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The Accidental Superpower

The Next Generation of American Preeminence and the Coming Global Disorder
Lu par : Peter Zeihan
Durée : 12 h et 19 min
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Description

In the best-selling tradition of The World Is Flat and The Next 100 Years, The Accidental Superpower will be a much discussed, contrarian, and eye-opening assessment of American power.

In The Accidental Superpower, international strategist Peter Zeihan examines how geography, combined with demography and energy independence, will pave the way for one of the great turning points in history, and one in which America reasserts its global dominance.

No other country has a greater network of internal waterways, a greater command of deepwater navigation, or a firmer hold on industrialization technologies than America. Zeihan argues that the future is undoubtedly bright for America, the only country with enough young adults to fill the capital-generating void that will be left behind by 2030. The Accidental Superpower also explores shale oil and its surprising key role in America's move toward energy independence and how it will shape (and is already shaping) American life for the next 50 years.

PLEASE NOTE: When you purchase this title, the accompanying reference material will be available in your My Library section along with the audio.

©2014 Peter Zeihan (P)2014 Hachette Audio

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  • Soudant
  • 23/03/2015

DDD: Demographics Determine Destiny

This is an important book that covers the world quickly with a variety of hard conclusions that should keep leaders up at night. The winner, in the author's view, is the United States but it will not be easy and certainly not pretty. In it he argues quite persuasively, and evidence suggests accurately, that America will quietly withdraw from its military and many other global engagements in the coming years. The U.S. refusal to get involved by sending military or arms to Ukraine, mid-east, Nigeria is part of emerging national policy of withdrawal.

These changes may be just the beginning if the US quietly pulls back its' military from arenas far away from our shores. Is there a compelling reason to remain in Germany, Japan and South Korea; after all these are large self-sufficient countries that have not had to bear the cost of an expensive military. Significantly today the US is almost energy independent and has little to no need for Gulf or Venezuelan oil. Is pulling back troops and diverting resources to social programs not on the top of the liberal/democrat wish list? On the other hand vocal conservatives want to return to Fortress America while putting an end to deficit spending. Welcome to 1930s.

The book relies heavily on demographics. Europe, China, Russia and other parts of the world are aging quickly yet face huge outlays to support their older population. Russia, in Zeihan's view, will simply fade (but perhaps not without a fight, to insignificance as it becomes older, sicker and less able to defend its vast borders. The Arabs on the other hand have a large and growing restless youth population with few internal resources to provide for a fulfilling life. Even worse, without substantial imports the Arab countries (and others) can not feed themselves because there is a lack of good soil, rainfall and efficient distribution.

The book covers the geography, political environment and demographics of several major countries and generally their prospects are dimming; particularly those countries which are aging quickly. Other countries, in his view will have difficulties maintaining cohesion. Among that list, to my surprise, is Canada whose provinces are already at odds with each other over distribution of resource and wealth.

Mr. Zeihan is not bashful about his dramatic and usually unpleasant conclusions. e.g.; Europe will come unglued over debt and finances, an old Japan will lose its remaining dynamism, China’s western areas will pull apart the rest of the country and Alberta Canada could try to leave Canada and become a 51st State. Although, in his view, the U.S. will prevail I get the sense it will be more like the one eyed man in the land of the blind and not the robust future we hope for. He acknowledges, but does not dwell, coming water and climate change issues. Perhaps that will be his next book. Should the current U.S. western drought continue and cause massive crop failures and should the 2010 Russian crop collapse repeat simultaneously many people in the world will not have enough food to live because their geography will not support the large populations that have emerged in the past several decades.

Finally, I “read" this book through Audible where Peter Zeihan is his own narrator. He is as good as the Hollywood trained professional voices so if Geopolitics does not work out for him then he has an alternative career reading books.

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  • DaWoolf
  • 11/01/2015

Drifting towards isolationism


“The Accidental Superpower” (Superpower) is a surprisingly interesting and powerful analysis about the geopolitical state of the world. The author, Peter Zeihan, uses regional histories, geographic topographies, demographic trends, and economic data to make predictions about the conditions of specific countries between 2015 and 2030. The big winners are Mexico and the United States. The big losers are Russia and China. However, its Zeihan’s culmination of the data that makes his hypotheses so compelling.

Zeihan, who also expertly reads the book, does not stray far from the data when making predictions about the world’s future. “Superpower” opens with the author discussing his love and obsession with maps. Zeihan suggest that a county’s financial and military success can be strongly correlated to its native topography. The author posits that the United States is the supreme superpower due to its numerous internal rivers that result in the cheap transport of goods, large costal oceans that provide a natural defensive border from hostile nations, and fertile farmlands that can feed the masses. No other country or superpower comes close to having the topographical advantages inherent to the United States.

Although Zeihan predicts the United States will continue its dominant superpower status for the foreseeable future, there will be bumps along the way as the country moves toward a more isolationist political policy. The shift toward isolationism is in part a result of achieving energy independence through increased petroleum production due to the Shale revolution. Simply put, the United States will have minimum incentive to protect oceanic trading corridors when energy independence is achieved. This sets the occasion for global disorder through regional conflicts and wars as the United States loses interest in policing water corridors across the world.

Readers of nonfiction and geopolitics will very much enjoy “Superpower”. I provided a very small taste of what this powerful and interesting book has to offer readers.

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  • Utilisateur anonyme
  • 14/01/2019

So accurate it’s spooky.

Almost surreal to be watching these predictions prove true nearly every time. How this author isn’t dominating every talk show, newscast, and other media is beyond me.

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  • Dwight B.
  • 24/09/2018

Just when you thought, as a news junky you knew the world around you!

This audio book would make. a great voice over to a video production contain maps and images. Don’t miss out, get it now! Thanks Peter.

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  • Nick Nichols
  • 13/03/2019

Very educational

I was very please with this book. I’m a fairly frequent user of audio books and especially of this subject matter. It lays out the future in an easy to follow logical way. One of my favorite books that I have purchased through Audible.

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  • Czipka
  • 12/02/2019

invest in America

Great story of the future that I couldn't put down. Thought provoking content that is based on history and facts.

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  • C. Foster
  • 31/01/2019

Should be mandatory

This book should be mandatory for every high school, in every country. Very well organized and concise.

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  • Rachel Howard
  • 19/12/2018

Facinating if a bit sensationalized

Overall, I really enjoyed Peter's geopolitical insight; I learned a LOT and his writing and narration are enjoyable and captivating. I found his more bolder predictions to be a bit sensationalized and I frowned with skepticism but whether they become true or not they are facinating thought exercises. Great read, I'd recommend for anyone with an interest in geopolitics.

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  • Utilisateur anonyme
  • 07/08/2018

Another take on America as the sole superpower

with an interesting read on how it happened--by accident as the title suggests-and a nice summary of U.S. geopolitical history until it was achieved. But the real point that Zeihan makes is that by a set of accidental circumstances including geography, demographics, and new energy independence, the U.S., by closing it doors to the world, will reemerge onto the global stage, once again, as the only viable leader. An interesting take, and one that actually gives pause to consider today, with an American first administration in place. Unlike other works on the U.S. as the superpower, this one is more intellectually engaging and provides good food for thought. I was happy to have read it. Likewise, I was happy to hear that Zeihan has a new book out, as a follow-up to this one. Its on my wish list already.

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  • Brett
  • 16/02/2019

Fascinating

I've watched Mr. Zeihan on YouTube which led me to listen to his book. Absolutely captivating and insightful. if you like geopolitics, try this book.

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  • LVattapally
  • 31/10/2019

biased but interesting

covers the topic of geopolitics very well and uses it to justify the rise and fall of superpowers. the author does paint a very pessimistic outlook on the future of the world outside the US but justifies his biased view relatively well