This podcast is an exhaustive fundamental, technical, and macroeconomic analysis of RTX Corporation (NYSE: RTX) as of February 2026. Operating as the world’s preeminent aerospace and defense conglomerate, RTX enters the 2026 fiscal year fortified by an unprecedented $268 billion consolidated backlog, comprising $161 billion in commercial aerospace commitments and $107 billion in defense orders.1 By synthesizing empirical data extracted from recent Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) 10-K and 10-Q filings, quarterly earnings call transcripts, sell-side equity research, and leading macroeconomic indicators, this analysis constructs a holistic view of the company’s valuation, operational health, and strategic trajectory within a highly complex geopolitical environment.
The analytical synthesis indicates that RTX has successfully navigated an era of severe supply chain bottlenecks and legacy engineering liabilities—most notably the Pratt & Whitney Geared Turbofan (GTF) powdered metal defect—transitioning into a phase of robust, compounding free cash flow generation. The corporation's full-year 2025 financial results demonstrated an impressive 11% organic sales growth, yielding $88.6 billion in total revenue and generating $7.9 billion in free cash flow.1 However, the broader macroeconomic and political landscape introduces profound, multifaceted variables. The incoming Trump administration's aggressive, protectionist tariff policies—specifically reciprocal trade tariffs, the utilization of the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA), and targeted Section 232 invocations—present structural cost headwinds that RTX must continuously offset through dynamic pricing power and the rapid localization of its supply chain ecosystems.2 Additionally, the introduction of a proposed federal tax on intellectual property patents threatens to alter the fundamental economics of aerospace research and development.4
Furthermore, this podcast rigorously applies Bruce Greenwald’s Earnings Power Value (EPV) methodology to dissect RTX's maintenance capital expenditures and free cash flow durability, stripping away accounting distortions to reveal the true underlying cash generation of the enterprise. The analysis also evaluates the rapid, systemic integration of artificial intelligence (AI) into RTX’s product suites and manufacturing floors, meticulously tracks institutional and congressional insider trading patterns mapped against 119th Congress committee assignments, and benchmarks the company against top-tier defense prime competitors, including Lockheed Martin, General Dynamics, Northrop Grumman, and Boeing.5 The resulting synthesis culminates in a definitive, narrative-driven SWOT analysis and stock outlook for the remainder of 20