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Scott and Jake Dyal, CEO of Certus Core, discuss the intersection of AI, data integration, and national security. They explore the challenges faced by government agencies in managing and utilizing data, particularly in the context of drone and sensor data. Jake shares insights from his experience transitioning from government service to the private sector, highlighting the bureaucratic hurdles and the need for innovative solutions in government contracting. The conversation also touches on the importance of small bets in defense innovation and the evolving role of the Defense Innovation Unit (DIU).

takeaways

• Custom data products are essential for various government missions.
• Integrating multiple data sources enhances decision-making capabilities.
• Philosophical foundations can influence data integration technologies.
• The ATO process is a significant barrier to innovation in government.
• Startups face numerous challenges in navigating government contracting.
• The DIU has had mixed success in facilitating innovation.
• Bureaucratic processes often hinder timely technology adoption.
• Small bets in defense can lead to significant advancements.
• Building relationships with trusted partners is crucial for success.

Chapters

00:00
Introduction to Certus Core and Its Mission

03:08
The Challenge of Data Integration in National Security

05:59
Philosophical Foundations of Data Communication

09:05
Transitioning from Government to Private Sector

11:56
Navigating Bureaucracy in Government Contracting

15:03
The Role of Innovation in Defense

17:48
Barriers to Effective Government Acquisition

20:58
The Future of Defense Technology and Partnerships

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In this episode of 'At the Water's Edge,' host Scott interviews Alex Tarascio, a pollster from Cygnal, a private GOP polling firm known for its accuracy. They discuss the intricacies of polling, the differences between private and public polling, and the impact of partisanship on polling results. Alex shares insights on current voter sentiment, the role of corporate clients, and the challenges of polling on national security and foreign policy issues. The conversation also touches on the disconnect between military perspectives and public opinion, the future of national security issues in polling, and the importance of political accountability in democracy promotion. As they look ahead to the midterms, they explore key trends and issues that may influence voter behavior.

Contact the Show: contact@atthewatersedge.org

Cygnal Polling: https://www.cygn.al/

Magpie Spice Co: https://www.instagram.com/magpiespice/

takeaways

• Polling accuracy has improved significantly since 2016.
• Private polling firms have different incentives than public ones.
• Voter sentiment on national security is low, around 5%.
• Partisanship heavily influences polling results and methodologies.
• Benchmarking polls serve different purposes than public polls.
• Corporate clients can impact the type of polling conducted.
• Young women are becoming disengaged from politics and news.
• The issue of abortion is losing its significance in voter motivation.
• Public perception of tariffs is mixed, with many preferring free market solutions.
• Political accountability is essential for effective democracy promotion.

Chapters

00:00
Introduction to Polling and Alex Tarascio

04:45
The Evolution of Polling Post-2016

07:47
The Impact of Partisanship on Polling

10:41
Confidentiality and Trust in Polling

13:39
Public vs. Private Polling Approaches

16:35
National Voter Trends and Current Polling Insights

19:33
Sampling and Its Importance in Polling

22:37
Corporate Clients and Political Affiliations

25:39
Trump's Favorability and Public Perception

28:36
Tariffs and Public Opinion

30:35
Understanding Partisan Dynamics in Polling

32:42
The Impact of Tariffs on Public Opinion

34:47
National Security and Foreign Policy in Polling

38:07
Public Sentiment on Foreign Policy Issues

41:02
The Shift in American Foreign Policy Perspectives

44:01
The Role of Political Diversity in Democracy Promotion

49:20
Challenges in U.S. Foreign Assistance Programs

53:12
Polling Insights for Upcoming Elections

01:01:29
Engaging with Signal's Work and Personal Projects

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In this episode, Scott and Dr. Jahara 'FRANKY' Matisek discuss the current state of global conflicts, particularly focusing on the dynamics between Israel and Iran, and the tensions between Pakistan and India. They delve into Trump's national security strategy, exploring its foundations and implications, including a modern interpretation of the Monroe Doctrine. The conversation also highlights the role of Security Force Assistance Brigades (SFABs) in U.S. military strategy, the impact of sanctions on Russia, and the shifting landscape of U.S. global leadership. The discussion culminates in reflections on the need for accountability and a coherent grand strategy in national security policy.

Original article

Contact the show: contact@atthewatersedge.org

takeaways

• Trump's national security strategy is often seen as a symptom of broader issues rather than the root cause.
• Sanctions can have a delayed effect, impacting economies over time despite immediate appearances.
• The U.S. is perceived as breaking the international order, which could have long-term consequences.
• A coherent grand strategy is essential for effective national security policy.
• Accountability in the national security establishment is lacking, leading to a disconnect with the public.
• The Monroe Doctrine is being reinterpreted to address modern challenges, particularly with China.
• SFABs play a crucial role in enhancing military strategy and interoperability with allies.
• America's soft power is diminishing, affecting its global standing.
• The national security establishment is facing challenges in adapting to new political realities.
• Trump's foreign policy reflects a unique approach that diverges from traditional strategies.

Chapters

00:00
Introduction and Background of the Guest

05:22
Trump's National Security Strategy Overview

08:30
The Monroe Doctrine and Its Modern Implications

11:38
Shifts in Military Strategy and Resources

14:30
The Role of SFABs in Modern Warfare

17:43
Comparing Trump's Policies to Previous Administrations

20:27
Sanctions and Their Effectiveness

23:30
The Future of U.S.-Russia Relations

26:31
Conclusion and Future Implications

34:36
Global Perceptions: America vs. China

36:36
The Evolution of Soft Power in U.S. Foreign Policy

38:59
Trump's Administration: A Shift in Foreign Policy Dynamics

42:29
The National Security Community's Disconnect

43:56
The Impact of U.S. Wars on Global Reputation

48:42
Trump: A Symptom of Deeper Issues

54:29
Accountability in National Security

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