Market Flash of January 13, 2026
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- The year opens with a strong start for markets after a challenging December: the historically positive signal from the first days of the S&P 500 reinforces the core message from the end of 2025, namely the transition into a new market phase that is less concentrated and increasingly driven by sector rotation.
- The political and geopolitical backdrop is already complex, as is typical of a mid-term year in Trump’s second term, with fiscal, monetary and regulatory policies seemingly moving in the same direction, supported by an unprecedented push for innovation.
- From a technical perspective, very constructive signals are emerging: upside breakouts across European indices, the S&P 500 approaching the 7,000 level and, above all, a continued broadening of market participation.
- As earnings season gets underway, attention will focus on AI-related capex and guidance, against a backdrop of exceptionally low volatility, elevated positioning and strong retail participation—factors that argue for a more cautious approach.
For more insights, listen to the latest episode of the podcast hosted by Alberto Tocchio, Head of Global Equity and Thematics.
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