Votre titre Audible gratuit

9,95 € / mois après 30 jours. Résiliable à tout moment.

ou
Dans le panier

Vous êtes membre Amazon Prime ?

Bénéficiez automatiquement de 2 livres audio offerts.
Bonne écoute !

    Description

    National best seller  

    “A startling vision of what the cycles of history predict for the future.” (USA Weekend)

    William Strauss and Neil Howe will change the way you see the world - and your place in it. With blazing originality, The Fourth Turning illuminates the past, explains the present, and reimagines the future. Most remarkably, it offers an utterly persuasive prophecy about how America’s past will predict its future. Strauss and Howe base this vision on a provocative theory of American history. The authors look back 500 years and uncover a distinct pattern: Modern history moves in cycles, each one lasting about the length of a long human life, each composed of four eras - or "turnings" - that last about 20 years and that always arrive in the same order. In The Fourth Turning, the authors illustrate these cycles using a brilliant analysis of the post-World War II period. 

    First comes a High, a period of confident expansion as a new order takes root after the old has been swept away. Next comes an Awakening, a time of spiritual exploration and rebellion against the now-established order. Then comes an Unraveling, an increasingly troubled era in which individualism triumphs over crumbling institutions. Last comes a Crisis - the Fourth Turning - when society passes through a great and perilous gate in history. Together, the four turnings comprise history's seasonal rhythm of growth, maturation, entropy, and rebirth. 

    The Fourth Turning offers bold predictions about how all of us can prepare, individually and collectively, for America’s next rendezvous with destiny. 

    ©1997 William Strauss and Neil Howe

    Commentaires

    "One of the best efforts to give us an integrated vision of where we are going." (Wall Street Journal)
    "A startling vision of what the cycles of history predict for the future." (USA Weekend)

    Ce que les auditeurs disent de The Fourth Turning

    Notations
    Global
    • 5 out of 5 stars
    • 5 étoiles
      2
    • 4 étoiles
      0
    • 3 étoiles
      0
    • 2 étoiles
      0
    • 1 étoile
      0
    Interprétation
    • 4.5 out of 5 stars
    • 5 étoiles
      1
    • 4 étoiles
      1
    • 3 étoiles
      0
    • 2 étoiles
      0
    • 1 étoile
      0
    Histoire
    • 5 out of 5 stars
    • 5 étoiles
      2
    • 4 étoiles
      0
    • 3 étoiles
      0
    • 2 étoiles
      0
    • 1 étoile
      0

    Commentaires - Veuillez sélectionner les onglets ci-dessous pour changer la provenance des commentaires.

    Trier par :
    Trier par:
    • Global
      5 out of 5 stars
    • Interprétation
      4 out of 5 stars
    • Histoire
      5 out of 5 stars

    Required reading 2021

    Written more than 20 years ago, this book provides an avid description of the current situation in America: we’re in the midst of a generational crisis.
    As such “the forth turning” is required reading to make sense of the societal upheaval, racial conflict, growing deficits and government influence, etc
    While not providing all the answers or a complete manual to where well end up, after all the world is dynamic ... the book helps with the essential task of pinning down our current position and highlight the parallels to historic precedents.

    Trier par :
    Trier par:
    • Global
      5 out of 5 stars
    Image de profile pour Amazon Customer
    • Amazon Customer
    • 17/04/2010

    Fascinating

    This book gave me a new perspective on our history and our possible future. This book was written in 1997 and I read it in 2010. It's not a book predicting the future, but it does make some forecasts that are pretty spot-on. I find this book quite valuable and would recommend this book to my children when they grow up. The knowledge in it is valuable in that it gives you foresight of cycles to come in our culture. I agree with the authors' premise that time is cyclical and not linear.

    23 personnes ont trouvé cela utile

    • Global
      3 out of 5 stars
    • Interprétation
      5 out of 5 stars
    • Histoire
      3 out of 5 stars
    Image de profile pour GiniO
    • GiniO
    • 02/03/2017

    Authors take a "short" view of history

    We are a new country and I'm not sanguine with the authors using the last 400+ years of America's existence as the basis for their speculative theory. If they wish to show that their theory "holds water", then they need to visit European culture from the 1600's to the present. Even go back another 500 years in European history to show these 4 "turnings" at work. Their ideas are provocative and worth exploring but I have a sense that they've manipulated history to fit their theories.

    20 personnes ont trouvé cela utile

    • Global
      2 out of 5 stars
    • Interprétation
      4 out of 5 stars
    • Histoire
      4 out of 5 stars
    Image de profile pour MB
    • MB
    • 04/11/2018

    Inaccurate predictions on generations

    This book isn’t new, and so it does give us the ability to determine the accuracy of the predictions over the last two decades. There is evidence to suggest there are cycles and seasons within human history, and that we are likely entering into winter or within one. My issue with this book is the completely wrong predictions about Baby Boomers and beyond. The authors predictions on the millennials generation is just laughable. As a tail end GenXer, I can also say that the majority of observations and predictions about our generation are wrong. The authors offered additional opinion based suggestions and commentary at the end, which they offered as empirical truths. This wasn’t a bad book, but their predictions doesn’t stand the test of time. For that reason, I’m not satisfied with it. I do wish they would make a new version of this book and revisit and improve upon their predictions and timeline.

    18 personnes ont trouvé cela utile

    • Global
      4 out of 5 stars
    Image de profile pour Beloo
    • Beloo
    • 17/10/2003

    As the World Turns...

    This book presents a fresh and fascinating viewpoint of how the order and relationship of generations to one another bring about great and unexpected changes in our society. The thesis builds upon a previous study done by the authors in an earlier book entitled "Generations" and works to apply the theories advanced in that book to the conditions as we have them today. Far more than a book of shallow prognosication, it equips each of us with a new lens that can be used to see relationships and trends heretofore invisible. I recommend it for anyone with an interest in history who wishes to challenge their staid views of the past.

    13 personnes ont trouvé cela utile

    • Global
      5 out of 5 stars
    Image de profile pour Judd Bagley
    • Judd Bagley
    • 03/05/2009

    The grand unified theory of sociology

    People who really get what this book is saying find it changes their entire world views. I am one of them and cannot recommend it highly enough. Having said that, I also cannot do enough to recommend that you get paper and audio versions and consume them in parallel. Some of these concepts really need to be seen in tabular format to be understood. At the same time, I found that listening to this abridged version greatly enhanced by comprehension of the full print version, and helped me to be more patient with it when it grew occasionally circular.

    25 personnes ont trouvé cela utile

    • Global
      3 out of 5 stars
    Image de profile pour Carol Barnes
    • Carol Barnes
    • 23/02/2018

    Abridged

    I really dislike that this was abridged. I don't think that I had sufficient access to understanding some of the points being made because of it. Sweeping statements would be made without enough support or discussion as to why I should think that they are so

    9 personnes ont trouvé cela utile

    • Global
      1 out of 5 stars
    • Interprétation
      3 out of 5 stars
    • Histoire
      1 out of 5 stars
    Image de profile pour Keith J.
    • Keith J.
    • 02/05/2020

    Nothin like the book

    This is an abridged version of the book. Wish they would have said this. Weak, comparative speaking.

    8 personnes ont trouvé cela utile

    • Global
      5 out of 5 stars
    Image de profile pour Greg
    • Greg
    • 06/04/2010

    Outstanding

    This is a great book. Though it was written in 1996 because of the accuracy of their predictions you would have thought it was written today (2010) in retrospect of the happenings of this past decade. It'll change the way you think about and see the things happening in America today.

    8 personnes ont trouvé cela utile

    • Global
      5 out of 5 stars
    Image de profile pour Richard
    • Richard
    • 13/11/2010

    An Amazing Map of What is to Come

    I listened to this book four times to date. This book lays out history in a completely new and insightful way and provides razor sharp insight into what is going on in society now and what is to come. It is at once hopeful and terrifying.

    5 personnes ont trouvé cela utile

    • Global
      5 out of 5 stars
    Image de profile pour Robert
    • Robert
    • 29/06/2004

    Explanation of generational interaction

    Future generations will judge this book and the theories it presents as a foundation to understanding how the generations interact. Anyone who takes the time to understand this book will be uniquely prepared for the events that are about to unfold in the not too distant future (2009).

    15 personnes ont trouvé cela utile

    Trier par :
    Trier par:
    • Global
      5 out of 5 stars
    • Interprétation
      5 out of 5 stars
    • Histoire
      5 out of 5 stars
    Image de profile pour Tom
    • Tom
    • 19/06/2018

    One of the best books I read in my life

    Although not being an American (and the book very much focusses on American history) I could deeply identify with the ideas presented in here. Probably due to the fact that the American way of life had influenced other western nations in a significant way - at least in my lifetime.
    This book is awesome, regardless whether you are an investor (like me) or just interested in cycles, generations, history and how it all might fit together. I opens your eyes for the long cycles and offers impressive reasons why "plus ça change, plus c'est la même chose".
    The narrator is good and following along is made easy. If I could, this book would be 10 Stars.

    1 personne a trouvé cela utile