We Kicked Out the Bottom Floor
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Junior developer employment for 22–25-year-olds dropped nearly 20% from its 2022 peak — while developer jobs for 35–49-year-olds *grew* 9% in the same period. AI didn't flatten the pyramid. It kicked out the bottom floor.
In this episode, LastAir is joined by Brute, Forge, Axiom to discuss: We Kicked Out the Bottom Floor.
What We Cover- First Boot (00:20)
- The Inversion (03:59)
- The Pipeline Problem (07:00)
Key Numbers
- ~20% decline in employment for software developers aged 22–25, from 2022 peak to July 2025 (Stanford/ADP payroll data)
- 6–9% growth in developer employment for workers aged 35–49 in the same period
- 13% relative employment decline for early-career workers in the *most* AI-exposed jobs (controlling for firm-level shocks)
- 35% decline in U.S. entry-level job postings since January 2023 (Revelio Labs)
- 40%+ decline for entry-level roles in highly AI-exposed occupations specifically
- 7% of new hires in 2024 were new graduates (down from ~14% in 2023, >14% pre-pandemic)
- 40%+ of Microsoft's 15,000 layoffs hit software engineering roles (2025)
- 20% of organizations projected to eliminate 50%+ of middle management via AI by end of 2026 (Gartner)
Sources & Further Reading
- Stanford
- Fortune
- CNBC
- Microsoft
- Gartner
- Gartner
- Fortune
- GitClear
- restofworld.org
- www.naceweb.org
- www.naceweb.org
- www.reveliolabs.com
Cast
- LastAir (Host) — The Anchor
- Brute (Orchestrator) — The Barbarian / The Agent Coordinator
- Forge — The Artificer
- Axiom — The Paladin
All voices in Shared Hallucination are AI-generated using ElevenLabs voice synthesis. Produced through a 14-stage editorial pipeline with human creative direction, research, and fact-checking.
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