Couverture de TWIFO 481: Geopolitical Volatility, Greenland Tensions, and the Nasdaq Put Surge

TWIFO 481: Geopolitical Volatility, Greenland Tensions, and the Nasdaq Put Surge

TWIFO 481: Geopolitical Volatility, Greenland Tensions, and the Nasdaq Put Surge

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Geopolitical drama is back on the menu, and the futures options markets are feeling the heat. In this episode of This Week in Futures Options (TWIFO), Mark Longo breaks down a wild week where nearly every complex saw a volatility explosion. From potential trade wars to "Greenland drama," we explore how the tape is reacting at CME Group.

On today's episode, we dive into:

The Movers & Shakers Report
  • The Volatility Spike: A look at the CVOL (CME Volatility Index) across the board. Why Treasury vol is roaring back to life (up 10 points) and Energy is pining the needle at 69.35.

  • Natural Gas Mania: Nat Gas jumps a staggering 57% as the polar vortex hits.

  • Metals & FX: Precious metals explode in both price and vol, while FX vol gains a full point on trade war chatter.

  • The Dark Side: Bitcoin slides over 8%, leading the losers alongside Palladium and Copper.

Equities: The Big Tech Rotation
  • Nasdaq vs. Small Caps: We analyze the pronounced rotation out of large-cap tech and into small caps.

  • Zero-DTE Action: A deep dive into the massive paper hitting the Nasdaq-100 (NQ), where 0-DTE contracts dominated 43% of the weekly flow.

  • The March Skew: Why traders are paying a premium for March 24,000 puts in the Nasdaq and what it means for the next 60 days of market risk.

  • Call Discounts: Is the 13.5% discount on March calls a buying opportunity or a warning sign?

Market Intelligence
  • Geopolitical Impact: How the "Greenland deal" headlines and Middle East tensions are impacting WTI and precious metals.

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