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The Absent Superpower

The Shale Revolution and a World Without America
Lu par : Toby Sheets
Durée : 13 h et 44 min
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Description

The world is changing in ways most of us find incomprehensible. Terrorism spills out of the Middle East into Europe. Russia, Iran, Saudi Arabia, China, and Japan vie to see who can be most aggressive. Financial breakdown in Asia and Europe guts growth, challenging hard-won political stability.

Yet, for the Americans, these changes are fantastic. Alone among the world's powers, only the United States is geographically wealthy, demographically robust, and energy secure. That last piece - American energy security - is rapidly emerging as the most critical piece of the global picture.

The American shale revolution does more than sever the largest of the remaining ties that bind America's fate to the wider world. It re-industrializes the United States, accelerates the global order's breakdown, and triggers a series of wide ranging military conflicts that will shape the next two decades. The common theme? Just as the global economy tips into chaos, just as global energy becomes dangerous, just as the world really needs the Americans to be engaged, the United States will be...absent.

In 2014's The Accidental Superpower, geopolitical strategist Peter Zeihan made the case that geographic, demographic, and energy trends were unravelling the global system. Zeihan takes the story a step further in The Absent Superpower, mapping out the threats and opportunities as the world descends into disorder.

©2016 Peter Zeihan (P)2017 Peter Zeihan

Ce que les auditeurs disent de The Absent Superpower

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Global
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  • Global
    3 out of 5 stars
  • Interprétation
    4 out of 5 stars
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    3 out of 5 stars
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  • Anon
  • 27/02/2018

Only worthwhile if you're curious about updates

I really enjoyed The Accidental Superpower (TAS) but this sequel read like it was mostly written on airplanes between Peter's "real work". It has value but gets deep into technical aspects of shale production and repeats much of what the first book said. The remainder of much of the book is a basically fictional gameplay of world conflict between powers, something akin to an intel report. Nukes are a glaring omission in this analysis. I am still glad I listened to it though. I've listened to this book only a couple months after it was released so it's a more up to date take on the major trends Peter outlined in his first book, taking Trump into account. He also, ever so slightly, backs off some of the more questionable assertions of his first book (do rivers really impact transit THAT much in modern times? Is US GDP really the same as post-WWII?) so it's good to see his methodology tighten a little. There's not really a cohesive thesis in this book so it meanders and gets a bit long winded at times. If you're very interested in an update from TAS or you're interested in the technical aspects of shale production give it a listen. If not, you're probably ok to give it a pass.

11 personnes ont trouvé cela utile

  • Global
    2 out of 5 stars
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    2 out of 5 stars
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  • Shyam
  • 23/11/2019

A Bit Disappointing

It's hard to deny that Peter Zeihan is a fascinating speaker, but as I hear more of his stuff I grow increasingly skeptical of his credentials. His latest book, The Absent Superpower brings this into focus. If I had to concisely describe it, I'd say that it was essentially the same content as his earlier book (The Accidental Superpower) with a long promo for the shale oil industry and a far less interesting narrator. He could have made his point about the shale economy in about 1/4 of the time that he did. Instead, he goes on and on about it until you feel like flinging your phone out the window! Then, he abruptly changes gears and delivers a dish-watery, Cliff Notes version of The Accidental Superpower. All this is narrated by Toby Sheets who reads its with the same contrived snarkiness that Zeihan does. Ultimately, I'm left wondering why Zeihan even wrote this book. The obvious answer is to create the appearance of new content without really having any. (That, plus providing fresh grist for his well-paid speaking engagements.) Is this book bad? No, I wouldn't say that. But, I would suggest to anyone who wants to understand Zeihan better to buy the earlier book and listen to 2-3 of his lectures on YouTube. Once you do this, you begin to realize that he actually uses a rather canned, repetitive presentation.

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  • Global
    5 out of 5 stars
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  • Andrew W
  • 15/10/2018

Great book. Missing pdf of maps.

The first book had a pdf of maps attached. I would have really liked to see that here.

5 personnes ont trouvé cela utile

  • Global
    5 out of 5 stars
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  • Xavi Fajardo Figueroa
  • 02/07/2020

An interesting possibillity of a future

Peter Zeihan has a knack for storytelling, and it shows in this thorough view of the present and past to cast a possibility of a future.

  • Global
    3 out of 5 stars
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  • Kevin Curley
  • 19/05/2020

Too long

The middle part of the book is great and new information. Too much minutiae about m/pd of oil in every aspect of the book. It doesn’t hit the way the could if oil was at $100 instead of $25.

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  • josette
  • 20/04/2020

Must read on geopolitics.

Stop everything and read everything Zeihan has written. Incredibly interesting and information driven. Love this!

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  • Gitari Mmugambi
  • 12/04/2020

Great book, and grear read

Would encourage abyone to get the book... Definitely fact check the data but I like how Peter brings together the elements that define a countries past and future prospects.

  • Global
    4 out of 5 stars
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  • Keith Smith
  • 31/01/2020

Gloomy read

Answers a lot of questions but leaves more unanswered. China has a demographic problem, but isn’t Japanese demographics worse? Won’t world demand for petroleum go down as demographics crash? I’d recommend this book and listen to Peter talk on YouTube, he’s great and continue questions of his conclusions.

  • Global
    5 out of 5 stars
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  • Joe G
  • 21/11/2019

Geopolitics for the average person

Zeihan makes geopolitics accessible and humorous to the average person. The main stream media I'm sure has lambasted his work due to its contrarian nature, but I have found his work extremely compelling. Great job Peter!

  • Global
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  • alchemyiam
  • 20/10/2019

excellent book on geopolitics

Peter zeihan and George freidman are my favorite geopolitics dtrstegists and both came out of Stratford. Zeihans book links up well with his first book on shale and overall world and US related geopolitics. highly recommended and can't wait for Zeihans 3rd book due out in 2020.