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The Market Call

The Market Call

De : Progressive Equity Research
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A periodic summary of major macro events, market themes and selected UK company-specific news.© 2026 Progressive Equity Research Economie Finances privées Politique et gouvernement
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  • Week Ending 10/04/2026 - The world's "cardiac event" and its implications
    Apr 10 2026

    This week, Jeremy and Gareth discuss the only thing that matters - the "cardiac event" threatening the world's circulatory system for its oil lifeblood.

    Echoes of Suez reverberate - and the "petrodollar" arrangements of arms sales and protection look thoroughly undermined. Jeremy points out that this feels like "hypernormalisation"....everyone knows that the world order is changing, but is afraid to say it out loud.

    China may be the silent victor, but Japan's financial position and/or the bond markets could pose the real risk to markets.

    Investors might do well to look to real-world assets, especially if energy exploration is about to become important once again.

    Latin America could benefit from a more hinterland-focussed USA. Good luck to the soon-incoming Fed Chairman....what a time to be Kevin Warsh.


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    15 min
  • Week Ending 20/3/2026 - It takes two to TACO
    Mar 20 2026

    Jeremy and Gareth discuss the ongoing challenges emanating from the Middle East. Unlike last year's tariff news, where the Trump Always Chickens Out (TACO) trade often won out, it takes two to TACO in a war like this - and Iran so far is not helping.

    Markets have been stung, although the US Dollar is once again the "safe haven" asset, making the inflationary impact worse for non-USA countries. Those inflationary risks abound, and the independence of central banks in this critical period will once again be an issue.

    Equity markets appear to be less worried than bond investors, although this could change, depending crucially on how long the current impasse persists in the all-important Strait of Hormuz.

    When the oil price is more volatile than bitcoin, you know we're in interesting times...

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    15 min
  • Week Ending 6/03/2026: "Epic Fury" vs "Global Economic Resilience"
    Mar 6 2026

    This week, Jeremy and Gareth discuss the obvious (and only) story that really matters - the US and Israeli attacks on Iran. What is obvious is that America's "complete control of the airspace" has not resulted in reopening the Strait of Hormuz - small Iranian missiles and drones remain a problem. Less obvious is that America's "no limits on availability of munitions" presumably leaves Ukraine's supply at risk, and Taiwan less protected. Oil prices are up by 25-30%, and inflation will follow unless this is very short-lived. Bond yields are rising globally. A regime-changed Iran (with free-flowing cheap oil for the world) would be a wonderful outcome, but is currently very far from assured. Jeremy explains the importance of Kharg Island...let's hope it stays out of the headlines.

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    15 min
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