“They may actually set off a chain reaction in Russia where everyone says, ‘Well, this guy is just a weakling.’ And if they can incite the Russian people to get to him before Putin does something really awful, that’s their best defence.”

The best thing for Ukraine to do is to “continue to humiliate” Putin before he strikes back, says Sir William Browder.

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“Russia is testing us all the time.”

The UK is already in an “intense conflict with both kinetic and non-kinetic elements,” as Putin is likely to "test Article 5 quite soon", says The Times’s Edward Lucas.

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“The Kremlin needs to allocate significant manpower and resources to protect its borders because its borders are not defended.”

New Ukrainian offensives, such as Operation Spider's web, expose “major strategic weaknesses” in Russia, as the Kremlin sweeps the fallout “under the rug”, says Kateryna Stepanenko, Russia Deputy Team Lead at the Institute for the Study of War.

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"It could be a very nasty accident on the Kola Peninsula, for instance, in the in the corridor between, between the Baltics and Poland. It's just something very odd could happen."

Trump's lack of action on sanctions and deterring Russia could push Putin into an attack on Europe in NATO cannot provide a realistic defence plan warns Robert Fox on Frontline.

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"Putin was photographed, in a Tupolev Tu 160, the supersonic bomber, and closely aligned himself with it. The fact that the Ukrainians are now picking them off almost at will picks away at that entire Russian sense of self and of Putin at the top of this."

Putin's position has been damaged with the destruction of the bombers that represented his power, says retired Air Marshal Ed Stringer.

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“They’re certainly not going to be able to put as many aircrafts into the air… it will have an impact.”

Ukraine proves it has “opportunities and abilities to strike Russia where it hurts” with their audacious airfield drone attacks, says The Times’s Maxim Tucker.

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