Épisodes

  • WAF 205 - This Is March
    Mar 5 2026

    Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) get hyped for draft season and break down the start to TGFBI.

    • Intro - 0:00
    • Steve's TGFBI
    • Van’s TGFBI Board
    • Ronald Acuna Jr. - 13:00
    • Elly De La Cruz - 18:00
    • Mason Miller - 25:40
    • Junior Caminero - 33:15
    • Ketel Marte - 39:35
    • Hunter Brown - 42:15
    • Freddy Peralta - 47:40
    • Rafael Devers - 51:00
    • Mookie Betts - 54:18
    • Eury Perez 1:00:00
    • Cody Bellinger 1:09:15

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    1 h et 13 min
  • WAF 204 - SP Sleepers
    Feb 26 2026

    Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) highlight a group of late-round starting pitcher sleepers.

    • Intro - 0:00
    • Kris Bubic - 5:45
    • Logan Henderson - 11:15
    • Kodai Senga - 16:45
    • Parker Messick - 21:50
    • Cody Ponce - 25:25
    • Mike Burrows - 29:50
    • Max Meyer 37:00
    • Ryan Weiss 43:00
    • Carlos Lagrange 46:30
    • Ryan Weathers, Joe Musgrove - 50:10

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    1 h et 10 min
  • WAF 203 - Positional ADP Battles
    Feb 12 2026

    Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) break down a series of position-by-position ADP battles, debating which similarly drafted players at the same position offer the better profile based on skills, trends, and risk factors heading into 2026.

    • Intro
    • Ronald Acuña Jr. / Julio Rodríguez — 5:30
    • Kyle Tucker / Fernando Tatis Jr. — 14:00
    • Trea Turner / Zach Neto — 19:08
    • Matt Olson / Bryce Harper — 24:10
    • Josh Naylor / Freddie Freeman — 29:00
    • Byron Buxton / Riley Greene — 33:06
    • Drake Baldwin / Salvador Perez — 37:25
    • Bo Bichette / Corey Seager — 41:20
    • Michael Harris II / Oneil Cruz — 47:45
    • Eugenio Suárez / Jordan Westburg — 52:35
    • Jo Adell / Luis Robert — 57:08
    • Jakob Marsee / Lawrence Butler — 1:02:30
    • Jonathan Aranda / Royce Lewis — 1:06:30

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    1 h et 14 min
  • WAF 202 - Finding Profit in Projections
    Jan 30 2026

    Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) examine where projection systems diverge and how those gaps can create draft value, highlighting key hitting and pitching targets and fades.

    • Intro
    • Projection gaps = draft value
    • ATC strong for power, RBIs, Ks
    • ZiPS leads stolen bases
    • OOPSY highlights ERA/WHIP edges
    • Playing time assumptions matter

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    1 h et 17 min
  • WAF 201 - November to January ADP Risers
    Jan 8 2026

    Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) break down November–January NFBC ADP risers, examining why the market is moving and which changes are worth buying into.

    • Intro -- 0:00
    • Edward Cabrera to Cubs; Tatsuya Imaito Astros --7:17
    • Cody Ponce -- 17:35
    • Mike Burrows-- 22:35
    • Sean Manaea -- 28:15
    • Konnor Griffin -- 32:55
    • Jordan Walker -- 37:00
    • Riley O’Brien -- 42:00
    • Devin Williams -- 45:30
    • Tyler Glasnow -- 51:15
    • Jacob Misiorowski -- 54:00
    • Colson Montgomery -- 56:48

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    1 h et 4 min
  • WAF 200 - All WAF Wants for Christmas
    Dec 18 2025

    Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) celebrate Episode 200 with a Christmas wishlist of fantasy targets, highlighting mispriced upside across the draft board — from high-octane arms like Jacob Misiorowski, Trevor Rogers, and Jack Leiter to bats such as Yandy Díaz, Ben Rice, and Yordan Alvarez, plus bullpen upside in Abner Uribe and international intrigue with Tatsuya Imai as 2026 ADP continues to take shape.

    • Intro -- 0:00
    • Jacob Misiorowski — 8:50
    • Tatsuya Imai — 17:15
    • Yandy Díaz — 22:15
    • Ben Rice — 29:45
    • Trevor Rogers — 36:12
    • Yordan Alvarez — 43:59
    • Abner Uribe — 49:15
    • Jack Leiter — 56:32

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    1 h et 6 min
  • WAF 199 - Early ADP is Wrong
    Dec 5 2025

    Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) dig into early NFBC ADP for 2026, breaking down which players the market is mispricing — from rebound stars like Kyle Tucker and Jackson Merrill to skill-backed arms such as Dylan Cease and Sandy Alcantara, plus deeper upside swings who could surge as draft season sharpens.

    • 0:00 Intro
    • Kyle Tucker — 4:20
    • Jackson Merrill — 12:00
    • Dylan Cease — 20:50
    • Cam Schlittler — 26:37
    • Trey Yesavage — 32:55
    • Sandy Alcantara — 37:15
    • Jac Caglianone — 43:15
    • Mickey Moniak — 48:00
    • Ryne Nelson — 52:40
    • JJ Weatherholt — 58:00

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    1 h et 3 min
  • WAF 198 -Year-Over-Year Statcast Changes
    Nov 20 2025

    Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) revisit one of their favorite in-season edges — tracking year-over-year Statcast changes — but with an offseason lens to see which early-season signals actually held up. Using Fangraphs’ Season Stat Grid and Podhorzer’s retrospective articles as a guide, they break down the biggest movers in Max EV, bat speed, barrel rate, fastball velocity, Stuff+, and K–BB%.

    Referenced Articles: Mike Podhorzer, Fangraphs

    Early 2025 Starting Pitcher Velocity Changes — A Review
    https://fantasy.fangraphs.com/early-2025-starting-pitcher-velocity-changes-a-review/

    Starting Pitcher Stuff Risers & Fallers (Apr 28, 2025) — A Review
    https://fantasy.fangraphs.com/starting-pitcher-stuff-risers-fallers-apr-28-2025-a-review/

    Early 2025 Hitter MaxEV Gainers — A Review
    https://fantasy.fangraphs.com/early-2025-hitter-maxev-gainers-a-review/

    Early 2025 Hitter Average Bat Speed Risers & Fallers — A Review
    https://fantasy.fangraphs.com/early-2025-hitter-average-bat-speed-risers-and-fallers-a-review/

    • 0:00 Intro
    • Max EV — 6:51
    • Corbin Carroll
    • Trevor Story
    • Brandon Lowe
    • Bat Speed — 20:09
    • Brice Turang
    • Anthony Volpe
    • Vinnie Pasquantino
    • Barrel % — 30:00
    • Dalton Varsho
    • Corbin Carroll
    • Anthony Volpe
    • George Springer
    • Michael Busch
    • PCA
    • Zach Neto
    • Brice Turang
    • FB Velo — 36:20
    • Hunter Greene
    • Hunter Brown
    • Jesus Luzardo
    • Jack Leiter
    • Max Meyer
    • Stuff+ — 42:45
    • Hunter Greene
    • Hunter Brown
    • Cristopher Sánchez
    • K–BB% — 50:00
    • Cristopher Sánchez
    • Hunter Brown
    • MacKenzie Gore

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    1 h et 3 min