Épisodes

  • The Biggest Risk Markets Face Is On No-Ones Radar Right Now | David Hay
    Feb 1 2026

    Right now, the "giant mindless robot" of passive capital flows appears to be the most important macro trend in keeping stock prices rising.So many worry that a stalling -- or reversal -- of these passive flows is the #1 risk to markets.But today's guest, David Hay, founder & former CIO of Evergreen Gavekal, sees an even greater risk -- one that practically no one else is paying attention to.There are a growing number of reasons why foreign capital is likely to start draining out of the US financial markets.And it could reach a volume where those flows are even bigger than the giant mindless robot of domestic passive flows.This would severely tank the prices of many US financial assets.To learn why, David has prepared a slide presentation that you simply must watch.


    WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com#capitalflows #exchangerates #commodities _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It’s important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer’s unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security’s or a firm’s past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2026 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.

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    56 min
  • Market At Risk Of Correcting In A 'Risk-Off' Reset? | Lance Roberts
    Jan 31 2026

    Stocks have been stuck in a compressing trading range for the past several months.And recently they've broken down below it.That development, plus a number of other headwinds weighing on the markets, suggests that stocks could experience a 'risk-off reset' soon, falling substantially lower.Portfolio manager Lance Roberts and I discuss the odds for this, as well as the recent Federal Reserve guidance, growing concerns in AI stocks, the bull & bear cases for 2026, this week's gut-wrenching plunge in the precious metals, as well as Lance's firm's latest trades.For everything that mattered to markets this week, watch this video.


    WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com#goldprice #silverprice #marketcorrection _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It’s important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer’s unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security’s or a firm’s past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2026 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.

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    1 h et 50 min
  • Silver To Hit $500/oz By Summer??? | Michael Oliver
    Jan 29 2026

    The recent price action in the precious metals, especially silver, has been nothing short of astounding.But they're no surprise to today's guest, who boldy predicted this violent upside breakout.Questions are now flying fast & furious:How much farther are prices likely to rise?Is a viscious pullback likely soon, similar to what the metals experiences after the spikes seen in 1980 and 2011? And if so, should I start selling?Why haven't the mining stocks performed as well as expected?To address these pressing questions, we're fortunate to welcome back to the program technical analyst and author Michael Oliver, founder of market research firm Momentum Structural Analysis.Michael remains EXTREMELY bullish on the price silver, predicting it may reach the incredible price of $500/oz by summer.


    WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com#silverprice #goldprice #preciousmetals _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It’s important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer’s unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security’s or a firm’s past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2026 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.

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    1 h et 33 min
  • Former Wall Street Bull Now Expects Stocks To Fall 15-20% This Year | Mark Newton, Fundstrat
    Jan 27 2026

    When today's guest was last on the program back in Oct, he predicted stocks would end 2025 at all-time highs.And he was right.But he indicated that he had growing concerns about 2026.So, is he still worried about the year ahead? Or has the situation changed?To find out, we're fortunate to welcome back to the program Mark Newton, Head of Technical Strategy at market research firm Fundstrat, where he works with its founder Tom Lee.In short, Mark sees the S&P dropping by 15-20% this year.To learn why, and which assets he thinks will buck that trend, watch this video.


    WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com#marketcorrection #goldprice #silverprice _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It’s important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer’s unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security’s or a firm’s past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2026 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.

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    50 min
  • Rick Rule: I've Rarely Seen Such Good Opportunity In Oil & Gas Stocks
    Jan 25 2026

    Oil and gas stocks have largely been ignored by Wall Street for years now as the prices of oil and natural gas have largely remained weak.But the world still runs on fossil fuels. And global demand keeps rising each year.And in this industry, the cure for low prices tends to be low prices.So, when will this sector, famous for its boom and bust cyclical nature, rotate out of bust and back into boom?Are today's low stock prices presenting a good opportunity to start dollar cost averaging into a sector that is poised for substantial future gains, while paying attractive income in the meantime?For answers, we're fortunate to be joined by Rick Rule, one of the world's greatest living natural resource investors, and a heck of a gentleman, to boot.


    WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com#oilandgas #oilprice #naturalgas _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It’s important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer’s unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security’s or a firm’s past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2026 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.

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    1 h et 24 min
  • What If Earnings Guidance Disappoints? How Low Could Stocks Fall? | Lance Roberts
    Jan 24 2026

    WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.comToday's extremely high valuation levels for stocks hangs on future forecasted corporate earnings.We're about to start earnings season. What if guidance disappoints?If it does, how far could stocks drop?Portfolio manager Lance Roberts and I discuss the odds in this week's Market Recap, as well as $100/oz silver, $5,000/oz gold, S&P 7000, rising bond yields, and the prospects for oil & gas stocks.For everything that mattered to markets this week, watch this video.#marketcorrection #earnings #silverprice _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It’s important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer’s unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security’s or a firm’s past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2026 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.

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    1 h et 53 min
  • Will The Economy Slow Or Grow In 2026? | George Gammon
    Jan 22 2026

    Concerns about the weak consumer, the frozen jobs and housing markets, rising debt delinquencies, tariff-driven inflation, stubbornly high bond yields & geopolitical stresses cause many analysts to worry that the economy will slow materially this year.But others, especially those listening to the Trump Administration, are predicting the economy will boom in 2026 from all the AI capex spending, energy grid buildout, reshoring of manufacturing, capital influx from new trade deals, de-regulation, historic tax refunds and other commerce-friendly developments.So which is it? Will the economy slow or grow this year?To discuss, we have the good fortune to welcome back George Gammon to the program. George is best-known for his financial education media endeavors, most notably his George Gammon and Rebel Capitalist YouTube channels.


    WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com#marketcorrection #gdp #recession _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It’s important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer’s unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security’s or a firm’s past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2026 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.

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    1 h et 41 min
  • It's Not Time To Sell...Yet | Milton Berg
    Jan 20 2026

    Today we have the good fortune to speak with Milton Berg, founder and Chief Executive Officer of MB Advisors, a premier global macro research and consulting company, offering investment advice to the world's largest asset managers.Milton has just made his proprietary buy/sell model available to retail investors for the first time, and he’ll walk us through it today.While quite concerned about today's extreme valuation levels, Milton doesn't think it's time to sell...yet.


    WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com#marketcorrection #volatility #technicalanalysis _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It’s important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer’s unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security’s or a firm’s past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2026 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.

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    47 min