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NCUA’s second-quarter 2026 CAMELS data is out. There’s been no NCUSIF (National Credit Union Share Insurance Fund) briefing yet — that typically comes in September or October — but the CAMELS counts and the June financial data are on NCUA’s website. In this solo episode, Mark Treichel walks through what the numbers show and what they might mean for your credit union.
The headline: an industry bifurcating, pulling apart at both ends. CAMELS Code 1s are at 21.3%, the highest share going back to 2016 in the data Mark tracks. Code 3s are down to 14.5%, the lowest in ten years. Code 4s are up seven to 100 while the industry shrinks, and seven credit unions have negative net worth — up from three at the end of 2025 and zero at the end of 2022.
In this episode:
• Why Code 3s keep falling: NCUA’s resources, friendlier coding, and fewer “warning shot” and “CYA” Code 3s — all before the FFIEC (Federal Financial Institutions Examination Council) CAMELS proposal takes effect
• The industry count: 4,211 credit unions, down from 4,450 at year-end 2024 and 5,844 ten years ago; merger attrition of roughly 140–150 a year
• 83% of credit unions are Code 1 or 2 (up from 82.7%); 2.5% are Code 4 or 5 (up from 2.4%)
• The eight-quarter view: Code 3s from 718 in the third quarter of 2024 to 611; Code 4s from 138, down to 93, and back to 100
• Six Code 5s — four under $50 million, one between $50 and $100 million, one over $1 billion — and why a falling Code 5 count typically means liquidations or mergers
• The Jackson Area resolution: Five Star assumed the shares and members, and the assets stayed with the insurance fund
• Capital: aggregate net worth ratio of 11.4%; 30 credit unions below 6% (seven negative, one at 0–2%, five at 2–4%, 17 at 4–6%); a refresher on the prompt corrective action (PCA) tiers
• Getting on NCUA’s merger registry, and using NCUA or Callahan’s data to find potential partners
• Earnings: net interest margin 3.49% (bottomed at 2.57% in 2022), loan yields 6.1%, cost of funds 1.71% (peak 1.93% at end of 2024), ROA (return on average assets) 91 basis points, up from 63 at the end of 2024; provision expense 55 basis points vs. a 0.40–0.48 pre-pandemic range
• Asset quality: delinquency 96 basis points (peak 103 at end of 2025); charge-offs 78 basis points, trailing four quarters $13.4 billion vs. $13.2 billion the year before
• Participation loans: delinquency 1.11%, highest in the data set and more than double the 54 basis points at end of 2022; balances $88 billion, up from $72 billion at end of 2023
• Indirect lending: 88 basis points, off its 102 peak at end of 2024
• Liquidity: share mix of money markets 18%, regular shares 28%, certificates 29%, all other 25.46%; certificates up from 18.4% in 2016; net long-term assets just under 35%; share growth 5.2% vs. loan growth 4.9%
• CAMELS by asset size: 4.5% of credit unions under $50 million are Code 4 or 5, versus none over $10 billion; Code 3s run 22% under $50 million and 4% over $10 billion
• Where the pendulum goes from here
• Four things to take to your boardroom
For a deeper look at the June financials, see the companion episode with Todd Miller and Steve Farrar of Credit Union Exam Solutions. [Link to companion episode]
Questions about your exam? Find Mark on LinkedIn or at info@marktreichel.com.