Deep Dive 1/12/26
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Executive Summary
The digital asset landscape is undergoing a significant “bifurcation phase,” characterized by a deepening schism between global financial powers and a fracture between compliance-oriented systems and sovereign, censorship-resistant technologies. The last 24-hours was defined by an unprecedented political crisis in the United States, a structural shift in Asian institutional adoption, and critical technological advancements preparing the industry for future threats.
The most impactful development is the U.S. Department of Justice’s criminal investigation into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, an event Powell himself framed as a politically motivated attack on the central bank’s independence. This has introduced a severe political risk premium to the U.S. dollar, triggering a “flight to safety” that saw gold hit record highs while Bitcoin experienced volatile, indecisive price action around the $91,000 level.
Contrasting sharply with the political turmoil in Washington is a methodical build-out of regulatory and technological infrastructure elsewhere. South Korea has finalized guidelines to lift its nine-year ban on corporate crypto investment, creating a compliant pathway for its large conglomerates (”Chaebols”) to allocate up to 5% of their equity capital to digital assets. This move establishes a major new source of structural, long-term demand from the East.
Technologically, the industry is proactively addressing existential risks. The launch of the Bitcoin Quantum testnet by BTQ Technologies marks the first concrete step toward making the network resistant to quantum computing threats. Concurrently, the debate over decentralization intensified with a manifesto from Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin calling for truly independent stablecoins, a critique made salient by Tether’s freezing of $182 million on the Tron network at the behest of U.S. law enforcement. This enforcement action starkly demonstrates the centralized control within major stablecoins and reinforces the core value proposition of genuinely decentralized assets.
The market is caught between these opposing forces. The immediate outlook is volatile and neutral, heavily influenced by the U.S. political crisis and weighed down by $454 million in weekly ETF outflows. However, the long-term structural demand being codified in Asia and the technical fortification against future threats suggest the next phase of market growth may be driven less by Western retail speculation and more by global corporate and sovereign adoption.
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