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MLB Daily Delta

MLB Daily Delta

De : Aaron Jolly
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MLB Daily Delta is your daily fantasy baseball playbook, delivering box score breakdowns,

waiver wire gems, and streaming targets to help you dominate your fantasy baseball league.

Join host Aaron Jolly every day for actionable insights that win matchups.

 Base-ball et softball
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  • 103.6 MPH! Misiorowski Makes HISTORY (Shutout Yankees) + Lockridge IL + Guardians 3 Assets

    103.6 MPH! Misiorowski Makes HISTORY (Shutout Yankees) + Lockridge IL + Guardians 3 Assets
    May 9 2026
    Friday night made baseball history. Jacob Misiorowski threw the fastest pitch ever recorded by a starting pitcher in the Statcast era — 103.6 mph — and he did it TEN TIMES. The Brewers right-hander threw 41 pitches at 100+ mph while shutting out the Yankees 6-0. Six innings. Eleven strikeouts. Two hits. Two walks. Let that sink in. His stat line is absurd: • Fastball averages 99.3 mph • K-rate: 38.1% (99th percentile) • Whiff rate: 39.8% • xERA: 2.90 • Fastball spin percentile: 99th The extension percentile — meaning hitters are seeing his heater later than any starter alive — is also 99th. That is an unfair combination. His walk rate (9.7%) needs to tighten, but he's already elite at missing bats. If he's somehow available in shallow 12-team redrafts, add him immediately. In dynasty formats, he's a decade-long cornerstone. Not a sell-high. The other side of that game — Brandon Lockridge carted off with a deep laceration down to the bone after crashing into unpadded concrete. Manager Pat Murphy said "it's going to be a while." Lockridge was batting .290 with 12 RBIs and 5 steals. This opens playing time for Jackson Chourio (42 HR power, 21 years old). Dynasty managers: stash Chourio now. Yankees were completely shut down — Max Fried took the loss, giving up 5 ER in 6 IP. But Misiorowski is not just anyone. Guardians system taking forward steps: • Travis Bazzana hit first career HR (427 feet). After 0-for-12 start, he's 6-for-18 with 6 SB since May 2nd (best in MLB over that stretch). Do not sell low. • Parker Messick excellent again: 5.2 IP, 1 ER, 6 Ks. Now 4-0 with 2.30 ERA. Most undervalued starter in your format. Deep dive coming. • Cade Smith: 11th save (allowed run but closed it). Now sole MLB saves leader. Locked in on winning team. Roster everywhere. Dylan Cease outstanding: 7 IP, 0 BB, 10 Ks vs Angels. Third double-digit K game in 8 starts. Zero walks in 7 innings is different level of command — historically his knock. First-round fantasy asset now. Buy in trade if you can. Yordan Alvarez watch: 13th HR (115.9 mph EV). Hitting .324 with 1.08 OPS. Statcast reads like sci-fi — 94.3 mph avg EV, 18.2% barrel rate, .756 xSLG. On 29-HR pace. If Astros lineup stabilizes, second half could be historic. Buy at current price. Michael McGreevy: 6 IP, 1 ER, 9 Ks. 2.52 ERA on season. 24-year-old looking like legit #2 starter. Solid streaming option vs weaker lineups, permanent spot in 15+ team formats. Closer race: Cade Smith (11 saves) now outright leader. Miller and O'Brien stuck at 11 after Padres/Cardinals didn't get save chances Friday. Phillies trouble: Jesus Luzardo imploded (5 runs, 0 outs in 4th). Painter at 6.89 ERA. Keller unreliable (3 saves, 2 losses). Offense clicking (Schwarber 13th HR, Crawford emerging, Harper 4 times on base), but pitching must stabilize. Three takeaways: 1. Misiorowski is REAL. 38% K-rate, sub-3 xERA, fastest fastball ever, 24 years old. Dynasty cornerstone. 2. Guardians building best young core fantasy isn't pricing correctly: Bazzana, Messick, Smith. Three first-round assets on one team. 3. Phillies ceiling problem if pitching doesn't stabilize. Offense is there under Mattingly, but rotation/bullpen concerning. AARON JOLLY MLB Daily Dynasty May 9, 2026 Keywords: Jacob Misiorowski, 103.6 mph, fastest pitch ever, shutout Yankees, Brandon Lockridge IL, Jackson Chourio, Travis Bazzana, Parker Messick, Cade Smith, Dylan Cease, Yordan Alvarez, fantasy baseball, waiver wire, dynasty, May 9 2026
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    10 min
  • Imanaga's Cubs DOMINANT! Dominguez IL (Add Streamer NOW) + O'Brien Ties MLB Save Lead

    Imanaga's Cubs DOMINANT! Dominguez IL (Add Streamer NOW) + O'Brien Ties MLB Save Lead
    May 8 2026
    Thursday's slate gave us everything: A pitcher going eight innings in a blowout, the Cubs extending to NINE straight wins, a closer race that just got fascinating, and a Yankees injury that reshapes the outfield landscape overnight. Let's start with the Cubs. Shota Imanaga: Six innings, one run, ten strikeouts. Chicago beat Cincinnati 8-3 and extended their win streak to nine games. Their record is now 27-12 — best in the National League. Imanaga has been the engine of this entire run. His numbers are backed by legitimate process: 2.40 ERA, 2.37 FIP, 2.74 xERA. That FIP-to-xERA relationship tells you this is real, not luck. His K-to-BB ratio is 3.7-to-1. His sweeper generates a 40%+ whiff rate. His split-finger induces a 44% chase rate. Yes, his hard-hit rate allowed is elevated at 52.5% — that's the flag to monitor. But for now, he's a top-12 starter in every format. If you passed on him early because of modest velocity, his pitch mix and command are telling a different story. Pay ace price to acquire him now. Now the Yankees news. Jasson Dominguez is headed to the IL with a low-grade sprain of his left AC joint. He made a tremendous over-the-wall catch in the first inning and paid for it. Boone said "a few weeks" — but AC joint sprains have a way of lingering. If you have Dominguez, hold him — he's not a sell-low candidate. But plug in a short-term streamer for the next 2-3 weeks. Watch how Boone fills his spot — there could be streamer value in whoever slides into that role. The Yankees offense is still humming. Cody Bellinger had three hits including a triple. Trent Grisham had three hits, three RBIs, and a stolen base. Yes, he's batting .182 — but he's making hard contact, posting a chase rate well below league average, and hitting the ball the other way. Put him on your watch list in 15+ team formats. Now the closer situation — and this is fascinating. Riley O'Brien picked up his 11th save for St. Louis, tying him with Mason Miller for the MLB lead. On Mason Miller's own bobblehead night at Petco Park. O'Brien is absolutely real: 2.00 ERA, locked role in St. Louis with a team that has won 22 games. He's a top-5 closer in every format. Check your waiver wire — that window may be closing. Cade Smith notched his 10th save for Cleveland. Quietly accumulating saves on one of the better teams in the AL Central. Set-it-and-forget-it closer option. Tampa Bay remains a committee approach. Cole Sulser closed it out Thursday, but the Rays are still using a committee. Not yet a reliable fantasy asset for any one name. Other highlights: • Sal Stewart: 10th HR, 22 years old, 17.6% barrel rate, K-rate dropped from 25.9% to 18.1%. Long-term buy, not sell-high. • J.T. Ginn: Eight innings, one run, eight strikeouts on 96 pitches. 25-year-old put himself on streaming radar. Watch next start. • Andrew Painter accountability: Eight earned runs in 3.2 innings. ERA now 6.89. Velocity down, slider lost 2 inches of break. Not viable in any format right now. Sell the name-brand value while it exists. • Jordan Walker: Hitting .309, quietly excellent May, 2-for-4 Thursday. Worth owning in most formats. Three takeaways: 1. Imanaga and the Cubs aren't slowing down. 27-12, nine straight wins. He's the ace and you should be paying ace price. 2. Yankees survived Dominguez injury but monitor how Boone fills his spot. Bellinger and Grisham are hitting. 3. Phillies need to decide on Painter. If he keeps surrendering crooked numbers, he's draining wins from a playoff team. Sell while name value still exists. AARON JOLLY MLB Daily Dynasty May 8, 2026 Keywords: Shota Imanaga, Cubs 9 wins, Jasson Dominguez IL, Yankees injury, Riley O'Brien, Mason Miller, 11 saves, fantasy baseball, waiver wire, add now, Sal Stewart, J.T. Ginn, Andrew Painter, Jordan Walker
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    11 min
  • MLB Daily Delta: Pages 3 HR! Hancock's 2.59 xERA CONFIRMED Elite (ADD NOW) - March 7, 2026

    MLB Daily Delta: Pages 3 HR! Hancock's 2.59 xERA CONFIRMED Elite (ADD NOW) - March 7, 2026
    May 7 2026
    Wednesday delivered two performances fantasy managers won't forget. Andy Pages hit THREE home runs in Houston — a 393-foot three-run shot, a 370-foot two-run bomb, and a 363-foot solo shot. Six RBIs. Career highs across the board. But the real question isn't whether the three-homer game was real (one game never tells you that). The question is whether the 52.9% hard-hit rate and the 1.9 mph jump in average exit velocity are real. They are. Pages' wOBA (.380) runs 33 points above his xwOBA (.347), which means regression is coming. But his underlying contact quality in 2026 is substantially better than 2025 — that 15.7 percentage point hard-hit rate jump is one of the largest in baseball. He's a genuinely better hitter. Hold him through the wOBA regression. But the TRUE value play from Wednesday? Emerson Hancock. Six scoreless innings. Nine strikeouts. ZERO runs against the Braves — the best lineup in the National League. His season line: 2.59 ERA, 2.81 FIP, 2.74 xERA. Let that sink in. All three metrics — ERA, FIP, and xERA — sit within 0.22 points of each other around 2.70. FIP strips out defense. xERA strips out sequencing. When all three align this tightly, it means the performance is REAL across every analytical lens. Hancock has struck out 14, 9, and 9 in his last three starts. His fastball sits at 97.1 mph with a 32% chase rate. His slider generates a 41% whiff rate. He is executing at an elite level. The Mariners are 18-20, which is suppressing his ownership. But wins are team events — strikeouts and ERA belong to the pitcher. If your format values ratios and strikeouts, Hancock is a top-15 starter RIGHT NOW. Add him everywhere. He is the most undervalued arm in the American League. Also covered: • CJ Abrams: Grand slam, career-high 5 RBIs, .960 OPS — 24-year-old shortstop on track for 36 HR / 28 SB pace • Marcus Semien: 4-for-5 with HR, .847 OPS at age 36 • Sonny Gray: Returns from hamstring, 5 scoreless innings • Phillies 8-1 under Mattingly — entire team transforming • Devin Williams: 5th save, Mets stabilizing • Brad Keller: 3rd save for red-hot Phillies Three names to prioritize Thursday: Hancock (everywhere), Pages (hold through regression), Abrams (buy if price isn't reflecting first-round value). AARON JOLLY MLB Daily Dynasty May 7, 2026 Keywords: Emerson Hancock, 2.59 ERA, 2.81 FIP, Andy Pages, 3 home runs, CJ Abrams, grand slam, fantasy baseball, waiver wire, add now, Phillies 8-1, Marcus Semien, Sonny Gray
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    27 min
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