Épisodes

  • 5-18-26 Market Leadership is Narrow
    May 18 2026
    Narrow market leadership is becoming a growing risk for investors heading into the summer months. While the S&P 500 continues pushing near record highs, a small group of mega-cap technology stocks is carrying most of the market higher as broader participation weakens beneath the surface. Lance Roberts breaks down why concentrated leadership matters, what history says about narrow rallies, and why stretched momentum in semiconductors, AI, and mega-cap growth stocks could leave markets vulnerable to sharper volatility ahead. We'll review the widening gap between cap-weighted and equal-weight indexes, weakening sector participation, and the growing importance of risk management as markets move further above long-term trends. Here's a topical rundown of today's show: 0:00 - INTRO 0:54 - Strong Earnings Season Continues - Nvidia Prelude 6:01 - Markets Complete 7th Week of Gains 12:01 - Bring Your Kid to Work Day 12:54 - Signs of Market Risk Ahead 15:30 - Market Breadth Has Been Worrisome 17:17 - Market Weighting is Important 19:51 - Narrow Market Leadership History 21:44 - Negative Market Should Be Expected 22:35 - Factors of Risk 24:22 - When Correction Comes... 26:47 - Six Actions You Can Take Now 32:17 - Warren Buffett's Cash 35:24 - The Buffett Indicator: Warren's Calling for a Crash? 36:57 - Two Readings that Matter 41:45 - Why Do You Own Berkshire-Hathaway 43:41 - What Would Warren Buffett Buy (WWWBB)? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "Market Leadership Is Narrow, Increasing Summer Risk" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/leadership-is-narrow-increasing-market-risk-into-summer/ "Buffett Cash Hoard: Why $397 Billion Sits On The Sidelines" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/buffett-cash-hoard-why-373-billion-sits-on-the-sidelines/ ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/ajQHux6HT7k ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" feature, "Momentum Meets Gravity," here: https://youtu.be/-HT6wtmOzjw ------- Watch our previous show, "What Your Advisor Should Really Do" https://youtube.com/live/HXafEWQMFuI?feature=share ------- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series presentation, "A SimpleVisor Tutorial," Thursday, June 4, 2025 at Noon: https://streamyard.com/watch/MwairsimgmnS -------- Download Lance's Latest e-book, "Laws of Money & Wealth:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #MarketCorrection #Investing #SP500 #MarketOutlook #WarrenBuffett #BerkshireHathaway #MarketRisk #TechnologyStocks #FederalReserve
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    49 min
  • 5-15-26 What Your Advisor Should Really Do
    May 15 2026
    What should you really expect from a financial advisor? Is your advisor acting as a fiduciary, managing risk, helping with taxes, retirement income, estate planning, and behavioral coaching, or just selling products and chasing performance? Richard Rosso & Jonathan McCarty break down the real role of a financial advisor, what services matter most, how advisors are compensated, and the warning signs investors often miss. We also discuss fiduciary standards, portfolio management, communication expectations, financial planning, and why transparency matters more than promises.. Here's a topical rundown of today's show: 0:00 - INTRO 0:18 - Jerome Powell, Kevin Warsh (Janet Yellen) & CPI Review 4:18 - Employment Numbers & Data Centers, & Robots Chasing Hogs 6:26 - What Does Your Advisor Do? 10:16 - What Should You Expect? 14:24 - What Are You Getting vs Giving Up? 16:02 - Looking at Taxes on a Continuum 19:35 -Investment Management is Important 20:44 - AI, Robots, and Animatronic Beavers 25:40 - Financial Advisors with Open Minds 27:41 - Fixed-cost vs Fee-based Financial Planning 30:10 - How to Deal with Emotional & Cognitive Biases 34:22 - Math & Movie Voice-overs 36:02 - Fiduciaries Focus on Things You Miss 37:45 - Proper Asset Location 38:14 - Fee Transparency - How advisors get paid 41:20 - Red Flag Warnings When Choosing an Advisor 42:59 - What Annuities Do (and Don't Do) 45:25 - Fee-only vs Fee-based Advisors44;31 - Big Firms vs Small Firms - KYC 47:02 - What Comprehensive Wealth Management Should Look Like 47:54 - Candid Coffee - Financial Organization Made Simple Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan McCarty, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "The Perfect Planning Experiemce" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/HXafEWQMFuI?feature=share ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" feature, "Momentum Mania Meets Market Rotation," here: https://youtu.be/bNIRIssbDP8 ------- Watch our previous show, "Inflation Surge Hits Markets?" https://youtube.com/live/UOSeQNOhcwI ------- * REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, THIS Saturday, May 16: "Financial Organization Made Simple:" https://streamyard.com/watch/SA6aj2aMdMhf -------- Download Lance's Latest e-book, "Laws of Money & Wealth:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FinancialAdvisor #RetirementPlanning #Investing #WealthManagement #Fiduciary
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    53 min
  • 5-14-26 Inflation Surge Hits Markets?
    May 14 2026
    Inflation pressures may be heating up again, and markets are beginning to notice. Rising prices can have major consequences for stocks, bonds, interest rates, and Federal Reserve policy. Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz discuss why persistent inflation is dangerous for both investors and the economy, how rising yields pressure bond prices, and why higher rates can challenge stock valuations — especially in high-growth and technology sectors. We also examine whether the recent market rally is underestimating the risk of another inflation wave. Here's a topical rundown of today's show: 0:00 - INTRO 1:04 - Gamma Squeeze & Markets' 7-week Run 5:16 - Market Sectors vs Market Factors 13:34 - Rotations from Semi's to SAAS's? 15:57 - Market Rotations Back to Value? 17:50 - Charting Relative Scores of Market Factors 19:42 - Why Dispersion Matters 20:54 - CPI & Inflation Data - What Does it Tell Us? 23:41 - Gasoline Prices & CPI Calculations 26:58 - Chart Crimes and "Lower" Inflation 29:28 - CPI Today vs 1970's (more chart crime) 31:06 - What Kevin Warsh is Walking Into 33:35 - The Fed's Trap and Consumption Destruction 38:02 - Earnings Revisions Coming from Narrowed Breadth 38:53 - Commentary - Government Spending Impact on Inflation 45:35 - Debt to GDP Ratio - Explain Japan Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "Government Debt: Not What The Doom Crowd Thinks It Is:" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/government-debt-not-what-the-doom-crowd-thinks-it-is/ ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/UOSeQNOhcwI ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" feature, "Momentum Mania Meets Market Rotation," here: https://youtu.be/bNIRIssbDP8 ------- Watch our previous show, "Q & A Wednesday: Real Answers. No Spin." https://youtube.com/live/vMLyZ9wZbH8 ------- * REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, THIS Saturday, May 16: "Financial Organization Made Simple:" https://streamyard.com/watch/SA6aj2aMdMhf -------- Download Lance's Latest e-book, "Laws of Money & Wealth:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #MomentumStocks #Semiconductors #ValueInvesting #MarketRotation #Inflation #Bonds #InterestRates #FederalReserve
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    49 min
  • 5-14-26 Momentum Mania Meets Market Rotation | Before the Bell
    May 14 2026
    Markets remain heavily concentrated in high-beta Momentum trades, especially in Semiconductors and large-cap Growth stocks. But when speculative momentum runs go parabolic, history shows the reversals can be just as sharp. In today's pre-market update, we break down the difference between market sectors and investment factors, why the Momentum trade has gone vertical since April, and how rotations into Value, Quality, and Fixed Income could begin as investors reduce risk. We'll also examine why high-beta names could face the biggest downside during a correction, what a retracement in Semiconductors could look like, and why portfolio diversification matters more than ever when markets become this over bought. Are investors chasing performance at exactly the wrong time? Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://youtu.be/bNIRIssbDP8 --- Articles mentioned in this report: "Fast Food Falters" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/fast-food-falters/ --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ --- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #MomentumStocks #Semiconductors #ValueInvesting #MarketRotation
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    7 min
  • 5-13-26 Q & A Wednesday: Real Answers. No Spin.
    May 13 2026
    Q&A Wednesday is back. Markets are pushing record highs while oil prices surge on renewed Iran and Strait of Hormuz tensions, inflation concerns remain elevated, and the AI trade continues to dominate Wall Street headlines. Investors are also watching the Fed, tariffs, interest rates, retirement risks, taxes, and portfolio positioning as volatility quietly builds beneath the surface. Lance Roberts and Danny Ratliff answer your questions, live, with straightforward analysis and no spin. Bring your questions about markets, retirement planning, portfolio management, taxes, risk, the economy, or whatever is on your mind. Questions we answered on today's show include: 0:00 - INTRO 0:56 - CPI Checks In Higher Than Expected 5:02 - Duration and Velocity of Bullish Stampede 9:47 - Birthday Fishing Present 14:44 - Berkshire Hathaway Exposure to AI 17:30 - Investing Like Warren Buffett 19:12 - Why Aren't Swap Lines "Printing Money Out of Thin Air"? 22:03 - CPI Revisions 25:17 - Deflation in Rents 26:03 - GDP, Inflation, & Yields 27:00 - Hold Long-Dated Bonds or Sell? 28:04 - Are REIT's Over Extended? 29:41 - Should You Average into the S&P? 30:52 - Why is Stock-picking/Diversification So Hard Now? 32:30 - Stock Market Regimes & Asset Allocation 34:41 - CPI Data vs Fixed Income Allocations 41:06 - Church vs Casino Investing 42:03 - Long Term Investor: What's Your Personality? 46:37 - RSP vs SPY in Current Market Condition? 50:44 - What's a Good ETF for a Younger Person to Invest In? 52:34 - Space-X IPO Effects on Markets & Indexes Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "Commodity Supercycle: The Enemy Of The Bull Thesis (Part 1)" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/commodity-supercycle-the-enemy-of-the-bull-thesis-part-1/ "Earnings Estimate Revisions Are Very Optimistic" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/earnings-estimate-revisions-are-very-optimistic/ "Parabolic Semiconductor Rally Is Pricing In 2028 Already" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/parabolic-semiconductor-rally-is-pricing-in-2028-already/ ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/vMLyZ9wZbH8 ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" feature, "Buying Stampede: Good News & Bad News." here: https://youtu.be/hDeUW-rmwC4 ------- Watch our previous show, "Five Questions for Smarter Money Decisions" https://youtu.be/rZ1lej68NvE ------- * REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, Saturday, May 16: "Financial Organization Made Simple:" https://streamyard.com/watch/SA6aj2aMdMhf -------- Download Lance's Latest e-book, "Laws of Money & Wealth:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #SP500 #Investing #MarketCorrection #BullMarket #QandAWednesday #StockMarket #RetirementPlanning #Investing #AskUsAnything
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    55 min
  • 5-13-26 Buying Stampede: Good News & Bad News | Before the Bell
    May 13 2026
    Markets are now approaching seven straight weeks of gains in one of the strongest buying stampedes since 1950. While bullish momentum, earnings growth, and corporate buybacks continue to support higher prices, markets are becoming increasingly stretched above long-term moving averages. We discuss why sharp advances like this often lead to short-term pullbacks, where key support levels may emerge, and why those corrections can create stronger opportunities for investors later in the year. Is this the start of a larger correction, or just a healthy pause before the next move higher? Watch today's breakdown of market momentum, overbought conditions, moving averages, and what history suggests could happen next. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://youtu.be/hDeUW-rmwC4 --- Articles mentioned in this report: "Fast Food Falters" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/fast-food-falters/ --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ --- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #SP500 #Investing #MarketCorrection #BullMarket
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    4 min
  • 5-12-26 Five Questions for Smarter Money Decisions
    May 12 2026
    Should you pay off debt, invest more in your 401(k), or do both? Lance Roberts & Jon Penn walk through five real-world financial decisions that millions of Americans face every year. Using new Vanguard research and simple math, we break down how to prioritize credit cards, mortgages, student loans, retirement savings, and employer matches to maximize long-term wealth. We also discuss why the mathematically correct answer is not always the emotionally correct one, and how personal priorities, risk tolerance, and peace of mind factor into financial planning. Key topics include: 0:00 - INTRO 1:12 - Six Weeks of Market Advances - What Happens in Week-7?4:36 - Economic Data Review 5:30 - Narrow market Rally Poses Portfolio Risk 10:35 - Birthday Table & Coming Attractions 12:00 - Five Questions to Help You Make Better Financial Decisions 13:45 - Everybody Starts from Scratch 18:20 - Invest or Pay off Debt? 20:54 - Not Everybody Contributes to 401k Plan 25:50 - The Number One Asset is Time 30:21 - Taking a Loan Against Your 401k? (NO!) 32:51 - Margo Has Money Troubles & Other Streaming Treats 35:12 - Inherited Money: Pay Off Mortgage? (NO!) 43:04 - Healthy Debt vs Unhealthy Debt Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "Commodity Supercycle: The Enemy Of The Bull Thesis (Part 1)" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/commodity-supercycle-the-enemy-of-the-bull-thesis-part-1/ "Earnings Estimate Revisions Are Very Optimistic" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/earnings-estimate-revisions-are-very-optimistic/ "Parabolic Semiconductor Rally Is Pricing In 2028 Already" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/parabolic-semiconductor-rally-is-pricing-in-2028-already/ ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtu.be/rZ1lej68NvE ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" feature, "Tech Rally Risk Is Rising" here: https://youtu.be/RU_xjKIGiDs ------- Watch our previous show, "Annuities: Smart Move or Costly Mistake?" https://youtube.com/live/6Rag3wz8r3k ------- * REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, Saturday, May 16: "Financial Organization Made Simple:" https://streamyard.com/watch/SA6aj2aMdMhf -------- Download Lance's Latest e-book, "Laws of Money & Wealth:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TechnologyStocks #XLK #StockMarket #Investing #MarketRisk #FinancialPlanning #401k #DebtManagement #RetirementPlanning #PersonalFinance
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    48 min
  • 5-12-26 Tech Rally Risk Is Rising | Before the Bell
    May 12 2026
    Technology stocks continue to dominate the market as XLK and momentum-driven trades surge higher, but the rally is becoming increasingly narrow. Financials, Healthcare, Industrials, Energy, and Materials are lagging badly while Technology pulls the broader indexes higher. In today's pre-market update, we examine the growing divergence between Technology and the rest of the market, why overbought momentum conditions matter, and how concentrated rallies can create hidden risks for investors. We also discuss sector rotation, portfolio diversification, and why maintaining exposure to lagging sectors may help hedge against the next correction. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://youtu.be/rZ1lej68NvE --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ --- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TechnologyStocks #XLK #StockMarket #Investing #MarketRisk
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    4 min