Genesis Invitational Betting Preview | Riviera Course Breakdown, Best Bets & Longshots | Stephie Smalls Show (Ep 203)
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The Genesis Invitational is here, and the Stephie Smalls Show delivers a full betting breakdown for one of the most important stops on the PGA Tour calendar at Riviera Country Club.
Stephie is joined by Larry from Tom & Marty’s Bar, one of the sharpest and most entertaining golf bettors around, to dig into course fit, betting value, and how to attack Riviera from a wagering perspective. From outright winners to top-20 and first-round leader bets, this episode covers every angle serious golf bettors need heading into the week.
The conversation touches on elite contenders like Genesis Invitational favorites Scottie Scheffler, Rory McIlroy, and Collin Morikawa, while also exploring value and longshot plays featuring Wyndham Clark, Shane Lowry, Cam Young, Adam Scott, Jason Day, Harris English, and rising star Pierceson Coody.
Along the way, Larry explains why Riviera rewards elite ball striking, why recent form isn’t always everything on the West Coast swing, and how betting “guys you hate” can still be profitable. The episode also features one of the most bizarre side stories of the PGA season: Larry’s infamous Wendy’s chili bet, which has turned into a multi-week endurance test — and possibly cursed Scottie Scheffler in the process.
If you’re betting the Genesis Invitational, this episode is a must-watch.
0:00 - Intro
1:18 - Larry rebrand explained
2:52 - Wendy’s chili bet
4:16 - Three bowls daily
5:08 - Pride keeps going
5:41 - Breaking sugar habits
6:24 - Portion control strategy
7:00 - Strict rules discipline
7:48 - Chicken sandwich countdown
8:10 - Morikawa shirt saga
8:43 - Stephie Morikawa rant
9:17 - Morikawa fixes debate
10:09 - Humility and redemption
10:38 - Betting guys hated
11:49 - Wyndham Clark value
12:58 - Villains must win
13:38 - Shane Lowry love
14:19 - Lowry can’t win
15:03 - Cam Young emotions
15:40 - Value play “Gator”
16:15 - One-and-done dilemma
17:04 - Cam Young sickness
18:29 - “Rio” riding wave
19:02 - Ceiling and putting
20:00 - Normal dudes energy
21:53 - Pierceson Coody model
22:26 - Coody name roasting
23:51 - Harris English angle
24:11 - First-round leader logic
25:20 - Odds check “Gator”
26:06 - Market not adjusted
26:25 - No household-name knock
26:46 - Small sample debate
27:38 - Morning chaos context
28:08 - Jason Day temptation
28:42 - Day career outlook
29:03 - Rose inspires vets
29:38 - Adam Scott case
30:05 - Riviera fits Scott
31:14 - Masters motivation timing
31:59 - Final bets wrap
32:10 - Scheffler chili curse
32:46 - Health checks concern
33:29 - Wendy’s liability joke
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