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Plausibly Deniable

Plausibly Deniable

De : Lukas and Saila
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A conversation about incentives, power, and the stories we tell ourselves to justify outcomes. Hosted by Lukas (https://x.com/SCHIZO_FREQ) and Saila (https://x.com/sailaunderscore) Sponsored by Polymarket, CitizenX and Network PressLukas and Saila
Épisodes
  • Reasonable Political Centrism w/ The Most Normal Man Alive - Howling Mutant
    Apr 24 2026

    Internet comedian Howling Mutant joins Plausibly Deniable to talk about getting doxxed, becoming an accidental Goodreads influencer, the strange sociology of right-wing Twitter, journalism, media trust, AI art, gym culture, looksmaxxing, and why the internet turns every private embarrassment into public lore.

    The conversation starts with the story of how Howling’s personal information was dug up and spread online, then veers into Goodreads power rankings, the decline of nerd culture, media narratives, “fell for it again” politics, Iran war arguments, anime pronunciation scandals, AI-generated comedy, recycling scams, posture, lifting, and bone-smashing aesthetics.Sponsored by:

    Polymarket

    https://polymarket.com

    Zcash

    https://z.cash

    CitizenX

    https://citizenx.com

    Network Press

    https://network.press

    _______________________________

    Plausibly Deniable

    https://plausiblydeniable.org

    Lukas

    https://x.com/SCHIZO_FREQ

    Saila

    https://x.com/sailaunderscore

    Howling Mutant

    https://x.com/Howlingmutant0

    00:00 Howling Mutant gets doxxed

    02:00 The Goodreads scandal begins

    06:29 Face reveals, internet expectations, and nerd culture winning

    10:08 Gay culture, repression, and mainstreaming

    11:41 The media lie that broke Lukas’s brain

    13:20 “Fell for it again” politics

    16:07 Iran discourse and losing internet arguments

    18:47 The Asuka pronunciation scandal

    20:43 Frazier Payne, AI animation, and right-wing creativity

    23:35 Censorship, bleeping, and edgy comedy

    26:02 Sponsors and monetizing Goodreads influence

    28:19 Book ratings, Karl Marx, and 800 reviews

    29:59 AI art, anti-tech politics, and environmental objections

    32:06 Ferry work, old coworkers, and online personas

    34:46 How the doxxing happened

    38:21 Contacting an ex through her workplace

    39:34 How doxxing spreads when people “defend” you

    41:53 Posture, camera presence, and gym culture

    45:05 Forum experts, deadlifts, and niche knowledge

    47:01 Looksmaxxing, bone-smashing, and viral advice

    48:46 Closing chaos

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    49 min
  • Infinite Doomscroll Capitalism: Market Efficiency or Eternal Torture?? w/ signüll
    Apr 14 2026

    Welcome to the Plausibly Deniable experience. Today, we have a very special guest: one of the greatest posters on X, Signull

    We explore the bizarre realities of hyper-optimized capitalism, from the dual opt-in mechanics of dating apps to the wild world of DIY Korean Botox and 14-year-olds getting "preventative" injections before Signull tells us about the app he just built - https://skyeapp.ai/

    Later, we discuss OpenAI's side quests , Anthropic's focus on coding , and why the infinite scroll is the ultimate IQ filter


    Sponsors:

    Polymarket.com

    Z.cash

    CitizenX.com

    Network.press

    plausiblydeniable.org

    Lukas: x.com/SCHIZO_FREQ

    Saila: x.com/sailaunderscore

    Signull: x.com/signulll

    00:00 - Intro: The $4,000 Testosterone Check & Haggling in Taipei

    06:59 - Welcome Signal: Pod Slop & The Podcast Tax

    10:26 - Frictionless Capitalism: Diet Cherry Coke & Dating Spreadsheets 20:27 - The Botox Epidemic: Masseter Injections, DIY Kits, & 14-Year-Olds 32:11 - Privacy in the AI Era: Cambridge Analytica & LLM Spies

    38:23 - Exclusive Reveal: Signal’s New Agentic App "Sky"

    54:32 - Trump, Influencers, & How 200 Accounts Control the Zeitgeist

    1:06:00 - TikTok, Netflix, and How Infinite Scroll Obliterated Search Skills

    1:12:04 - Apple's Missed AI Opportunity & The Steve Jobs "What If"

    1:32:30 - Focus vs. Side Quests: Apple, OpenAI (Sora), & Anthropic (Claude)

    1:43:00 - Why Consumer Startups Are "Harder" Than B2B Enterprise

    1:49:16 - The Wellness Industry vs. The TikTok Dopamine Machine

    2:24:23 - Polymarket, Zcash, and the Art of Judging on Twitter

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    2 h et 45 min
  • Trading the Apocalypse: Silver, AI, and the Fall of China - w/ Alexander Campbell
    Apr 9 2026

    Today, we sit down with the legendary Alexander Campbell, former prop trader at Lehman Brothers during the '08 crisis and ex-head of commodities at Bridgewater

    He unpacks his viral (and wildly profitable) silver trade, breaking down why the massive demand from solar panel production has created the perfect setup for a historic supply squeeze. (Follow his substack btw: https://www.campbellramble.ai/)

    We also take a deep dive into the macroeconomic landscape, dissecting why Ray Dalio was a dollar bear, how the US suffers from financial "Dutch disease," and why stablecoins are actually incredibly bullish for the US Dollar's reserve status

    Campbell pulls back the curtain on the Chinese financial system, explaining the 200% market manipulations and the reality of their wealth management products

    Plus, we cover the death of legacy media, the value of prediction markets like Polymarket, why most "preppers" have terrible supply chain strategies, and where the real alpha is hiding in agriculture and AI infrastructure. Hit subscribe, drop a comment, and enjoy the alpha

    Sponsors:

    Polymarket.com

    Z.cash

    CitizenX.com

    Network.press


    plausiblydeniable.org

    Lukas: x.com/SCHIZO_FREQ

    Saila: x.com/sailaunderscore

    Campbell: x.com/abcampbell

    00:00:00 - Intro, prepper trades, and the pain of being a macro investor early to a trade.

    00:10:22 - Introducing Campbell: Lehman Brothers, Bridgewater, and transitioning to AI.

    00:12:00 - The Silver Squeeze: Why solar panel demand and AI make silver the ultimate macro bet.

    00:18:25 - Physical vs. Paper Metals: Holding silver as "zombie apocalypse" insurance.

    00:23:38 - The US Dollar as a reserve currency and the "Dutch Disease" of financial markets.

    00:31:36 - Inside China's $5 Trillion debt crisis, Evergrande, and fake wealth management products.

    00:40:00 - The death of the NYT, Nate Silver, and the rise of citizen journalism (Lord Miles & Beaver).

    00:49:57 - Crypto talk: Analyzing Bitcoin in 2011, Stablecoins, and the future of digital dollars.

    01:08:32 - Polymarket, Hyperliquid, and how prediction markets act as real-time info for hedge funds.

    01:17:13 - War, inflation, and how institutional investors are trained to "buy the dip" blindly.

    01:31:42 - Bridgewater's culture of radical transparency and rating your boss.

    01:35:18 - Geopolitics: Trump's "madman" negotiation style, NATO, and the US vs. China.

    01:47:20 - AI energy constraints, local models, and replacing human tasks with compute.

    01:57:35 - Unhinged billion-dollar tanker ship macro trades and wrapping up.

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    2 h et 11 min
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