Couverture de 31: Fake Polls Fooled the Media: Can You Trust a Single Number Before the Midterms?

31: Fake Polls Fooled the Media: Can You Trust a Single Number Before the Midterms?

31: Fake Polls Fooled the Media: Can You Trust a Single Number Before the Midterms?

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With less than two weeks until Election Day, Kurt Bardella and Erin Maguire skip the polls and follow the money and the early vote. The DGA puts $1 million behind David Jolly in Florida, JB Pritzker writes a seven-figure check for Keisha Lance Bottoms in Georgia, and Texas early voting is off to a strong start. Erin explains why Republicans aren't picking up the phone for pollsters and why, at this point, campaigns aren't convincing voters, they're driving them. Plus: is James Talarico closing strong in Texas, and how Abdul El-Sayed took on the attacks about his family in Michigan.Then, family ties: use them or lose them. Vivek Ramaswamy's ad featuring Amy Acton's estranged mother has crossed into group chats, and JD Vance is telling Republicans to stop whining about it. Kurt and Erin debate when a candidate's family is fair game.Last, the state of polling in 2026: a pollster that admits it made its numbers up, The New York Times pulling its surveys from the tracker, and what newsrooms should do before they report the next poll. And in Left Field Lunacy, the Jacksonville Jaguars will let fans spend eternity at the stadium.What do you think about the Acton ad, or public polling? Leave a comment and find us on social at Party Lines. LINKS FROM THIS EPISODEFlorida Phoenix: Democratic Governors Association investing $1 million to support David Jollyhttps://floridaphoenix.com/2026/10/20/democratic-governors-association-investing-1-million-to-support-david-jolly/ AJC: Billionaire Democrats rush to Keisha Lance Bottoms' aid in final stretchhttps://www.ajc.com/politics/2026/10/pritzker-bloomberg-donate-keisha-lance-bottoms-georgia-governor/ Michigan Public: Rogers-El-Sayed debate gets hostile in pivotal U.S. Senate racehttps://www.michiganpublic.org/politics-government/2026-10-09/rogers-el-sayed-debate-gets-hostile-as-candidates-clash-in-pivotal-us-senate-race CBS News: Ohio governor's race takes ugly turn with Ramaswamy ad featuring Amy Acton's estranged motherhttps://www.cbsnews.com/news/ohio-governor-amy-acton-mother-ramaswamy/ Springfield News-Sun: JD Vance tells Republicans to "stop whining" about the Ramaswamy adhttps://www.springfieldnewssun.com/local/jd-vance-tells-republicans-to-stop-whining-about-ramaswamy-ad-with-acton-s-estranged-mother/article_c66de25e-fc7f-5011-b27b-86e48a6f05d2.html Mediaite: National polling company admits it's totally fakehttps://www.mediaite.com/media/news/national-polling-company-admits-its-totally-fake-crows-it-was-far-too-easy-to-get-major-media-outlets-to-bite/ KATU: Polling firm closes after releasing fake election surveys for a "social experiment"https://katu.com/news/nation-world/polling-firm-closes-after-releasing-fake-election-surveys-for-social-experiment-los-angeles-mayoral-race-wisconsin-democratic-gubernatorial-primary-karen-bass-francesca-hong Mediaite: Francesca Hong concedes after razor-thin Wisconsin primaryhttps://www.mediaite.com/media/news/democratic-socialist-francesca-hong-concedes-after-falling-agonizingly-short-in-razor-thin-wisconsin-primary/ Action News Jax: Jaguars fans can reserve a permanent place in the new stadium, even after deathhttps://www.actionnewsjax.com/news/local/forever-teal-jags-fans-can-reserve-permanent-place-new-stadium-even-after-death/JEEYTCKEMBCEVLNORUOPR6UCLI/ CHAPTERS0:00 Less than two weeks to go0:33 Follow the early vote and the money1:34 The DGA bets on David Jolly1:47 Pritzker backs Keisha Lance Bottoms2:05 Pritzker, Beshear and the 2028 shadow race2:44 Texas early voting3:11 Republican malaise and the base play4:09 Why Republicans aren't talking to pollsters5:07 Driving voters, not convincing them5:59 Is Talarico closing strong?6:37 El-Sayed takes the attacks head on7:38 Family ties: use them or lose them7:56 Ramaswamy's ad with Amy Acton's mother9:06 Vance: politics is a tough business10:29 When family turns on a candidate12:20 Fair game or hands off?13:15 Will this follow JD Vance?14:32 The state of polling in 202615:42 Silly season: real polls vs. garbage polls16:22 Why people trust prediction markets17:10 The Wedgewood fake polls18:44 Where are the media's polling standards?20:00 When the polls miss: El-Sayed and Francesca Hong21:02 Only report polls you commission23:31 Did bad polling cost Haley Stevens?23:55 Left Field Lunacy: rest in peace at the Jaguars' stadium26:48 Wrap and happy birthday, Kurt
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