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Why Australian Property Is Shifting (And Why NZ Is Set for an Upturn)

Why Australian Property Is Shifting (And Why NZ Is Set for an Upturn)

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With the election this weekend and the media dominated by doom and gloom, it is easy to lose sight of the bigger picture. In this episode of New Zealand Property Insights, Paul Roberts from Property Apprentice cuts through the election noise to compare New Zealand’s real economic position with Australia and the rest of the world.

From central bank decisions to tax policy shifts across the ditch, Paul breaks down why New Zealand is positioned for a strong property cycle upturn regardless of the election outcome.

Here is what is covered in this episode:

  • OCR Reality Check (NZ vs. Australia): While bank economists anticipated an OCR hike, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand held steady at 2.75%. Across the Tasman, the Reserve Bank of Australia raised its cash rate to 4.85% following historic government spending levels.
  • Business Sentiment on the Rise: Behind the headlines, NZ business confidence sits at 53%—ranking 8th out of 82 countries globally—with the latest "Mood of the Boardroom" survey reporting the highest economic outlook in nine years.
  • Australia’s Tax & Property Fallout: An analysis of Australia’s proposed CGT discount reductions (dropping from 50% down to 30–35%) and the removal of negative gearing. We look at why Australian landlords are spiking rents, why buyer activity has stalled, and why development firms are feeling the squeeze.
  • Why Australian Capital Is Looking at NZ: As Australian investors struggle with low 3% yields and restricted tax offsets, New Zealand’s comparatively higher yields and market reset are attracting cross-Tasman investor interest.
  • The Rebound Indicators: International students returning past 90% pre-pandemic levels, Kiwis returning from Australia due to high living costs, and first-home buyers driving 30% of mortgage registrations.
  • Global Perspective: Why New Zealand remains one of the safest, most stable places in the world to invest and live compared to escalating instability across the UK, Europe, and the US.

Resources & Links: Register for our free 2-hour online training, How to Succeed with Property Investing: https://www.propertyapprentice.co.nz

Book a strategy session with Property Apprentice

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Disclaimer: The information provided in this video is for educational purposes only and does not constitute personalized financial advice. We recommend seeking advice from a qualified professional before making any investment decisions.

*Property Advice Group Limited trading as Property Apprentice has been granted a FULL Licence with the Financial Markets Authority of New Zealand. (FSP Number: FSP157564) Debbie Roberts | Financial Adviser (FSP221305) For our Public disclosure statement please go to our website or you may request a copy free of charge.


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