Zac McCrary, a partner at Impact Research, shares insights about the competitive political landscape in South Dakota, particularly focusing on the Senate race against incumbent Mike Rounds. With a significant portion of South Dakotans expressing a desire for change, Zac highlights the unique position that independent candidate Brian Bengs could occupy in this election, as he could effectively draw support from disenchanted voters across party lines. The discussion reveals an alarming trend for Rounds, as polling indicates a majority of voters are ready to move on from him, showcasing a notable anti-incumbent sentiment. Zac emphasizes that the dynamics of the race could shift dramatically depending on the viability of Bengs as a candidate, particularly given the challenges facing the Democratic nominee, Julian Baudoin. This episode dives deep into the nuances of voter sentiment and the potential for a surprising outcome in a traditionally Republican stronghold. Zac McCrary, a partner at Impact Research, shares his insights into the political landscape during a candid conversation with David Wheeler. The discussion delves into the intricacies of polling and the current electoral climate, particularly focusing on the upcoming Senate race in South Dakota. With a backdrop of increasing discontent among voters toward incumbents, Zac highlights the significant anti-incumbent sentiment building in South Dakota, particularly against Senator Mike Rounds. He notes that a striking 55% of South Dakotans express a desire for new representation, a number that transcends party lines, including a substantial portion of Republicans who are ready for a change. This dissatisfaction opens the door for independent candidate Brian Bengs, whose appeal lies in his background as a military veteran and constitutional law expert. The conversation further explores the dynamics of the race, emphasizing the challenges faced by the Democratic candidate, Julian Baudouin, who struggles to capitalize on the anti-incumbent wave due to the entrenched partisan divide in the state. Zac's analysis paints a picture of a potentially competitive race if Bengs can effectively mobilize the disaffected voters who are ready to oust Rounds. As they discuss the broader implications, both speakers reflect on the evolving political climate and the possibility of surprising outcomes in the upcoming elections, underscoring the importance of strategic campaigning in challenging environments.

Takeaways:

• Zac McCrary emphasizes the importance of helping Democratic candidates win in tough races, showcasing his extensive experience in political consulting and polling.
• Brian Bengs' independent candidacy is highlighted as a potential game changer in the South Dakota Senate race against incumbent Mike Rounds, especially given the anti-incumbent sentiment.
• Zac notes that polling shows a significant desire among South Dakotans for new leadership, with a majority preferring to elect someone other than Mike Rounds.
• The conversation reveals that Brian Bengs could potentially siphon votes from both independents and disaffected Republicans, making him a viable candidate against the incumbent.
• Both speakers discuss the dynamics of the electoral landscape in North Carolina, pointing out that Governor Roy Cooper has been successful in breaking through in statewide elections.
• Zac expresses optimism about the upcoming election cycle, drawing parallels to previous Democratic wave years and emphasizing the shifting sentiments among voters.

Companies mentioned in this episode:

• American Muckrakers
• Impact Research
• Public Policy Polling
• Marcy Kaptor
• Josh Stein
• Roy Cooper
• Kay Hagan
• Brian Bengs
• Julian Baudoin
• Mike Rounds
• Chuck Edwards
• Mark Robinson