Shaun is off saving lives on the night shift, so Dennis and Aaron hold down the fort for the first full slate of Season 4. Week 1 went better than anyone had a right to expect, the NFL is officially back, and the guys lock in three college bets and two NFL plays, one of them built on Dennis's own dig through more than a decade of NFL data. Shaun's picks came in through the group chat, so he is here in spirit.

Goal: $10,000. Let's dance.

In This Episode

• The Ledger. A winning first week and a bankroll headed in the right direction. The guys are already calculating how fast they hit ten grand at this rate. (Very fast. Totally sustainable. No notes.)
• Dennis falls on his sword. One Week 1 bet was so sloppy it gets its own confession, plus a reaction to a certain Colorado head coach declaring his team "back" after one game.
• The sweat and the blowout. A first half that had everyone knocking on wood, a group chat that would not stop jinxing it, and a Sun Devils game so lopsided the opposing coach asked to shorten the fourth quarter.
• Does the rule still work? Shaun's Week 1 strategy gets its first report card, and the guys admit these kinds of matchups are about to get a lot harder to find.
• Three college bets. One where the guys stray from the rule on pure gut feel, one local game nobody is excited about, and one opponent coming off a loss to a school the hosts are not fully convinced exists. Tarleton State alumni, please write in.
• The NFL is back. A Thursday opener that cost a lot of fantasy managers, and a division rivalry shipped all the way to Australia.
• Dennis does the homework. Following Shaun's lead, Dennis runs the numbers on more than 3,000 NFL games and finds an angle with a real edge. It drives one of this week's tracked NFL bets.
• Buckets of Cash. One host doubles down on a game already in the slate and goes hunting for an alt line. The other lifts a play straight from his survivor pool and has some choice words for an entire franchise.
• RFK Pick of the Week. The segment lives on because Shaun refused to let it die. Both hosts go upset hunting, and one of them still cannot call a team by its current city.

Track Everything

• Road to $10K | raddadnetwork.com/shows/dancing-with-the-odds/road-to-10k
• Pick of the Day | raddadnetwork.com/shows/dancing-with-the-odds/pick-of-the-day

Conference play starts opening up, which means fewer of the lopsided matchups the rule has been feeding on. The guys have to prove the edge is real when the easy spots dry up.

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Produced by the Rad Dad NetworkTheme song by Alex Vyshnevskyi

Disclaimer: This podcast is for entertainment purposes only. The information provided is not intended as a substitute for professional advice. The hosts and guests are not financial advisors or sports betting experts. Any decisions made based on the information in this podcast are solely at your own risk. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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