Épisodes

  • Semis Lead the Repair, Oil and Rates Vol Keep It Tactical

    Semis Lead the Repair, Oil and Rates Vol Keep It Tactical
    Jun 8 2026
    Equities are rebounding from Friday’s tech-led flush, led by semiconductors and lower equity volatility. But Brent near $94, WTI near $91, and MOVE at 75.20 keep the setup tactical rather than clean.
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    6 min
  • Semis Break, Volatility Leads the Tape

    Semis Break, Volatility Leads the Tape
    Jun 7 2026
    A semiconductor-led unwind has pushed VIX above 20, with SOXX down sharply and QQQ under pressure. Dollar calm, stable oil, and resilient crypto still argue against a full cross-asset liquidity break.
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    6 min
  • Payrolls Is a Wage-Led Rates Event

    Payrolls Is a Wage-Led Rates Event
    Jun 5 2026
    Markets enter payrolls with low implied volatility, firm dollar pricing, and weakening tech leadership. The key input is wages, not just the headline jobs number, because a hot AHE print could force a rates and dollar repricing.
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    6 min
  • Lower Oil Helps, But AI Leadership Is Under Pressure

    Lower Oil Helps, But AI Leadership Is Under Pressure
    Jun 4 2026
    Oil, yields, and the dollar are easing, giving markets some relief, but tight crude supply and pressure in AI leadership keep the tape fragile. Today’s briefing focuses on crude, rates, the dollar, Broadcom, gold, crypto, and the key levels that matter over the next 24 to 48 hours.
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    6 min
  • Oil Is the Hinge for Rates, Dollar, and AI Risk

    Oil Is the Hinge for Rates, Dollar, and AI Risk
    Jun 3 2026
    Oil is back as the key cross-asset driver, lifting inflation risk and putting pressure on yields, the dollar, and duration-sensitive equities. AI and semiconductor leadership are still supporting the tape, but the setup is more fragile if WTI, the 10-year yield, and DXY all break higher together.
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    6 min
  • AI Holds the Tape as Rates Vol Rises

    AI Holds the Tape as Rates Vol Rises
    Jun 2 2026
    Equities remain constructive, led by AI and semiconductors, but the macro backdrop is less clean. Oil near $90 WTI, sticky prices, labor data, and rising rates volatility keep the 2-year yield and MOVE index in control.
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    6 min
  • Risk-On Holds, But Rates and Oil Narrow the Margin

    Risk-On Holds, But Rates and Oil Narrow the Margin
    May 31 2026
    Risk appetite remains supported by Nasdaq leadership, improving breadth, and low volatility. But the rally is becoming more sensitive to Treasury yields, oil prices, labor data, and Fed pricing over the next 24 to 48 hours.
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    6 min
  • Lower Oil and Softer PCE Keep Relief Rally Alive

    Lower Oil and Softer PCE Keep Relief Rally Alive
    May 29 2026
    Lower crude, softer core PCE, easing yields, and suppressed volatility are keeping the short-term relief rally intact. But narrow breadth, tight energy inventories, and low shock premium leave the setup vulnerable to a reversal in oil, yields, or the dollar.
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    6 min