all strategy. Descisions depend heavily on individual health, finances, and lifestyle goals. We break down Medicare's complex structure, contrasts private Medicare Advantage plans with traditional coverage, and explores common (and costly) misconceptions while also addressing broader systemic issues such as rising healthcare costs, doctor shortages, and policy uncertainty. Personalized planning is the most important thing you can do as there is no one-size-fits-all set up. Early education and understanding nuanced rules like spousal and ex-spousal Social Security benefits can help you avoid leaving money on the table.

We discuss...

• Sylvia Gordon explained her background training insurance agents and simplifying retirement topics through short-form educational content.
• Many people misunderstand that taking Social Security early permanently reduces benefits and that Medicare does not begin at the same time.
• There is no universal "rule of thumb" for claiming Social Security, as decisions depend on the individuals goals.
• Medicare enrollment at 65 is optional if you continue working with qualifying employer coverage, which can prevent unnecessary costs.
• Prescription drug coverage now includes a capped out-of-pocket maximum, though costs have shifted for many users.
• Healthcare system challenges such as doctor shortages and low Medicare reimbursement rates were discussed as reasons providers limit Medicare patients.
• Rising healthcare costs and inefficiencies are major pressures on the long-term sustainability of retirement systems.
• Future changes to Social Security and Medicare are likely to include higher retirement ages and reduced benefits due to demographic trends.
• Policy changes are often phased in gradually to avoid political backlash and protect current retirees.
• The conversation explored potential reforms like lowering drug prices and reducing U.S. subsidization of global pharmaceutical costs.
• Medical tourism and international drug purchasing are discussed as cost-saving strategies not typically covered by Medicare.
• Medicare generally does not cover alternative or functional medicine, requiring out-of-pocket spending for those services.
• Incentives within healthcare, such as provider bonuses and system constraints, can influence treatment recommendations.
• Many retirees miss benefits or make suboptimal decisions due to lack of education and reluctance to discuss finances within families.
• Starting retirement planning in your 50s, and helping parents navigate the system, can improve outcomes and understanding.

Today's Panelists:

• Kirk Chisholm | Innovative Wealth
• Phil Weiss | Apprise Wealth Management
• Douglas Heagren | Mergent College Advisors

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For more information, visit the full show notes at https://moneytreepodcast.com/medicare-madness-solved-sylvia-gordon-802

WAR… and no market crash… Are we in a bear market or a bull market? Rapidly shifting narratives, once centered on a soft landing, rate cuts, and strong consumers, have been disrupted by war, oil volatility, and weakening economic data, creating widespread uncertainty and "busted brackets" for investors. Markets are behaving irrationally, often reacting more to expectations and propaganda than clear fundamentals, making prediction unreliable and reinforcing the importance of scenario-based thinking rather than conviction. There will either be a quick end to the conflict that could drive lower oil, falling rates, and a rebound in bonds and staples, or a prolonged war leading to higher inflation, economic strain, and limited upside across most assets.

With elevated correlations, fragile financial systems, and a stalled market that has gone largely sideways, traditional diversification may not provide protection. The key takeaway is caution and avoiding emotional decisions! As always, adaptability and risk management matter more than trying to predict outcomes in a highly unstable environment.

We discuss...

• Markets are behaving like March Madness, with unpredictability, momentum shifts, and broken narratives replacing earlier optimism around a soft landing.
• Geopolitical conflict and unclear information flows are driving volatility, making it difficult to distinguish truth from market-moving narratives.
• The market appears to be pricing in a short-lived conflict, despite ongoing uncertainty and mixed signals.
• Traditional diversification is less reliable as correlations between stocks and bonds have increased in recent years.
• Energy has emerged as the primary outperformer, while most other sectors struggle amid rising costs and uncertainty.
• Financial system risks are building, particularly in private credit and banking exposure, signaling potential stress beneath the surface.
• Consumer strength is weakening as higher costs and debt begin to pressure spending behavior.
• Housing remains a major concern, with rising supply and weak demand due to elevated mortgage rates.
• Market movements often contradict headlines, reinforcing the need to observe price action rather than rely on media narratives.
• "Buy the dip" strategies are risky in uncertain or potentially bearish environments.
• Sitting in cash or staying defensive can be a strategic choice when market direction is unclear.
• Predictions from Wall Street are often overly optimistic and fail to account for downside risks.
• Volatility and confusion in markets are often the result of mispriced uncertainty rather than clear economic deterioration.
• Successful investing in this environment requires adaptability, patience, and disciplined risk management rather than bold predictions.

Today's Panelists:

Kirk Chisholm | Innovative Wealth
Douglas Heagren | Mergent College Advisors

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For more information, visit the full show notes at https://moneytreepodcast.com/war-and-no-market-crash-801