Tom is joined by market analyst Michael Brown to make sense of rising mortgage rates that seem to hinge on Donald Trump's next move. They discuss why UK borrowing costs are climbing again, why crude oil is no longer the main problem, but something called the crack spread is, and whether the Bank of England will raise rates on 5 November.

They also look ahead to the Budget on 28 October and the US midterms on 3 November, and what it all means for anyone weighing up whether to take a tracker mortgage or a fixed rate deal.

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Produced by ⁠⁠Rethink Audio⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠.

Tom is joined by James Nation, former special adviser to Rishi Sunak at the Treasury, to unpack the wave of pre-Budget speculation around a lower mansion tax threshold and a possible capital gains tax rise. They discuss why this year's rumours may not be genuine Treasury trial balloons, how much financial headroom John Healey actually needs to rebuild, and which of the widely-touted tax options would truly surprise James. They also cover the prospects for Help to Buy's return, the case for extending National Insurance contributions to landlords, and what to watch for from Healey and Burnham at Labour conference next week.

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Produced by ⁠Rethink Audio⁠⁠⁠⁠.

Mortgage rates are rising again, but the conflict in the Middle East is only part of the story.

Tom Bill is joined by Helen Thomas of Blonde Money to discuss the global forces putting upward pressure on borrowing costs, from Japan's return to inflation and changes at the Federal Reserve to the financing demands of AI and growing concerns about government debt.

They also assess the outlook for the housing market and explore the difficult Budget choices facing Chancellor John Healey as Westminster returns from the summer break, with rising bond yields making an already challenging fiscal backdrop even tougher.

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Produced by ⁠Rethink Audio⁠⁠⁠⁠.

Ahead of the autumn Budget, Tom Bill is joined by tax specialist James Quarmby to discuss the fallout from the UK's non-dom reforms and why he estimates they have cost the Exchequer £4 billion. They explore what happens when a tax system relies heavily on a small group of highly mobile taxpayers, how behavioural responses can derail fiscal plans, and what options remain for the Treasury as it searches for revenue. The episode considers the implications for the housing market, economic growth, and the UK's appeal as a destination for wealth, talent and investment.

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Produced by Rethink Audio⁠⁠⁠.

What does Andy Burnham's first fortnight as Prime Minister mean for the housing market? Tom Bill is joined by financial analyst Michael Brown. They discuss the latest developments in the Middle East and the implications for oil prices, inflation and mortgage rates, before examining the Bank of England's next move.

The conversation also explores Burnham's early policy announcements, the fiscal challenges facing Chancellor John Healey, growing Budget speculation and what recent property tax discussions reveal about the risks of policy uncertainty for the UK housing market.

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Produced by Ollie Peart at ⁠⁠⁠Rethink Audio⁠⁠⁠.

In this episode of Housing Unpacked, Tom Bill is joined by Alex Webster, Head of Lending at Coutts, for a discussion about wealth, lending and property at a time when political uncertainty and market volatility have become part of everyday life. With speculation mounting over tax policy, interest rates and the economic outlook, Alex explains why many wealthy buyers are continuing to transact and why, in her view, volatility has become the "new normal". The conversation explores how ultra-high-net-worth individuals think about property, debt and wealth creation, and why some of the assumptions people make about the prime market are often wrong.

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Produced by Ollie Peart at ⁠⁠Rethink Audio⁠⁠.

What would a Burnham premiership mean in practice? Tom is joined by former Treasury special adviser James Nation to explore which policies will remain longer-term ambitions, and what is realistically deliverable in the near term.

Will a coronation create legitimacy concerns? Is an emergency Budget needed? And with fiscal wriggle room tight, who becomes Chancellor and how difficult is the job they inherit?

For the property market, there is a lot on the line. There is renewed speculation around CGT alignment with income tax, a familiar debate over the merits of a land value tax, and early signals on greater devolution of fiscal powers.

But each comes with big questions around how much revenue they raise, how quickly they can be delivered, and whether they survive contact with Treasury scrutiny.

Either way, Burnham will now be judged on what he does rather than what he says.

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After decades being shaped by global investors and rapid price growth, today’s market is more price-sensitive and domestically-driven. In this episode of Housing Unpacked, Tom Bill speaks with Anthony Payne, CEO and co-founder of LonRes, to examine what’s happening at the top end of London’s residential market. They discuss what LonRes data reveals about prices and transaction volumes across different markets and price points in the capital, the extent to which super-prime deals are still taking place and the rising number of fall-throughs. The conversation also explores whether the market is nearing a turning point or settling into a prolonged period of more muted growth and the one thing Anthony believes is needed to boost demand – and it’s not a stamp duty cut.

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