Bitcoin Bounces Back From 63K Dip as Whales Stack and ETF Outflows Slow Amid Iran Tensions
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Hey folks, Crypto Willy here on The Bitcoin & Cryptocurrency Investment Show, bringing you the hottest updates from this wild week leading up to March 3, 2026. Buckle up—Bitcoin's been a rollercoaster, dipping to $63,000 on those Iran airstrikes before bouncing back above $69,000, as GlobeNewswire reports on the chaos shaking presales... except Pepeto in Dubai, which just smashed past $7.45 million raised. Those dip-buying wallets are piling in, eyeing an exchange launch soon—talk about smart money flowing where fear creates opportunity!
Over at BeInCrypto, analysts like Kevin Crowther from KC Private Wealth nail it: Bitcoin's still glued to S&P 500 correlation at 0.55, acting like a risk asset amid Trump tariffs and Iran tensions, while gold surges. But here's the flip—ETF outflows are cratering, down 94% from November's $3.48 billion to February's measly $206 million. Orkun Mahir Kılıç of Citrea calls it deleveraging, not abandonment, and Nima Beni from Bitlease spots institutional conviction as BlackRock's IBIT holds 94% despite retail panic.
On-chain magic's brewing too: Long-term holders slashed selling from -243,737 BTC to -31,967 BTC, miners from -4,718 to -837 BTC, per Bybit's Han Tan, who's betting no real capitulation—just strategic moves amid hash rate dips. Whales are stacking near the 20-day SMA at $67,100, with 100k-1M BTC holders up to 690,000 coins, no sells since February's rebound.
Capital.com clocks BTC at $66,100 mid-week, watching Fed meetings and ETF swings, with Standard Chartered eyeing $100k year-end (down from $150k), Finbold's Henrik Zeberg forecasting $110k-$120k peak this month, and Coinpedia pushing $100k-$120k on inflows. Bitwise predicts an earlier bottom by June-July, front-running the usual 12-13 month cycle post-highs. Bitfinex analysts see hedges but big calls at $80k-$90k for March 27 expiry, while TradingView warns of bear flags but $79k invalidation for upside.
March could spark the next rally, per Coinpedia, with Fed's March 18 decision and Clarity Act buzz in play. Bitcoin's testing $62k support versus $71k-$79k resistance—will it break or bounce?
Thanks for tuning in, crypto crew—catch you next week for more! This has been a Quiet Please production. For me, check out QuietPlease.ai. Stay stacked!
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