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The Informed Position

The Informed Position

By: Henrik Lundberg and Tripp Davis
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Summary
Two Indiana University finance students break down markets in public. Weekly Recap (Saturdays): the week in markets: the Fed, rates, earnings, credit and global macro. Deep Dive (Wednesdays): one company, industry or asset class, taken apart with fundamental, technical and quantitative analysis. Plus occasional guest episodes: someone from the field takes the lead while we dig into who they are, what they do and what they're watching. Opinion and education only, not investment advice. Topics, corrections or questions: theinformedposition@gmail.comHenrik Lundberg and Tripp Davis
Episodes
  • Recap #2 | Gridlock, AI's Power-Bill Regulator & Oil's Missing Shortage
    9 Nov 2026

    Weekly Recap: the week of Nov 2–6, 2026.


    Welcome to The Informed Position, a markets podcast from two college students learning finance in public. This week we break down:


    • The midterms: a divided government, the 19-for-19 post-midterm stat, and why gridlock calms markets

    • The Nov 5 AI selloff: the data-center moratorium bill, Georgia's utility commission flipping, and whether restrictions actually help the existing hyperscalers

    • Who can carry the AI debt: widening credit spreads, Oracle and CoreWeave vs. Apple

    • Macro: ISM manufacturing at 55.5, gold up while copper fell, oil down 13% with backwardation (the shortage) still there, and the Strategic Petroleum Reserve at about 40%

    • The December rate-hike odds on Kalshi and the Fed's survey showing tighter bank lending

    • Plus two finance jokes, one of them very long


    Coming up: our first Deep Dive on Wednesday, and a guest episode.


    New episodes: Weekly Recap on Saturdays, Deep Dive on Wednesdays, and occasional guest episodes.


    Got a topic, a correction or a question? Email theinformedposition@gmail.com, and we may read it on the show.


    Intro and outro music: original, made for the show. Cold-open clips: public-domain U.S. government recordings (presidential addresses, the Treasury, and Federal Reserve press conferences).


    We're not registered investment advisers or brokers. Everything here is opinion and education, not advice for your situation, and investing, especially in options, can lose money. Do your own research.


    Chapters

    00:00 Cold open

    00:35 Intro: the new format

    02:16 Midterms, gridlock and the 19-for-19 stat

    05:13 The Nov 5 AI selloff and the data-center moratorium

    08:48 Georgia's utility commission flips: voters as AI's regulators

    12:07 Do restrictions help existing hyperscalers?

    17:40 Hyperscaler debt and widening credit spreads

    21:33 Oracle, CoreWeave and Apple: who can carry the debt

    27:51 ISM manufacturing at 55.5 and rates

    29:29 Gold up, copper down

    31:31 Oil falls 13% and the sector rotation

    33:53 Backwardation and the Strategic Petroleum Reserve

    40:19 December hike odds and tighter lending standards

    48:22 Finance jokes

    53:03 Next week and sign-off

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    55 min
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